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United States IT

Are Silicon Valley Tech Workers Now Swarming 'a Reluctant Austin'? (bloomberg.com) 222

Austin, Texas is America's fastest-growing major metro area, reports Bloomberg Businessweek, growing 30% from 2010 to 2019. But today a minimum wage worker hoping to afford a one-bedroom rental "would now need to work a 125-hour week."

And meanwhile, homeowner Matthew Congrove says he's now getting a half-dozen all-cash offers on his house every week. "In the boldest attempt, a stranger simply showed up at his home unannounced and asked to buy it..." Even Congrove — a software engineer who moved from Florida seven years ago — is most concerned about how the new wave of tech workers is affecting his adopted city's culture. Lately, he's seen more T-shirts bearing startup logos than band names. New condos have sprouted up where quirky bungalows once stood. And the commute time to his downtown office has tripled. "They just keep coming," Congrove says. "The fleece vests, the tech bros — that's definitely imported from California."

During the pandemic, Austin has welcomed more new residents from the Bay Area than from any other region outside Texas, according to records provided to Bloomberg by the U.S. Postal Service... Oracle late last year said it was moving its headquarters to Austin, and a stream of tech elites including prominent investor Jim Breyer and the chief executive officers of Dropbox and Splunk made plans to relocate. Elon Musk, the second-richest man in the world, is now a resident of Texas — though he hasn't said where — and Tesla Inc. is building a factory in Austin's outskirts, where Musk has said the company will need 10,000 people by 2022. He's also expanding the Austin area operations for Boring Co. and SpaceX, and has moved his personal foundation to the city's downtown.

For all his boosterism, even Musk recognizes the potential hazards of the influx he's helping spark. In a tweet on April 4, he called out the "urgent need to build more housing in greater Austin area!"

The region is facing the same boomtown dynamics that have plagued San Francisco for decades.... "There is a fairly broad-based concern that some of the things that aren't working in other areas are going to be brought here," says Dax Williamson, a managing director for Silicon Valley Bank who leads its technology banking practice for Central Texas. "If we price out the musicians we're going to find ourselves in a bad place." In a sign that may already be happening, Tesla recently selected a warehouse in southern Austin that served as music rehearsal space, with plans to transform it into a $2.5 million Tesla showroom this summer.

Hating California is a tradition in Texas, but Austin's growing pains aren't all California's fault. According to the Austin Chamber, more than half of newcomers from 2014 to 2018 came from other parts of the state, followed by just 8% from California and 3% from New York... Still, out-of-state arrivals from affluent cities tend to be richer than average existing residents and, as a consequence, have a greater impact on the local economy. "Probably 5 out of 10 of my clients are Californians, and others could say the same thing," says Susan Horton, president of the Austin Board of Realtors. "The majority are all tech people, and the last wave were all coming to work at Tesla."

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Are Silicon Valley Tech Workers Now Swarming 'a Reluctant Austin'?

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  • by zenlessyank ( 748553 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @02:35AM (#61262684)

    Grabs More PopKorn

    • by bradley13 ( 1118935 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @03:51AM (#61262804) Homepage
      I used to live in Austin (and have lived in every major city in Texas, except Houston). Austin was fine, when it was small. Over the past 30 years, it has been swarmed by an influx of Californians. They leave California because of all the things wrong there: high taxes, impossible housing prices, stupid regulations, etc, etc.. So they show up in Austin, and bring their politics with them. They vote for all the same things that screwed up California. Progressive politics, light rail, the whole ball of wax. Texas is great, but really, there ought to be a citizenship test. Maybe something really simple, like: you must own a gun and show that you can hit a target at a local range. I expect most of the Bay Area immigrants would break out in hives at the very idea.
      • All the "I know it's true but I refuse to point fingers at myself" modding this one down, it really is time to wake up and see the forest among the trees. Please take a solid look at whether Cali is better now vs. any number of decades ago. Take politics out of it for a moment, although that is genuinely a very large component. Think of all the amazing things that came out of California in the past, and tell me if they're still centered there.
        • Hollywood - moving to Canada, Georgia, etc.
        • Auto racing - move
        • by gmack ( 197796 )

          California is a victim of it's own success. Is there room for improvement? Definitely. But far from being the failed nanny state people keep making it out to be, it is the largest economy in the USA. Costs have gone up forcing business to relocate elsewhere, but that's what happens when you have too many businesses in too small of an area.

          Now Texas is the opposite of "Nanny state" but that brings even worse problems. For example: businesses need a functioning power grid, easy ways for employees to get

          • You mean all those things Texas was doing pretty good without. Also, fuck you and the power grid. As if golden california doesn't have power outages yearly. All states have issues and rare weather causes issues.

            As for all those other things, if you wanted them and had them in California, why the fuck did you leave California?

            Whatever. Living in San Diego the more of you people that leave the better. If enough progress leaves California, we may be able to get back to better.

      • Texas is great, but really, there ought to be a citizenship test. Maybe something really simple, like: you must own a gun and show that you can hit a target at a local range.

        ... and have parents who had the same surname even before they were married. If you have all that and more than ten fingers, you're in the wrong state, try Alabama.

        • And I'm obviously taking the piss there but I have to say, sheeit, poor Austin. Maybe you can learn from Oregon and put up signs that say "Austin is full, go away".
      • by Tablizer ( 95088 )

        I don't think you understand that "cowboy culture" just does not scale to heavier populations. The ancient Romans noticed the same thing as rural residence had trouble adapting to and accepting city culture, complaining about "regulations" etc. The red/blue culture war is not a new problem. It's like embedded programmers coming to work on CRUD software, and vice versa. They think different.

      • Texas is great, but only when it wants to be a part of hte US and it wants to be diverse. Texas sucks when it wants to be it's own independent country again, clamps down on political dissent, and marginalizes its minorities.

        Texas has very large cities, and cities tend to lean more liberal, whereas rural tends to lean more conservative. The only way to stop that sort of trend is to manipulate the electoral rules, which Texas has plenty of experience wity. Austin isn't liberal because Californians moved in

    • Re: (Score:3, Funny)

      Y'all need to enact mandatory gun ownership before it's too late.

    • Pretty much. Everyone was ranting about people leaving "Commiefornia" because of taxes, but unfortunately the truth hurts. Well now that truth is really banging on the door: They were looking for cheaper housing. A less insane commute wouldn't hurt either, but really not having to pay a million dollars (or more) for a fixer-upper on a postage stamp lot, using an interest only loan, was the primary motivator. To keep up the growth Texass is going to have to build more infrastructure, and they already have hi
    • The net flows between Austin and other Texas cities are interesting.

      Cities where there's a net inflow to Austin: Houston, Dallas, San Antonio, El Paso, Abilene, Laredo.

      Cities where there's a net outflow from Austin: Killeen, College Station, Odessa, Waco, Longview.

      The magnitude of the net outflow to Killeen is roughly 1/4 the size of the net inflow from Houston and 1/2 the size of the net inflow from Dallas.

      Data from here [austinchamber.com].
  • by BAReFO0t ( 6240524 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @03:18AM (#61262760)

    Not Wall Steet. Not Washington. The other cancer. ;)

  • by ErichTheRed ( 39327 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @06:26AM (#61262982)

    I live in metro NYC and it's expensive. California, especially a 75 mile radius around San Francisco, is a mind-boggling whole new level of expensive. Just like metro NY, they're not making any new land so there's only so many places to expand. Even with that, I'm not locked into a bidding war for a tiny 3 bedroom house with no property going for over $2M, just so my commute's less than 2 hours each way. Bring this kind of money and this willingness to pay crazy money into any real estate market and it'll go nuts.

    Austin's not exactly a sleepy little town, but one thing it has (not necessarily a good one either) is the ability to expand hundreds of miles in any direction. Traffic will suck and it'll become a massive sprawly mess as people buy $2M mansions on 3 acre lots (and pay $2000/year in property tax) with their SV tech bubble money...just look at metros like DFW or Atlanta with few natural boundaries. So I'm sure they can absorb the population -- not sure they'll like the result.

    Where I live, during the height of COVID and even a little bit today, houses are going for crazy amounts because people still want to live in NY but don't need to live in NYC anymore. Same goes for people living close to the city moving further out -- if you have to do a horrible commute 2 days a week instead of 5, suddenly living 1.5 hours away isn't awful anymore. The prices are crazy because people literally are trading $2M apartments (and I think a lot of residents who don't have retirement savings are seeing this as their one golden opportunity to move to North Carolina or Florida or whatever.) I imagine something similar is happening in Austin...a sleepy cow town suburb suddenly becomes super-hot real estate because it's near Tesla's headquarters.

    • by ohieaux ( 2860669 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @07:12AM (#61263068)

      ... as people buy $2M mansions on 3 acre lots (and pay $2000/year in property tax) with their SV tech bubble money...

      Texas has some of the highest property taxes a quick check on property taxes in the Auston areas shows a $3M property being about $54K/year

      • by CastrTroy ( 595695 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @07:40AM (#61263128)

        Good thing you don't have to spend $3 Million to have a nice place in Austin. $500K would do just fine, which would be about $9k a year in property tax. This might seem high to some people, but when you consider that there's no state income tax, that more than offsets the higher property tax. Even some houses for around $250k look not too bad compared to the cramped living conditions of San Fran and NYC.

        • Good thing you don't have to spend $3 Million to have a nice place in Austin.

          Austinite: So glad this isn't expensive like California.
          Transplants leaving California: Hold my beer.

          $500K would do just fine, which would be about $9k a year in property tax. This might seem high to some people, but when you consider that there's no state income tax, that more than offsets the higher property tax.

          Yes, but then you have to live in a state that has an even more fucked up power grid than California :D

    • Same thing has been happening in Ottawa, Canada. Only on a cheaper scales. People moving from Toronto and Vancouver are all too happy to pay only $1 million for a house in the suburbs. House prices are up 30% since last year, and don't look to be slowing down. And that's just the average. Because there are so many houses that are just completely unaffordable, the bottom end has seen ridiculous increases where people are now paying over $400k for a 2 bedroom apartment in the suburbs.

      I'm sure those prices so

    • it'll become a massive sprawly mess as people buy $2M mansions on 3 acre lots (and pay $2000/year in property tax)

      You’re off by at least an order of magnitude on the cost of property taxes here in Texas. Texas is one of the few states that doesn’t have a state income tax, so we make up for it in property taxes. To put things in perspective, I’m paying roughly 2.5x what your hypothetical mansion owner is paying in property taxes, but I’m living on land and in a home that is roughly 1/10th the house price/lot size of the scenario you posit.

      The property tax is perfectly reasonable when you consider

      • So true... and frustratingly so. Home prices have skyrocketed in the DFW area over the past 5 years and the tax rate has remained the same while revenues have increased dramatically. I live in a small city in the suburbs that has about 30k people and no new schools have been built in the past 5 years, there are a number of asphalt roads that are crumbling due to the soil, yet the city council sits in a new luxurious stone building and a new rec center was built even though there are a number of private op
    • We have the same thing in the UK, I've always worked remotely but recently have had an inrush of people moving out of London, Skipping the commuter belt and going straight into the countryside. Most are picking village locations that are within 30 minutes drive of a high speed train line so they can still pop into London a few days a week. So you can live 200-300 miles from London but still get 80% of your London Wage, its a 90-120 minute train journey twice a week and you just rent a bedsit for those days

    • Just like metro NY, they're not making any new land

      Slackers!

      Signed,
      The Netherlands

    • by fermion ( 181285 )
      The one thing that Austin has a 50% non Hispanic white population. Anywhere in Texas you can expand hundreds of miles in most directions.

      One has to assume that adults can make rational decisions about their lifestyle, and paying over 5 time the median income for a house is a fair trade for living where black people exists in single percentage point, and Hispanic people are not the majority. Otherwise they would live in a Texas city where a house is only three times the median income

  • by belthize ( 990217 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @07:09AM (#61263066)

    Old Transplants to Austin are complaining how newer transplants to Austin changed the culture such that a new wave of transplants to Austin are arriving from California.

    If you don't like it go back in time and ensure the TV show Austin City Limits never gets off the ground.

    • As a native born Californian from the 60s, I meet relatively few people in Silicon Valley who are native Californians. Transplants are just a fact of life here. Of course, you can't complain about it, and if you did you'd be in the minority :-)

      But one reason old timers moved away is simple. You had a dinky little cottage in Palo Alto and someone wants to pay half a million for it in 1990, then hell ya sell it and move somewhere else. Especially if your job could be done anywhere. If you had the low low

  • by kalpol ( 714519 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @08:17AM (#61263210)
    Being in the middle of it, I could sell but couldn't afford to move anywhere. Houses are going for double-digit percentages over asking in bidding wars. I get letters all the time with sob stories wanting to buy my house (and yet we are surrounded by full-time short-term rentals.) The entertainment districts are absolutely packed, even now. I don't mind the growth so much, but the transportation infrastructure needs to be vastly improved yet we are being priced out by property taxes, and may just end up leaving anyway. San Angelo is looking pretty good these days.
    • Assuming you want to landlord. Sounds like a great opportunity to move somewhere in the area cheaper, rent out your existing place to cover the mortgage/taxes/some extra income. If things cool down, you could move back into the house that someone else helped pay for =)
    • I don't mind the growth so much, but the transportation infrastructure needs to be vastly improved yet we are being priced out by property taxes

      Austin doesn't mind collecting taxes, but they hate spending money on infrastructure.

      The real problem is, how do you fix the 35? Since Austin sprawled out instead of growing up, there's no good place to run another freeway.

      There's probably no way to fix Austin's transportation woes without a next-level solution. Either a subway, or a PRT, or both.

      • by kalpol ( 714519 )
        They've actually got some interesting plans to rebuilt 35 in a couple of buried decks, plus we just passed a ginormous bond for light rail. So hopefully that comes to something although I'll likely be long gone by then, with property taxes on the trajectory they are.
  • Honest question: is this guy [businessinsider.com] right in his synopsis of life in Texas?
    • by kalpol ( 714519 )
      we made so much fun of him when that article was posted. Huge whiner. Yes, things are different here, it's much much hotter than San Diego and there are bugs. Yes, we don't have all public land, but we do have a lot of state parks that are nice. Yes you are whining when it is 105 outside and you want to be cooler than 79 degrees in your acre-sized mansion with its basketball court. It's like me moving to San Francisco and complaining about the fog and the traffic. "There are no snowy mountains, no raging
    • Honest question: is this guy [businessinsider.com] right in his synopsis of life in Texas?

      After reading the article, looking it over for accuracy ....

      He sold his 1/3 acre 2000-square foot San Diego home, bought a 4000 square foot home, pool, outdoor basketball court, a quarter acre of lawn (so probably a half acre total?) which he sodded and watered despite making a bunch of comments about the huge volumes of water (spending $1200/month in water, in comparison we rarely run sprinklers only during two months of the summer for our yard) while also talking about how "Austin is wet, and the greener

  • by buddyglass ( 925859 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @08:53AM (#61263316)

    Even Congrove — a software engineer who moved from Florida seven years ago — is most concerned about how the new wave of tech workers is affecting his adopted city's culture.

  • by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @09:27AM (#61263468)
    when the entire Southwest runs out of water. There's a small chance that California will fire up and/or build enough desalinization plants but I can't see Texas (Az & NM for that matter) building out the infrastructure needed to get the water they need. They couldn't even weatherize a power grid after more than one weather related outage...
  • Salt Lake City is becoming a technology destination too. Younger, better educated population and better management during the last year are two big factors.

    • The problem with SLC is that it's not primarily tech. If you live in Silicon Valley, there's a good chance you can find a company where you are treated with respect as a programmer.

      In Salt Lake City, even if you work at a startup, you will be treated as a cost center, and you will be resented. Or you can work at Adobe. Everyone loves that. :/

  • Look, regardless of your politics, there's really only one solution to housing prices and it's building taller buildings until the supply is enough. Prices haven't dropped enough yet? Put up another building. Singapore and basically all of Japan work on that model, and it's the only way to get lots of people into a small space. There's a limit to how much your city can grow area-wise and still be viable, and suburbs are slowly (or not so slowly) bankrupting cities—infrastructure upkeep on vast swathes of single family homes is killing cities across north america.

    If you want a population of people that do your dirty/boring/service work—cleaners, baristas, grocery store shelf-stockers, whatever—you have to have somewhere for them to live. I can respect the progressive politics of California and SF, but NIMBYism undercuts any good intentions you have. Talk a good game about worker rights and marginalization all you want, but until you stop trying to stop all development that might actually alleviate homelessness, you're not a progressive at all.

    But people keep getting told that their home is an asset that should accrue in value, rather than a liability that serves a purpose (you should really only consider the land an asset; the house depreciates and requires a lot of maintenance and can be wiped out in a moment of bad luck), so they're extremely resistant to anything that drops the value, including building more housing until the local price goes down. Affordable housing is honestly a largely solved problem if you're just willing to build up.

    • >If you want a population of people that do your dirty/boring/service workâ"cleaners, baristas, grocery store shelf-stockers, whateverâ"you have to have somewhere for them to live.

      Or you can pay a location wage premium and invest in some excellent public transit infrastructure so they can commute. If the city's generating enough wealth that you just HAVE to have an office downtown, then it's generating enough wealth to pay more for the service workers.

      The problem is excessive greed - wanting a

      • by kalpol ( 714519 )
        >invest in some excellent public transit infrastructure so they can commute This is in fact being done, but it's driving property taxes up even faster, so people can't afford to live downtown anyway.
    • by kalpol ( 714519 )
      No one wants that though. They want a big house with a yard, where the schools are good, and since there's so much space in Texas, they figure out how to get it in the burbs. Living in downtown apartments is for young singles. There isn't much in the way of transportation here except by car, and you can't have a family and run them around and do errands and such without a car, and then parking is pricey, not to mention downtown is still a limited area and a limited resource. With the demand for it, prices w
      • They do and they don't, right? They want it, but they complain about the commute, the taxes, the fact that there's nothing nearby, that they have to drive everywhere, that prices are going up, that the roads are crumbling, that there's always construction...

        Like, these are all problems because they insist on single-family homes with a big yard, rather than 6 high-rise towers with a huge public park and nearby swimming pools and whatever. I'm not saying big-city living doesn't have its own problems. But what

  • Lately, he's seen more T-shirts bearing startup logos than band names.

    Winner, most inane thing to worry about, ever.

    If this gentrification is the problem, stop the nimby zoning regulations.

    Greedy capitalism will happily throw up buildings until the costs come down.

  • Good (Score:4, Interesting)

    by couchslug ( 175151 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @10:10AM (#61263732)

    Profit is made and those not liking change can sell and cash out. Cities exist for economic reasons and development is a fine opportunity for existing residents to sell then retire somewhere inexpensive and comfortable.

    Cities are not for living out your whole life (unless you're immensely wealthy). They are places to make money then escape, that is all. They're for living in when you're young, mobile and don't care about owning anything incompatible with mobility.

    The US has near-infinite room for development and as desired cities fill up people can move elsewhere and enrich those areas with their money. Texas has no geographic constraints like CA and nothing worth preserving that would block development. Austin can grow for centuries.

  • The left always says race doesn't exist, until it's politically useful for them.

    When will they become self-consistent in their usage (or denial) of race?

  • by erp_consultant ( 2614861 ) on Monday April 12, 2021 @12:26PM (#61264448)

    Californians are fleeing the state in droves. It's gotten so bad that you can't even get a moving van - there are none available. They are going to Austin because Austin is regarded as the most liberal city in Texas.

    They are leaving California because of high taxes, high home prices, excess regulations, terrible traffic, poor schools and high crime. I would argue that all of this is directly attributable to failed liberal policies in California. So they are now descending on mass to Austin confident that the same policies that have failed in California will somehow work in Texas.

    The near term effects are already evident. The house prices are soaring in Austin, as well as Boise and Phoenix to a lesser degree. Traffic is becoming a nightmare. The excess regulations and poor schools will take longer to materialize but I predict that is also on the way.

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