Crypto Growth Nears 'Ceiling,' Ethereum Co-Founder Buterin Says (bloomberg.com) 87
The days of explosive growth in the blockchain industry have likely come and gone now the average person is aware of its existence, according to Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum. From a report: "The blockchain space is getting to the point where there's a ceiling in sight," Buterin said in a Sept. 8 interview with Bloomberg at the Ethereum Industry Summit conference in Hong Kong. "If you talk to the average educated person at this point, they probably have heard of blockchain at least once. There isn't an opportunity for yet another 1,000-times growth in anything in the space anymore." Growth in Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies in the blockchain community through its first six or seven years was dependent on marketing and trying to get wider adoption, Buterin said. "That strategy is getting close to hitting a dead end," he said.
Re:A Ceiling (Score:5, Informative)
To be fair, anybody investing their student loan in crypto-currencies would probably not have benefited from an academic education anyways....
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To be fair, anybody investing their student loan in crypto-currencies would probably not have benefited from an academic education anyways....
You sure, isn't the "greater fool" theory likely covered in microeconomics 101?
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It should be. But the Greater Fool Theory is pretty obvious and easily researched, so I doubt these people will understand that they are following it even if taught about it academically. And only a faction will have gotten those loans for studies in economics. Educational success depends on some base level common-sense, insight and understanding of self being there, otherwise it does not work.
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Common sense is successfully applied intelligence for plausibility checking, no cultural aspect. As to scam artists, have a look into the world and you see scams everywhere. You are probably just blind to them or naive.
There's only so much weed to be smoked (Score:5, Insightful)
There's growing pressure to crack down on money laundering via bitcoin; mostly because governments have just plain caught up and caught on. And there's growing pressure to legalize drugs. There's where your ceiling is. A few more high profile money launderers will get caught (Bitcoin really isn't that good for it, it just took a while for the gov't to notice it was being used) and a few wins by left wing parties and that'll kind of be that when it comes to crypto.
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It will be interesting to see how much money laundering was really going on. I think it was quite a bit, but nobody seems to have hard data. I do expect some bright PhD student will wrest this info from the blockchain eventually, at least as a reasonable approximation.
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You don't care if somebody doesn't pay you for your dime bag because you're selling a bag of literal weeds for $100 bucks. If 10 folks stiff you and one pays you're way out ahead.
Try that shit on the street and see how it goes for you. Please report back, I could use a good laugh.
They are running out of idiots with money? (Score:5, Insightful)
Was bound to happen eventually. This is the classic behavior of every pyramid scheme: At some time you have all the morons with money in there and do not find enough new ones. Then the whole thing comes crashing down.
Will be interesting to see ho it happens here, because crypto currencies (not "crypto", _that_ is something else) are a bit differently structured than the classical pyramid schemes. They are fundamentally the same though.
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Umm... I think that "TEH CLOUD!" hype only started a decade ago. "TEH INTERWEBS!" hype over crap web companies like pets.com and mplayer.com is two decades old.
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Well, to be fair the data-type used in bitcoin is finite in its resolution, it is just so fine-granular it does not matter. Same, incidentally, as any classical pyramid-scheme is finite, as there is only a finite amount of currency available. In both case, you can do a meaningless extension to the infinite, for classical pyramid by predicting that money can be printed (or electronically) in larger and larger volumes and for bitcoin by predicting a move to a representation of smaller sub-divisions. Both thin
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And you are idiot with no insight. No implementation of a pyramid scheme is infinite. Seriously.
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Re: In other words, people have to actually use it (Score:2)
The first thing is for people to decide BTC has value. Weâ(TM)re there, I think.
The second is to decide how much. Thatâ(TM)s being figured out now.
Bitcoin enables technologies like the Lightning Network - which offers distributed micro payments, for the first time in history - and was a keen interest of a former fearless leader here, RobLimo.
The shitcoins are indeed that, and there were a 1000 pets.com for every Amazon. BTC solves real problems and lets me pay for things like VPN services that wou
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And this is where the smaller coins like Dogecoin, Reddcoin and Digibyte will shine. They'll probably never reach a value of $10K per coin, but $1 to $100 per coin might be possible since they're all divisible to 8 decimals just like Bitcoin.
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Boring Company started that way too.
Yup, but they are going to have a hard time going to the moon.
Idiots (Score:1)
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Except it's not very good for that.Cash needs to have somewhat stable value -- so far there isn't a cryptocurrency that has that.
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That's the big problem with cryptocurrency right now. In order for it to be used as a replacement for cash, it's value needs to become stable and it's transactions need to regulated for fraud protection.
That said, nobody wants to invest in a cryptocurrency that doesn't increase in value and is regulated to the point where any limited gains that you do get from it are taxed by the IRS.
Re: A riddle (Score:2)
Show me a exchange medium that has the payment clearinghouse built in.
I canâ(TM)t instantly send .001g of gold to someone in africa. Or anything else, for that matter.
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Tether?
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Compared to "real cash"? The buying power of consumers have been going DOWN for decades now, all thanks to governments and their ability to print money.
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Ethereum under $200 (Score:2)
Isn't he the guy (Score:2)
Room to grow with common usage (Score:3)
Right now, a very small percentage of the population holds any cryptocurrency, and a tiny percentage of worldwide financial transactions are conducted in cryptocurrency.
If this changed - if one became popular for financial transactions, where a lot of the population carried some device that could complete cryptocurrency transactions as easily as a credit card, and many or most businesses accepted cryptocurrency, than whatever currency wins that "common usage" battle still has a long way up. The price is just supply and demand, and large numbers of people acquiring some currency to use as currency = demand and would drive up the price further.
I don't know when or if that would happen, but it's conceivable that a cryptocurrency could, at some point, become very easy to use and offer some advantage(s) over other currencies such that it was widely adopted for use as a general currency, which would cause at least one more run up in price for any currency that does that.
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More accurately: "Right now, a very small percentage of the population holds all the available cryptocurrency." In a nutshell, that is why every cryptocurrency is doomed from the outset. The concentration of "wealth" in the hands of the crypto-elite would makes paupers and slaves of the rest of us, assuming the world was foolish enough to adopt one.
Think about it: some dude living in a basement creates a cryptocurrency which by
Interesting slashdot people are not pro-bitcoin (Score:2)
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Slashdot was also very against the iPod and other major innovations. This website is ironically filled with Luddites.
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Haha I was going to bring up the iPod debut article. Everyone shitting on it saying nobody would buy that Apple is going to tank wtf are they thinking.
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And yet, the iPod in its original form is dead. The iPod as "your whole music library in your pocket" died as they moved to Flash-based iPods with less storage. Now the push is towards streaming where you don't even have a music library as such. The iPod was very successful for a while, but in the end Apple themselves killed it, not the market.
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Again I'm not trying to post this as pro or con, just the level of understand of this space isn't very high on slashdot
I think the problem is that we understand it all too well.
All scammers get irritated when the mark recognises the scam.
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Damn You S-Curve!!!!! (Score:1)
When will we ever learn that "Exponential Growth" cannot, and does not, continue indefinitely. Oh, that's right, I forgot, we have an entire economic and investment fantasy constructed on the premise that unlimited exponential growth is feasible. I guess they never went through the "bunnies" thought exercise in biology/ecology class.
Not even close (Score:1)
One way to get to the next billion would be, oh I don't know, a working ethereum client in debian [debian.org] .