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Boeing Says It Might Have To Shut Down 737 Max Production (cnn.com) 188

An anonymous reader quotes a report from CNN: Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg warned investors Wednesday that the company might need to further slow or temporarily halt its 737 Max production. Boeing has continued to build the 737 Max, its bestselling jet, although at a slower pace. The plane has been grounded since mid-March because of two fatal crashes that killed more than 300 people. Boeing hopes to get approval for the plane to fly again sometime early in the fourth quarter. Muilenburg said any further delays in approval to fly the 737 Max again could jeopardize its production. A further slowdown or temporary shutdown of 737 Max production is "not something we want to do, but an alternative that we have to prepare for," Muilenburg told investors on a conference call. He said the company needs to prepare for that "to make sure we've covered all scenarios." "Boeing is working on a software fix to a safety system which is believed to have caused the two crashes," reports CNN. "But it says it won't be able to present that fix to aviation authorities until September at the earliest, and it hopes to have a certification flight in October."

From there, regulators will need to approve the plane for flight. So it's possible the Boeing 737 Max won't be cleared to fly again until at least late this year.
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Boeing Says It Might Have To Shut Down 737 Max Production

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  • Good (Score:3, Insightful)

    by OffTheLip ( 636691 ) on Thursday July 25, 2019 @08:02AM (#58984216)
    Prove the plane is flight worthy and then ramp back up if it is.
    • Re:Good (Score:5, Insightful)

      by K. S. Kyosuke ( 729550 ) on Thursday July 25, 2019 @08:27AM (#58984342)
      Or, better yet, design a new airframe for the 21st century?
      • Re: (Score:2, Interesting)

        by Type44Q ( 1233630 )

        Or, better yet, design a new airframe for the 21st century?

        They did; there's a shitload of circumstantial evidence that strongly suggests that whatever came after the XB-70 and Oxcart has been operational for decades.

        They clearly don't want to share the ramjet/waverider tech - as well as any possible affiliated 'blue sky' tech - with the civilian world.

        • by PPH ( 736903 )

          They clearly don't want to share the ramjet/waverider tech

          Nope. North American Aviation was independent of Boeing at the beginning of the SST program. They actually made a proposal for a passenger aircraft. Based on the XB-70 with that technology? Maybe not. But they clearly had demonstrated the ability to take a requirements document and build a working Mach 3 aircraft. Guess what? Boeing got the job instead. And they couldn't even do a proper weight calculation to ensure that the damned thing would fly. NAA would gladly have built a civilian aircraft.

          And now, B

      • by Anonymous Coward

        The airlines don't want that, that's why the 737 Max exists in the first place. If you have a substantial fleet of 737s, adding whole new plane means a huge extra investment in training pilots, crews and maintenance workers, and a bunch of extra operational costs. That's why budget airlines typically have an entire fleet of a single model. Some of Boeing's biggest customers basically demanded the 737 Max get made.

        • You would think that after fifty years, a new airframe would give designers of future models a bit more breathing space. Especially if they have to resort to software hacks already.
      • Because designing a whole new airframe is enormously expensive and requires risking billions of dollars. (The 787 cost around $32 billion, for example.) An update to an existing frame is much more economical; the engineers already have existing data to work from and many of the potential issues are well known. Every aircraft manufacturer does this: build variants to serve different markets. It's a logical path for the company to take. The plane itself is still very solid and reliable -- Boeing has good eng
        • Yeah, invest a few billion dollars into the next fifty years of 737 class airplanes. That's going to ruin their business, compared to the alternative.
      • Or, better yet, design a new airframe for the 21st century?

        That would have taken vital time while the A320 Neo ate away at their market share.

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      They probably cannot, because this slapped-together mess cannot be fixed.

  • by Viol8 ( 599362 ) on Thursday July 25, 2019 @08:03AM (#58984226) Homepage

    Quick ,someone pass me a hanky, I'm just welling up here....

  • Baloney (Score:5, Insightful)

    by bill_mcgonigle ( 4333 ) * on Thursday July 25, 2019 @08:26AM (#58984338) Homepage Journal

    As usual Boeing is lying. This time not about pilot error, for a change.

    Any fool, including the regulatory-captured bureaucrats at the FAA that Boeing is belly-aching to, knows that production will continue and, perhaps, *deliveries* to customers may be delayed until the software fix for their deadly cost-cutting negligent engineering is available and approved. So their quarterly profits may suffer but the backlog will clear out quickly.

    I'd like to know when the DoJ referral is happening and which PE's are getting their licenses revoked forever in Washington.

    • As usual Boeing is lying. This time not about pilot error, for a change.

      Any fool, including the regulatory-captured bureaucrats at the FAA that Boeing is belly-aching to, knows that production will continue and, perhaps, *deliveries* to customers may be delayed until the software fix for their deadly cost-cutting negligent engineering is available and approved. So their quarterly profits may suffer but the backlog will clear out quickly.

      I'd like to know when the DoJ referral is happening and which PE's are getting their licenses revoked forever in Washington.

      Not exactly the first time and Boeing weathered previous times it wasn't pilot error: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

    • by ebyrob ( 165903 )

      Actually, in this case I wouldn't blame the engineering nearly as much as blind idiotic reliance on bad policy. The system literally steals the controls to nosedive the plane. AND it's not documented in the manual. Sounds like a top level management and direction problem to me...

      (That the engineers failed to properly build such a system is more a testament to the fact such a system should never have been specified)

    • Deliveries were suspended months ago: [cnbc.com]:

      After the second crash, Boeing said it would suspend deliveries to carriers and has been storing the jets in Texas and at its facilities in Washington state, including in an employee parking lot.

      I agree that PEs need to have their licenses pulled. There's not much point in having a PE certification if it's not revocable for something like this.

    • My read was more like "At this point we think few people will ever buy this plane so we don't want to end up with 500 of them parked gathering dust.

  • by Archtech ( 159117 ) on Thursday July 25, 2019 @08:32AM (#58984356)

    Why?

    Where I was brought up, that was called "throwing good money after bad".

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by Anonymous Coward

      The factories are setup, the workers are there to work. Their options are slow production and hope to sell the planes later, or lay everyone off and pay huge layoff expenses.

  • ...The plane has been grounded since mid-March because of two fatal crashes that killed more than 300 people....

    Let's remember blame was initially placed on the pilot...even here at Slashdot...

    With folks asking why no crashes had happened in the USA, where a big number of flights take place daily...

    Then it was the training...

    Then it was the "3rd world" conditions...

    But can anyone really think of what could have happened if this aircraft were Russian or Chinese for that matter?

    I will tell you...It would be hell around here with "technical experts" blaming Russia Technology...this is even though the "Greatest Technolo

  • by captbollocks ( 779475 ) on Thursday July 25, 2019 @08:45AM (#58984428)

    how Boeing used fly by wire so was so much more reliable than Airbus, but I bet Airbus doesn't outsource their software development.

    As usual, the easy way is to not build a better plane, just stuff more information into a pilot's head and then say "we trained him" when he fails to spot the error.

    • how Boeing used fly by wire so was so much more reliable than Airbus

      Boeing's FBW philosophy was that the pilot could always override the computer. That's not always possible on Airbus planes, which has led to a few fatal accidents (e.g. pilots unable to deploy thrust reversers upon landing because wheels hydroplaning on rainy runway made computer think the plane wasn't yet on the ground).

      The 737 Max accidents were caused by programmers modifying the new flight control system so the pilot couldn't overr

  • Just wait and see... No other explanation on how all this has been managed.
  • They tried to rush the max into production with the bigger engine to combat the Airbus plane, found a balance center of gravity issue, thought this software AOA sensor would do the trick, rushed it out and look what happened. Personally, they should COMPLETELY redesign it, which will cost them a TON of money to mod the plane to make it stable. The British Comet had issues with the square windows causing cracks which screwed it up, they redesigned it, and they still have some of them flying as anti-sub airc
    • 4000+ 737MAX orders have already been placed. With 737 production ended for good, not only Airbus A320neo will effectively own this market for a decade, but everyone's fares will have to go up simply because of limited supply of new A320 or B737 airplanes. Airbus already has 5000+ orders for A320neo, so I can't imagine they will be able to ramp up the production so far as to absorb all the 4000+ Boeing 737 customer orders. This could be a bonanza for the vendors of smaller class airplanes, like the new Airb

  • ... with the FAA, Muilenburg is (sorry for that Yodaism).

    Not able to present a fix to the FAA until September? There should be blood in the hallways by now. None of the management from when I worked there would have put up with that lax an attitude.

    Unless it's a matter of there being nobody left inside Boeing capable of handling this. And what they are waiting for is contract negotiations with the vendor who will actually design the fix. And that vendor knows they've got Boeing over a barrel right now.

  • Ohhhh ,, Boeing - the joys of cognitve decline!
  • Is the room flooded with crocodile tears yet?
  • by kilodelta ( 843627 ) on Thursday July 25, 2019 @09:49AM (#58984822) Homepage
    What amuses me more is that this is a software issue. I just shake my head on that one. From TV's to even amateur radio gear it's all software controlled now. For example I just picked up an AnyTone AT-D878UV handheld radio - it actually has to boot up.
    • I just shake my head on that one.

      Why shake your head? Properly designed software combined with properly designed hardware has saved far more lives than it has cost. Something as simple as you applying the breaks to your car can get overridden by software which is far better at knowing the optimum break force than a driver.

      You shake your head, I nod mine in support. Yeah my handheld radio takes a long time to boot up as well. But damn if it doesn't have orders of magnitude more features and capabilities compared to the days where we did thi

  • The problem here is that they don't want to pay to get a "new" plane certified. The process is expensive, and then pilots need to be trained on the "new" plane.

    The 737 max is a design nightmare created out of a desire to keep stretching this lie that all their new models are still "just a 737 with a tweak"

    People called out this bullshit, but boeing managed to push it through regulators. Pasting from wikipedia:
    Chief executive Dai Whittingham of the independent trade group UK Flight Safety Committee disputed

  • The fiasco with the 737 Max aircraft will cause Boeing to set aside $5 billion for loses. All of this in the name of saving a few bucks on software development costs.

    That right, Boeing hired the cheapest programmers (read: outsourced) it could find to write the software for their newest model of the 737 line.
    How much did they save, $1 million, $2 million, $10 million? Was it worth it?

    Number of lives lost: 246.
    Corporate reputation ruined.
    $5 billion writeoff.
    Newest aircraft 777X: delayed.

    Was it wo
  • get it approved by government, by flying it with the people who were at fault (or volunteers that have a license to fly) give them a safe way to get out at 30k feet (is that possible?) ok invent "quick to the escape module" prove it flies 500 times with weight in all conditions. company saved
  • This plane was aerodynamically unstable from the start. Software was supposed to compensate for it. Any good engineer relies on proven things then in small increments tries to improve, based on solid quantifiable evidence. You don't rush headlong into unproven technology. NASA is a prime example of this methodology.

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