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China Overwhelming the West in Cities Over a Million People 112

This decade began just after a historic inflection point, with 51% of the world's population living in urban areas. From a report: By the numbers: That proportion has continued to rise steadily, reaching 55% as of 2018. It's climbed faster in China, up from 48% to 59% -- meaning an additional 180 million people are living in Chinese cities. China now has 130 cities of at least 1 million people, more than the U.S. (45), European Union (36) and South America (46) combined. India, which won't become majority-urban until the 2040s, has 61 such cities. There are 63 in Africa. Nigeria just became majority-urban in 2018, but urbanization in the West African giant will grow even more dramatically over the next decade. Nigeria's 10 largest cities are home to 32 million people as of 2018, with 13 million of those in Lagos. The UN projects their combined populations will rise to 50 million by 2030 -- just over a decade away -- by which time Lagos will have over 20 million residents.
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China Overwhelming the West in Cities Over a Million People

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  • by jfdavis668 ( 1414919 ) on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @01:33PM (#59576466)
    China has quite a bit of land, but needs large parts of it to grow food to feed those people. There are also large areas unsuited for building cities, such as the Himalayan mountains. So lots of people have to live in areas that are already cities. Surprise! Lots of cities with lots of people.
    • There are also cultural differences.

      The American dream is a house with a big lawn, some trees, and a white picket fence.

      The Chinese don't want that. Even in the countryside, you will see wide empty spaces and then a dozen homes all crammed together.

      • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

        Comment removed based on user account deletion
        • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          My wife's family moved from a fairly rural town to big cities. Or at least some of them did, some stayed behind and built a huge new 7 story house right next to their old stone one. It's not even the biggest or grandest there by far.

          The ones who moved to the city live in apartments. They look like show homes, really well finished and very tasteful.

      • by alvinrod ( 889928 ) on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @02:30PM (#59576668)
        It isn’t a matter of want. The countryside in the U.S. is the way it is due to the Homestead Act and other pieces of legislation that gave land to settlers. The requirements for getting to keep the land weren’t conducive to building settlements like you describe. If you look at some of the Amish communities you see something that looks a lot closer to what you describe in China.

        A lot of the world is the way it is due to unintended side effects or other unforeseen consequences. When left to their own devices people will tend to gravitate towards solutions they think best suit their needs, but more often than not there are a lot of constraints that we forget about. Are the house arrangements in rural China truly a reflection of the desires of the people? I’m guessing it’s not as simple as that.
        • The countryside in the U.S. is the way it is due to the Homestead Act

          Most big American lawns are in suburbia, not in rural areas.

          China has few areas like American suburbia. The transition from city to countryside is much more abrupt.

      • A 'dozen homes all crammed together', I think, is commonly referred to as a village. :p
        • A 'dozen homes all crammed together', I think, is commonly referred to as a village. :p

          A village of a dozen homes may be 5 acres in America. In China, it fits in half an acre.

          Even in rural areas, homes are often directly adjacent, with shared walls to reduce construction costs and retain heat.

          Chinese have very different concepts of community and very different expectations for privacy. They are extremely nosy people, and will bluntly ask very personal questions and give unsolicited feedback on personal behavior that is none of their business (from an American viewpoint).

          • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

            In my experience it's the exact opposite. Chinese people keep to themselves as much as possible. If it's nothing to do with them they will ignore it, e.g. shared areas in apartment blocks.

            It's a bit different in villages because everyone knows everyone else and is probably related to them in some way.

      • by Mashiki ( 184564 )

        The Chinese don't want that. Even in the countryside, you will see wide empty spaces and then a dozen homes all crammed together.

        What do you mean they don't want that? They rip off suburbia houses and designs from here in Canada and the US, and rebuild them over in China all the time. They sell like hotcakes. There are places where if you didn't know which country they originated from you couldn't tell the difference, everything down to the utility ped and width of the sidewalk are the same.

    • by Solandri ( 704621 ) on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @02:09PM (#59576602)
      I was gonna post saying you're wrong, and that there's plenty of land for growing food to feed the world's population. But it seems that in the case of China, you're right.

      You need about 2 acres to feed a family of 4 [treehugger.com], or about 2 square km per 1000 people. The world overall has plenty of room. A population of 8 billion needs about 16 million km^2 dedicated to raising food. The world's land area is 197 million km^2, so only a bit more than 8% of the land needs to be dedicated to raising food.

      But a disproportionate fraction of those people are concentrated in China. With a population of 1.4 billion, China needs about 2.8 million km^2 of land dedicated to raising food. China's land area is only 3.77 km^2, so they need almost 75% of their land devoted to raising food.
      • by ahodgson ( 74077 ) on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @02:31PM (#59576672)

        Also not all (or even most) land is arable. Agriculture needs lots of fresh water.

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        by ohfeckoff ( 6497390 )
        You got the premise for that from an infographic for how much backyard you need to feed your own family? I'm sure you'll find production per square kilometer is much higher than that if you go to modern agricultural production methods.. Example: The Netherlands is about 17 million people. In your example they would need 34 thousand square kilometers to feed themselves (out of the 41 thousand square kilometers they have). Yet they are one of the largest food exporters on the planet. How can this be when the
        • From driving/riding the train through Netherlands a few times, I'd say a vast majority is farms.

  • by onyxruby ( 118189 ) <{onyxruby} {at} {comcast.net}> on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @01:42PM (#59576484)

    Country with 1 1/3 billion people has more cities with more than a million people? How did this become a news story?

    • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

      by Freischutz ( 4776131 )

      Country with 1 1/3 billion people has more cities with more than a million people? How did this become a news story?

      There are people hard at work wheeling out every little morsel of 'scary foreigner' data they can find in order to maintain the ongoing xenophobic mania in the right wing voter base in the West. As long as the Chinese communist party isn't handing those billions of people AK-47s and sending them off to enslave the rest of humanity I don't care how big Chinese cities are. I just hope they'll be intelligent about planning them because many Chinese cities (not all of them obviously) are an urban planning disas

      • Re: (Score:3, Insightful)

        by onyxruby ( 118189 )

        Where are you getting this? I'm right wing and the issues I have seen talked about in 'right wing' media about China have been around human rights abuses, trade imbalance, social credit scores, IP theft, forced technology transfers, belt and road, and South China sea militarization. I haven't seen anything xenophobic, perhaps you are consuming different media sources than I am?

        I interact with people from China on a pretty much daily basis and I've never encountered anyone that was concerned about being atta

        • He's getting it from Rachel Maddow, Vox, MSNBC/NYT/WAPO and the rest of the extreme left propaganda sites that tell him what right wingers think. He doesn't actually know or talk to any right wingers. Mostly because they're too polite (or worried about being physically assaulted or losing their job) if they engage with a crazy violent leftist, so they remain quiet while he rants at his coworkers over lunch waiting patiently for a topic change. Then they do what matters: show at the voting booth.
          • by Freischutz ( 4776131 ) on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @08:08PM (#59577502)

            He's getting it from Rachel Maddow, Vox, MSNBC/NYT/WAPO and the rest of the extreme left propaganda sites that tell him what right wingers think. He doesn't actually know or talk to any right wingers. Mostly because they're too polite (or worried about being physically assaulted or losing their job) if they engage with a crazy violent leftist, so they remain quiet while he rants at his coworkers over lunch waiting patiently for a topic change. Then they do what matters: show at the voting booth.

            I'm getting it from the Trump administration and the effects they are having on the thinking of the Chinese military in particular:

            "What the United States fears the most is taking casualties ... an attack on two of the U.S. Navy’s steel behemoths would claim upwards of 10,000 lives."

            Rachel Maddow Rachel Maddow, Vox, MSNBC/NYT/WAPO and the rest of 'the extreme left propaganda sites' didn't say that. Those words were spoken by China’s Rear Admiral Luo Yuan, the deputy head of the Chinese Academy of Military Sciences during a Dec. 20 speech to the 2018 Military Industry List summit. This is what the Chinese are really thinking and Yuan is far from being the only one who thinks like this. You would know this you had done some basic research on the subject instead of limiting yourself to asinine pre-baked talking points about the 'extreme left' from https://www.snowflakevictory.com [snowflakevictory.com]. This is the same basic bullshit that was going on during the Cold War with the Soviets. The US was convinced that the Soviets were hellbent on starting a war with the US when the Soviets were mostly just paranoid about the US attacking them first. Nothing ... ever ... changes, especially the way right wing nuts think.

            • The Soviets loudly proclaimed their destiny was to cover the entire world with their great gift, communism.

              The idea that the US would attack the heavily armed Soviets is ridiculous. The Soviets for their half wanted to take the West intact, so they concentrated on subversion. Unfortunately they had many, many true believers in the West. They couldn't understand why people would betray their own people in favor of an evil philosophy, so they just scratched their heads and called them "useful idiots". T

              • Had a brief look at their comment history. They are either a paid shill or a useful idiot. Either way they are a disingenuous bigoted shitposter and impossible to debate with.

              • There has been a LOT of subversion from within. Enough that I'm not convinced that the Cold War didn't end exactly the way the communists wanted it to.

                Among people significantly younger than myself (early 50s), I don't encounter even 5% who understand why leftism, socialism and communism are awful, awful ideas. Even at my age, it's hit or miss. The healthy desire to improve one's self and one's family's circumstances is nearly universally regarded as "greed," while the envy, theft, and murder required to

            • The US was convinced that the Soviets were hellbent on starting a war with the US when the Soviets were mostly just paranoid about the US attacking them first. Nothing ... ever ... changes,

              Well, you're right about nothing ever changing. The Left never meets an expansionist communist dictatorship empire that it doesn't like.

        • by Freischutz ( 4776131 ) on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @07:52PM (#59577462)

          Where are you getting this? I'm right wing and the issues I have seen talked about in 'right wing' media about China have been around human rights abuses, trade imbalance, social credit scores, IP theft, forced technology transfers, belt and road, and South China sea militarization. I haven't seen anything xenophobic, perhaps you are consuming different media sources than I am?

          I interact with people from China on a pretty much daily basis and I've never encountered anyone that was concerned about being attacked by the US. I have met quite a few that were concerned with the urban planning disaster you talked about though. I also hear them talk about pollution, economics, college, transportation, family, jobs and other benign subjects that anyone else talks about. Frankly the concerns of the average person from China sound a whole lot like the concerns of the average American.

          The American right wing today is basically the Trump party and I watch Trump rallies. What is left of the conventional American right wing that has not become a simpering Donald J. Trump fan club has been marginalised to the point of unimportance. As for China, what do you think the whole building airbases bristling with missile platforms in the South China Sea thing is about? Because they are afraid Phillipino fishing boats might poach Chinese fish? It's mostly about unsinkable aircraft carriers and missile platforms. What are they there for? Five words: The United States Pacific Fleet. If you have completely missed that you need to do some boning up on what Chinese government and military types have been saying since they watched the US disassemble the Saddam Hussein regime in a matter of days back in the 1990s. Ask the Chinese which country they are most afraid of finding themselves at war with and it's not Britain, France, Germany, India, Japan, Russia, ... its the US and Donald Trump's trade wars have done little to dissuade then of that perception.

          • You are a troll and an idiot. But you criticized DJT so bonus karma for you.

          • There is NOTHING right-wing about Trump. He is far-left, just not quite as far as the Demoncrats. A true right-wing would prefer the Bill of Rights over the 10 planks of the Communist Manifesto. No prominent Republican today does that, and few Demoncrats even pretend to. Read them both for yourself. We need a right-wing (a la Pinochet but hopefully less violent, but, to be clear, if I have to choose, I prefer the violent and unjustifiable deaths of thousands, over that of billions, if I must choose bet
        • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          It's not so much the issues being raised as the conclusions you are lead to.

          China does bad stuff. Okay, what are we going to do about it? Trade war that hurts both us and the average Chinese person who has no idea about and no control over any of it? Be fearful of Chinese products when we know for a fact that our own governments spy on us and are a much bigger threat to us? Trust Cisco and Microsoft's great security instead?

          Ask yourself why they suddenly care about all this and not all the other bad things

      • There is also the possibility that what you're seeing here and in other so-called 'news stories' is actually China shilling. Here at least if you post negative comments about the Chinese government you'll get shouted down, ridiculed, and see your comment modded down to negative one. Seems obvious to me.
      • Oh look, it's pro-China propaganda from the usual suspects. Why aren't you ever on our side against threats?
    • You are missing the point, which is urbanization. This is the first time the majority of people on earth lived in cities. China is a big part of that, not just because its large population, but because of urbanization. It alters (or reflects) how people making a living, the functional purpose of the family unit - everything.
    • "Obvious" is not a synonym for "true".

      Note that the proportion of cites over 1 million to total population is less for China that for the United States, and previously it was even lower.

      Furthermore, the answer is very depending on the definition of "city" used. Whatever metric used here is not specified, but it comes up with 45 cities for the US. According the US Census Bureau metrics, the US only has 10 cities larger than 1 million. Bother other metrics Russia has 10, 12 or 15 despite having half the popul

  • by X10 ( 186866 )

    Decade begins next year.

    • by Nkwe ( 604125 )

      Decade begins next year.

      Depends on how you define decade [wikipedia.org]. A recent poll suggests that Americans prefer the definition that says we are now in a new decade.

      • by X10 ( 186866 )

        Math is not what people say in a poll. The first decade ended in 10. Unless you want the first decade to have only 9 years.

      • by Kjella ( 173770 )

        Depends on how you define decade. A recent poll suggests that Americans prefer the definition that says we are now in a new decade.

        Not surprised, for everything else we start at zero and celebrate 10, 20, 30... years of age, being married, since graduation etc. so obviously we want year 2000 to be 2000 years after some significant event. We want to put 2000 candles on a birthday cake, not Jesus Christ becoming 1999 and starting his 2000th year. It's also linguistically superior that "the sixties" are sixty through sixty-nine. Also the lack of a year zero fucks with the simplest of math, 50 AD and 50 BC is not 100 years apart so by ever

    • Comment removed based on user account deletion
      • The TDS is strong with this one! Lol! Whatever else happens, Bernie will -never- get close to the presidency. This country is not ready to elect an ancient grumpy unreformed communist who just had a heart attack. The very thought is ridiculous.
        • That post went sideways fast didn't it? It's almost as if its entire purpose was to give you something to respond to.
    • Nope [xkcd.com]

    • When this issue came up around Jan 01, 2000 I read a pretty insightful comment about it. The comment was that the 20th century began on Jan 01, 1901 because that was the formal definition and at the time popular culture deferred to authority for such things. But the 20th century ended on Dec 31, 1999 because by then popular culture had come to dominate in such things as naming of centuries, decades, etc. Thus the "20th Century" had 99 years and all subsequent "Centuries" and "Decades" start on the year e

    • You are correct. Sadly, most people wouldn't understand why.

      The year "0 AD" does not exist. So decades go 1-10 AD, 11-20AD, etc.

      Of course, that only applies to the Julian and Gregorian calendars. And the Julian calendar had its own problems (which is why we don't use it anymore).

  • China's rapid industrialization is draining the coal reserves [wikipedia.org] fast...

    around 100 billion tons in reserves, only half that is high grade anthracite.

    4 billion tons annual consumption [chinadialogue.net]

    25 years left then..... less so if the industrialization continues. Ouch.

    • Which is why they are buying coal mines from India and Africa.
      China has NO INTENTION of stopping fossil fuels.
  • by account_deleted ( 4530225 ) on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @02:00PM (#59576564)
    Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • Overwhelming is a very poor word choice in this case. Having X number of people living in cities is not a competition, and in fact, in the opinion of many people (myself included) cities with over 1 million people aren't desirable.

    • In the U.S., perhaps not. But Seoul, Tokyo, Paris, Santiago de Chile (well, before the recent uprisings), Zurich, and even the safer parts of Mexico City and Rio and London and Lagos and Johannesburg and Istanbul and Metro Manila, all seem pretty desirable to me, especially as judged by comparison to their surrounding regions which offer far less economic opportunity by comparison.

  • Can't go on forever. I'm just sayin'
  • Why is this even posted? It's not news. At best it's a 'factoid'.

    NEWS FLASH: Chinese breed like rabbits and jam everyone into cities, film at eleven!

    That's what this amounts to.
    Slow news day much, Slashdot editors? Was there nothing more important than this? Or are you just China shilling again? They paying you to post this or something?

  • by b0s0z0ku ( 752509 ) on Wednesday January 01, 2020 @04:33PM (#59577052)
    New York has 8 million people because it absorbed its surrounding suburbs in the late 1800s. Boston, DC, and SF didn't do so, so they only have 0.6 to 0.8 million people, even though their effective metro areas have many more people. Maybe China is just more efficient at consolidating municipal governments than we are :)
    • New York has 8 million people because it absorbed its surrounding suburbs in the late 1800s. Boston, DC, and SF didn't do so, so they only have 0.6 to 0.8 million people, even though their effective metro areas have many more people. Maybe China is just more efficient at consolidating municipal governments than we are :)

      There are only 10 US cities with at least one million people based on the 2018 Census Bureau estimate. The 45 US cities mentioned in the summary certainly refers to metropolitan areas and are therefore not sensitive to city annexation and strict city limits.

      Also per capita, the 130 large Chinese cities for 1.4 billion people are less than the 45 large US cities for 330 million people. While it's certainly arguable that China has a great deal of urbanization, the summary's claim that "China now has 130 cit

      • by Matheus ( 586080 )

        ...and I'm not sure where they are getting those numbers either... As you say there are 10 cities (as of the 2018 numbers) that are > 1M in the US (although there are 2 that were so close there are probably 12 by now if not more) BUT according to the same stats the US has *53 metros that are > 1M so their 45 number isn't correct on either count.. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

        Where I live is a good example: Neither of the Twin Cities (Minneapolis + St. Paul in this case) are even 1/2M but our metro

  • ... questions to china's leaders how they're going to prevent overpopulation?

    I just hope their answers aren't about acquiring 'lebensraum'.
    The way it looks today is this:
    - huge movement towards (new) cities.
    - forced movement from overpopulated area's to underpopulated area's (like Tibet !!)
    - using infrastructural projects to gain influence in china's neighboring countries Thailand, Laos and Vietnam.
    - growing numbers of military units ... china already has the largest army in the world, but what for? ... def

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