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Earth

Can Heat Pumps Change Demand for Air Conditioners Into a Climate-Change Win? (nytimes.com) 361

The New York Times reports: As global warming fuels deadly heat waves across the country, more Americans in places like the Pacific Northwest are rushing out to buy air-conditioners for the first time. One common concern is that a surge in air-conditioning could make the planet even hotter, by increasing the need for electricity from power plants running on coal or gas, which produce emissions that drive global warming.

But some energy experts, as well as cities like Denver and Berkeley, California, have recently started exploring a counterintuitive strategy: Soaring demand for air-conditioning might actually be a prime opportunity to reduce fossil fuel emissions and fight climate change. The idea is simple: If Americans are going to buy air-conditioners anyway, either for the first time or to replace older units, why not convince them to buy electric heat pumps instead? Although the name can be confusing, an electric heat pump is essentially an air-conditioner that is slightly modified so that it can run in two directions, cooling the home in the summer and providing heat in the winter. That extra heating function is the key to helping tackle climate change. During the cooler months, heat pumps could warm homes far more efficiently than the furnaces that run on fossil fuels or electric resistance heaters that most households currently use, which would cut down on carbon dioxide emissions. Existing furnaces would only need to be used as backup on the coldest days of the year, since many heat pumps work less efficiently in subzero temperatures.

Most manufacturers already offer heat pump versions of the air-conditioners they sell, but they're typically about $200 to $500 more expensive to make. So, the idea goes, policymakers would have to step in with subsidies or regulations to make adoption universal. But if done right, proponents say, households would see utility bills either drop or stay largely unchanged, and they would even enjoy a more comfortable heating experience.

The Times spoke to Nate Adams, a home performance consultant who proposed the idea in a recent paper written with experts at Harvard University CLASP, a nonprofit formerly known as the Collaborative Labeling and Appliance Standards Program advising governments on energy efficiency. "Working with energy modelers, Mr. Adams and his co-authors estimated that, if two-way heat pumps become the standard option when people installed new central air-conditioning, they would be in 44% of American homes by 2032, up from just 11% today. On average, those homes could cut their fossil fuel use during the colder months by at least one-third. And, as states move to clean up their electricity grids by adding more wind and solar power, the climate benefits from those electric heat pumps would increase..."

"Homes and offices account for 13 percent of the nation's annual greenhouse gas emissions, with much of that from oil or natural gas burned in furnaces, hot water heaters, ovens, stoves and dryers. While the United States has made major strides in reducing pollution from power plants, building emissions have barely budged since 2005."
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Can Heat Pumps Change Demand for Air Conditioners Into a Climate-Change Win?

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  • PNW (Score:4, Insightful)

    by darkain ( 749283 ) on Sunday July 04, 2021 @04:44PM (#61550698) Homepage

    Just for those curious, here in the PNW especially with the massive heat wave we just had: we're 90%+ hydroelectric in this region. And the only reason that percentage is going DOWN is because of the massive expansion to wind power. Those "fears", at least in the referenced PNW, are total bullshit and trying to shame individual consumers, rather than having mass-polluting mega-corporations take responsibility for their mass-polluting.

    • Same here in British Columbia, 98% hydroelectricity.

      My well-insulated home is heated with electricity and I have a conventional air conditioner for hot summer days. If I can do better I'd like to know how. One size does not fit all.

      ...laura

    • by fermion ( 181285 )
      Wind and solar is going to have to be more aggressively pursued as water is simply going to become less available. Hoover Dam had to retrofitting so it would function below 1000 feet.
      • This is WA weâ(TM)re talking about. We are pretty much, coast, rivers, lakes and snow capped mountains here. We are nothing but water, which is probably why this region is so dominant with hydro power. We were the region that had rhe major heat wave, so the author of the article should have done better research. coal is the smallest percentage of our power production in the PNW. We have pretty much nothing to do with California or the desert where the hoover dam is located. This is the region where we
    • Re:PNW (Score:5, Informative)

      by PPH ( 736903 ) on Sunday July 04, 2021 @05:09PM (#61550784)

      we're 90%+ hydroelectric in this region

      Yes and no. Our electricity is 90%+ hydro. But many people heat with natural gas. And oil. And even coal. If you can get them to switch to electric heat pump away from fossil fuel heat by offering a/c as a 'free' extra, great. But that represents additional electric load. And we don't have a carbon based fuel problem. We have a distribution system capacity problem. We had quite a few outages during last week's heat wave just from the small amount of air conditioning load on our systems.

      In the Pacific Northwest, residential circuits tended to peak during the winter. Which was OK because the overload rating could be stretched on equipment because dissipating losses is easier in cold weather. No more. Now circuits are starting to hit peak loads during hot weather. When keeping them cool is more difficult. Driving around, I'm shocked by the number of pole pigs (transformers) I see with blackened, scorched paint jobs due to them running far over design temperatures.

    • And the only reason that percentage is going DOWN is because of the massive expansion to wind power.

      Well, that and the fact that we've recently torn down a number of dams because of their environmental impact... and we're not building new ones.

  • by ugen ( 93902 ) on Sunday July 04, 2021 @05:08PM (#61550776)

    So here is the story of the government regulation gone wrong.

    I live in a condo, built in 1970s. It has a space and an outlet designed for a certain form factor AC/heat pump, which was the "original equipment". That form factor is quite compact, smaller than most of those used in newer style condos (you'll see why in a minute).

    Sometime in the late 90s government passed new efficiency standards. These standards, while certainly well meaning, made heat pumps somewhat more complicated. To achieve these higher efficiency standards, they generally need to have larger pumps, more coil and, generally, more "stuff". There was one company up until 10 years ago, that tried building heat pumps that complied with the new standard but fit in the existing form factor. Unfortunately, their devices weren't the most reliable (hard to put all the required components in a small box) and also didn't quite pass the government testing. So they were heavily fined by the EPA and, eventually, went out of business.

    So, when the time came to replace the then 30 year old AC/heat pump, the previous owner had no option to get a heat pump and had to buy what is still available in that form factor - which is a plain old AC + electric "emergency heat" coils. When I moved in a number of years ago, I looked high and low for a heat pump option - but none are available, because none are good enough for the government's standards.

    So, my condo in the winter (October - March) is heated with what is, essentially, a giant hair dryer (resistive heat in the forced air path). This is as inefficient as any heating system can get in principle. It's also extremely expensive for me (my winter heating electric bills are 2-3 times more than the AC bill in summer). I wish I could get a heat pump, but alas - the government made it impossible. They'd rather I burn a ton of electricity for plain heat than use a (slightly less than maximum but still orders of magnitude more efficient than resistive heat) heat pump.

    So, I am pretty sure this will be another thing the government will fuck up just like they did before. Good luck.

    • by Pinky's Brain ( 1158667 ) on Sunday July 04, 2021 @07:00PM (#61551144)

      The owner could have just boarded up the holes and installed splits.

      Being completely dependent on finding something which could fit a give size hole 50 years later would have had a huge chance of failure regardless of government interference, that's just the owner being inflexible.

      • by caseih ( 160668 )

        He is the owner.

        • Oh, missed that. Let me rephrase then, that's the owner or the HOA being inflexible.

          If the HOA isn't being a bunch of anal assholes, get a sawzall and widen the hole or if it's up not too high, replace with a split.

    • by jeff4747 ( 256583 ) on Sunday July 04, 2021 @08:26PM (#61551416)

      If you're interested in updating, take a look at modern split systems. The exterior unity comes in a variety of sizes, and the interior unit is attached to an interior wall, so it is not as size constrained as your old system.

  • by adfraggs ( 4718383 ) on Sunday July 04, 2021 @05:36PM (#61550888)

    In our part of the world they're just called "reverse cycle" air conditioners. Had 4 of them running in my home for nearly 10 years and it's commonplace technology that certainly shouldn't be "news". I wouldn't count on it to get me through a winter that hits freezing or below but it's absolutely good enough for what we go through. Got one running in our main living space upstairs right now and it's doing a great job.

    • by cowwoc2001 ( 976892 ) on Sunday July 04, 2021 @08:01PM (#61551330)

      For what it's worth, I live in Canada and I've run on heat pump alone (no electric heating) down to 14 Fahrenheit quite comfortably. Heat pumps can run below freezing and would work fine in most parts of the US.

  • I live in Argentina, and most AC units are now reversible (cold/heat) and inverter based. They're extremely efficient, specially in the winter, when it works as a reverse AC unit, it uses less power than a heating element.

    If the day is too cold, you may need something extra to get to the right temperature if your house is not properly isolated.

  • I live in the SF Bay Area and need to replace my central AC units. Converting to a heat pump is a surprisingly small delta, about 20% IIRC. It's not surprising when you think about it: all it takes is adding some diverter valves and probably re-engineering the heat exchangers to work at both high and low pressure.

    I'm still on the fence about it. In our area, we're on the edge of wanting to still have a gas furnace for back up use on very cold days. Not having to buy a furnace makes the numbers much more att

    • Is it bad form to reply to my own post?

      Turns out, you can also buy heat-pump based water heaters and clothes dryers. The dryer is really interesting: hot air only exists inside the unit so it doesn't need a vent and doesn't need to draw in outside air.

      The impression I get is heat pumps are getting cheap enough and reliable enough that we can start thinking of them in all cases where we want heat. I wonder when I'm getting a heat pump oven or stove...

    • Anyone telling you that you need a backup gas furnace in the SF bay area is lying to you. The higher end heat pumps have supplemental electric heating ("heat strips") built in, but even that is probably unnecessary for the weather you get. Supplemental gas heating is for places that routinely get temperatures below about 20F.

      I'm also in CA and I have a heat pump. It has no problem with the winters here.

  • The Technology Connections YouTube channel has a great video explaining just what heat pumps (or as we call them in Australia, reverse cycle air conditioners) are, how they work and why they are such a good idea.

    There is another video explaining ground source (aka geothermal) heat pumps and why they are such a good idea.

  • British Columbia is 100% hydro powered. Washington State is about 90% hydro and other renewable powered, plus about 7% nuclear. It's around 3% coal and natural gas. Oregon is a relatively dirty state in terms of electrical generation: easily 2/3 from coal and natural gas.

    The point is that too many people think that using electric devices means it is just hiding the use of coal and other fossil fuels for generating electric power. In too many places that is true. But in many places it simply isn't. The population may be less than California's, but Canada has virtually no coal powered electric generation, except maybe for Alberta. And Canada sells (actually we get ripped off because the politicians here basically give it away for free or even subsidize it) electricity from hydro generation to America. New York state and much of the north east gets much of their power from Ontario, Quebec, and even Newfoundland.
  • by q_e_t ( 5104099 ) on Monday July 05, 2021 @02:09AM (#61552030)

    In the UK is rare for houses to have forced air heating. There were a few built this way in the 1960s, and I nearly bought one, but what put me off was the forced air heating which would have been expensive to run and which I would have wanted replaced by radiators or other more traditional methods. You can team radiators up with heat pumps (ground or air source) rather than using natural gas for heating.

    But I wonder if it's possible to run radiators cold in summer? E.g. have something chilling the water and whether that would help cool rooms. Convection would not be in your favour (*). Underfloor would be more effective both for heating and cooling I would expect, but would also need a lot of retrofitting, doesn't necessarily work with floor coverings as well (I have pets and no carpets but that's not common). Cooling of this sort, if effective, might work well with heat pumps. I would seriously have my doubts that the typical size of radiators in the UK would be effective, even with cool or cold water being continuously pumped through, though, but the advantage would be not having to retrofit every room when the need for air con in the average UK home is relatively infrequent.

    • by Chrisq ( 894406 )
      Running cold radiators would lead to all sorts of condensation problems. That's why you see all the adverts for heat pump heating systems, not cooling. With the electricity costs in the UK heat pumps cost more to run than gas heating, but can save money if you are not connected to a gas main.

Keep up the good work! But please don't ask me to help.

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