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Businesses The Almighty Buck

Huge 20-Year Study Shows Trickle-Down Is a Myth, Inequality Rampant (businessinsider.com) 646

Inequality has remained persistently high for decades, and a new report shows just how stark the divide is between the richest and poorest people on the planet. Insider reports: The 2022 World Inequality Report, a huge undertaking coordinated by economic and inequality experts Lucas Chancel, Thomas Piketty, Emmanuel Saez, and Gabriel Zucman, was the product of four years of research and produced an unprecedented data set on just how wealth is distributed. "The world is marked by a very high level of income inequality and an extreme level of wealth inequality," the authors wrote. The data serves as a complete rebuke of the trickle-down economic theory, which posits that cutting taxes on the rich will "trickle down" to those below, with the cuts eventually benefiting everyone.

They argue in the new report that the last two decades of wealth data show that "inequality is a political choice, not an inevitability." For instance, when it comes to wealth, which accounts for the values of assets people hold, researchers found that the "poorest half of the global population barely owns any wealth at all." That bottom half owns just 2% of total wealth. That means that the top half of the world holds 98% of the world's wealth, and that gets even more concentrated the wealthier you get. Indeed, the richest 10% of the world's population hold 76%, or two-thirds of all wealth. That means the 517 million people who make up the top hold vastly more than the 2.5 billion who make up the bottom. The world's policy choices have led to wealth trickling up rather than down.

One group in particular has seen its share of global wealth swell. The report notes that "2020 marked the steepest increase in global billionaires' share of wealth on record." Broadly, the number of billionaires rose to a record-number in 2020, with Wealth-X finding that there are now over 3,000 members of the three-comma club. Billionaire gains are a well-documented trend: The left-leaning Institute for Policy Studies and Americans for Tax Fairness found that Americans added $2.1 trillion to their wealth during the pandemic, a 70% increase.
Some of the solutions that the authors propose to help alleviate this disparity center around taxation. "It would be completely unreasonable not to ask more to top wealth-holders in the future, especially in light of the social, developmental and environmental challenges ahead," they write.

That means expanding wealth taxes like property taxes to all different types of wealth, and to make taxes progressive -- meaning they increase with net worth.
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Huge 20-Year Study Shows Trickle-Down Is a Myth, Inequality Rampant

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  • Summary has it (Score:5, Insightful)

    by WoodstockJeff ( 568111 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:15PM (#62057295) Homepage

    "inequality is a political choice, not an inevitability."

    On a global scale, there are countries dedicated to keeping the poor down. The poor are easier to control. People with significant wealth are more likely to try to acquire more, and disobey the control.

    • it's the people in them. Some people want there to be poor, and many if not most aren't rich themselves. There's no shortage of small business owners who frankly can't run a business and only survive by exploiting the poor. And then you've got the working class themselves, many of who either aren't or don't see themselves as the bottom rung and wouldn't want to eliminate hunger and homelessness because they feel it would reduce their quality of life. Folks like that are big on hierarchies, think the Karens
      • by drinkypoo ( 153816 ) <drink@hyperlogos.org> on Wednesday December 08, 2021 @10:28AM (#62059023) Homepage Journal

        Some of those people have had their minds warped by religious beliefs intended to keep them working hard. Others, however, have had an even more corrupt version of those beliefs transmitted to them by politicians. Governments take an active role in keeping down the poors, and that propaganda is only one way in which they do it, but it's a real way with real effects. If propaganda didn't work to influence people to make decisions, no one would bother with it.

  • by Fly Swatter ( 30498 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:16PM (#62057297) Homepage
    More like piss down economics, but politicians can't be honest.
    • by olsmeister ( 1488789 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:19PM (#62057311)
      One of my favorite memes [memegenerator.net] on the subject.
    • I've always called it golden shower economics, although that might just encourage the toes of conservative that are always touting the idea.
    • More like piss down economics, but politicians can't be honest.

      Not sure why you are knocking it, it’s economic polices are pegged to the golden shower standard.

    • It's true, politicians can't be honest. Generally speaking, honesty doesn't earn votes. "The masses" aren't the smartest bunch, and are quick to vote for pleasing promises rather than harsh truths. So, the best liars are the ones who win.

    • First, this "article" is pretty much straight-up political propaganda, but yes, "Trickle down" was always an insult, because it's a term made-up by people in order to oppose what they made it up to describe. There's no such thing as an economist or politician in favor of "trickle down economics". It's a straw-man name created to deceive people.

      Second, the idea that income or wealth is distributed [google.com], i.e. "shared or spread out" is generally false. In a market, sources of income and wealth are created and volun

  • 20 Years (Score:5, Insightful)

    by JBMcB ( 73720 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:19PM (#62057315)

    Starting in 2001 after the dot-com bust and 9/11 recession, the US federal reserve has been printing trillions of virtual dollars and pumping them into the largest banks. Have you been getting that money? No? Guess who gets most of it?

    Weird how the never-ending low interest rates and quantitative easing lines up with the increase in inequality.

    • by crgrace ( 220738 )

      Inequality has been getting worse since about 1980 or so, chief.

    • Starting in 2001 after the dot-com bust and 9/11 recession, the US federal reserve has been printing trillions of virtual dollars and pumping them into the largest banks.

      Congratulations on being one of maybe three Slashdot readers who actually knows what is going on. I see the moderators are attempting to punish you for it, as expected when you speak Truth to Glower.

      • Starting in 2001 after the dot-com bust and 9/11 recession, the US federal reserve has been printing trillions of virtual dollars and pumping them into the largest banks.

        Congratulations on being one of maybe three Slashdot readers who actually knows what is going on. I see the moderators are attempting to punish you for it, as expected when you speak Truth to Glower.

        More accurate translation: I *also* have little or no understanding of this subject - we should comment on it together, friend!

      • Re: (Score:3, Interesting)

        by Anonymous Coward

        Close, but that's not exactly what is going on. The Fed is artificially keeping interest rates low. It does that because we owe $30T in debt. Consider this, we collect about $2.5T in taxes not earmarked for specific purposes (like Social Security). 2.5/30 = 8%. So if interest rates rise to 8% all taxes will go to paying interest. At 4% half of all taxes collected go to interest, etc. Washington likes to spend money where they want to, and if interest expense is eating up 100% of taxes collected, they can't

        • by q_e_t ( 5104099 ) on Wednesday December 08, 2021 @03:38AM (#62058099)
          The issue is not primarily the debt the US government owns, but that owned by private individuals and their willingness to borrow more and put it to productive use. With the potential for demand-side issues (2008 or 2020) then one option is set interest rates sufficiently low to effectively bring forward demand from the future by making borrowing sufficiently cheap. This is informed from experiences from the 1930s and other systemic shocks when demand was severely affected, which can lead to decade-long slow downs. It does kick the can down the road, but the alternatives are not very palatable. The difficult bit is unwinding. In the recent case demand has also been propped up by additional government spending.
  • by Black Parrot ( 19622 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:23PM (#62057317)

    Did they really need to undertake a 20-year study?

  • by alexhs ( 877055 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:23PM (#62057319) Homepage Journal

    76%, or two-thirds

    Slow clap to "Business Insider".

    • I noticed that as well. A complicated math analysis and the summary can't even get 76%~3/4 rather than 2/3. I would grant them 3/4 not that far off. Now I instinctively don't trust anything without seeing the data

  • Poor habits (Score:2, Interesting)

    by hunter44102 ( 890157 )
    We are comparing those who want to be wealthy (and do everything possible to save and build wealth) and those that were raised to live day to day and paycheck to paycheck. The people (and family members that I know ) make poor choices every day when it comes to learning new skills and saving money instead of buying junk and watching Netflix. Not sure why we keep having to point out inequalities and we want to punish success and the people that choose to save and be responsible?? The wealthy already subsid
    • Re: (Score:3, Informative)

      by DerekLyons ( 302214 )

      Not sure why we keep having to point out inequalities

      Because shitheads like yourself still exist - utter fucking mouthbreathing morons who think the only reason people are poor is because they make "poor choices" and "watch Netflix". And so long ignorant jackasses like yourself continue to exist, we'll keep pointing out the truth and hoping that eventually you'll learn.

      (It's kind of ironic that the folks who bleat about learning and education are the same ones that refuse to learn and insist on remaining i

    • when it comes to learning new skills and saving money

      That may be true, but not sure why you bring that up. Do you really think that billionaires became billionaires by "learning new skills and saving money"?

      If not, why is it relevant? Why subjecting the poor to a different bar than the rich?

  • The "Trickle-Down Economic Theory, which posits that cutting taxes on the rich will 'trickle down' to those below" was a political marketing construct used in the 1980s. This seems like a lot of pomp for such a naked strawman. Plus the 1980s was a long time ago... is Billy Mitchell involved in this study?
    • If only we had been told the rich digest that money before it trickles down, then maybe shock wouldn’t have crossed so many upward turned expectant faces.
    • The term lost currency decades ago. But the question of whether somebody like Jeff Bezos is making the lives of millions of people better or worse (net) in the process of amassing his billions is still very much in play.

      It's hard to answer because it's an apples-to-oranges comparision.

      On the plus side, consumers evidently like amazon.

      The minuses are slightly less direct - putting the squeeze on competitors and workers, so fewer people get to be business owners. Entrepreneurship is down by about 50

  • by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:28PM (#62057331)
    was rebrand trickle down economics as "Job Creators". It's the same idea, but completely shifts the focus. And it speaks to people who live their whole lives fearful of job losses (most of us, and all of us after 50).
  • by Ichijo ( 607641 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:32PM (#62057351) Journal

    Give a rich man a dollar, he'll lock it away in savings. Eventually he'll spend it, maybe.

    Give a poor man a dollar, he'll put it right back into circulation, immediately benefitting the economy. Because everyone knows that the poor can't save money.

    The difference between the two behaviors is called the Marginal Propensity to Consume [wikipedia.org].

    So if you want to improve the economy, take money from the rich and give it to the poor.

    Trickle-down economics was always a myth. What works in real life is trickle-up economics!

    • Something else a relative pointed out. One will not grow rich working for a poor man.

      • by Drethon ( 1445051 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:56PM (#62057407)

        Something else a relative pointed out. One will not grow rich working for a poor man.

        And most people working for rich men don't become rich either.

        • you know, this is pretty much true for anyone just working for someone else.

          unless you go out and start building a business, or investing in assets outside of you 9-5, you'll never grow wealth.

          • by Gimric ( 110667 )

            The point isn't getting rich. It used to be that a middle class income was enough to house and feed your family and have some security. That's becoming a pipe dream for many people.

  • by burtosis ( 1124179 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:34PM (#62057357)
    In the 19th century, the same theory was more pungently described as the “horse and sparrow theory.” If the horse is fed enough oats, some of it will pass through the horse’s digestive tract and be excreted on the road, where the sparrows will find enough to satisfy their own modest needs. Some tried to make it sound a bit less inequitable, or less scatological, by re-naming it “Supply-side economics,” but what the workers actually gain from it is the same. It is just one more trick employed by the wealthy to impoverish the majority. It’s a financially insulating form of socialism for the business class while the people get nought but crony capitalism and a set of bootstraps.
  • The world's policy choices have led to wealth trickling up rather than down.

    In which direction does greed flow?

  • by OrangeTide ( 124937 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @09:43PM (#62057373) Homepage Journal

    In 1896, Democratic presidential candidate William Jennings Bryan described the concept using the metaphor of a "leak" in his Cross of Gold speech:
    “There are two ideas of government. There are those who believe that if you just legislate to make the well-to-do prosperous, that their prosperity will leak through on those below. The Democratic idea has been that if you legislate to make the masses prosperous their prosperity will find its way up and through every class that rests upon it.”

    We've been cracking jokes on trickle down and supply-side economics for the entirety of the 20th century. Anyone who isn't laughing by now is either in on the joke or the next sucker.

    Improve the standard of living of your workers and they'll take that prosperity and send it straight into the economy without even pausing to consider if they should shield it in a tax haven or save it in a bank. What a wealthy person does with a windfall is a far different story.

  • "researchers are some of the leading minds on inequality" and they found "wait for it" inequality and trickle down economics does not work. Guess I will wait for their presentation on what does work.
  • by steveha ( 103154 ) on Tuesday December 07, 2021 @11:37PM (#62057685) Homepage

    I don't care about "inequality". I care about whether people are doing okay.

    The economy is not a zero-sum game. For one person to be rich does not require another person to be poor. We could have everyone doing at least okay and a few people super-wealthy, and I would be fine with that.

    In America, even people considered to be poor usually have access to food and even things like cell phones. Now consider this: even the richest person in the world did not have access to a smartphone in 1980. As technology improves, we all get better off... this is part of what I mean when I say that the economy is not a zero-sum game.

    I don't want people to suffer, and I would like to see the poor get helped. But we already tax the wealthy at a really high rate, and according to this page [heritage.org] the top 1% of taxpayers pay 40% of all income taxes. Is that not enough to be "their fair share"? If not, what would be?

    I'm comfortably middle-class, and while I don't like inflation it doesn't hurt me much. But the US government is "printing" lots of currency (most of it virtual, just rows in banking databases) and inflating the heck out of the money, and that hurts the people who are trying to get by on limited income. Where I live, the cost of restaurant meals has gone up by something like 2.5 times in just the past couple of decades. Meanwhile, government benefits have not kept up [fool.com], because they are indexed to the official inflation numbers, and officially there isn't much inflation. (It used to be that inflation was tracked by checking on the prices of things, but these days the government uses hedonics [mises.org] to argue that there isn't much inflation even when prices go up. For example, the cost of steak might have gone up, but the government will tell you that people simply switched to eating chicken and were equally happy, so there was in effect no food price inflation!)

    So I am not convinced that it is an actual problem that there is an "inequality gap"... people not having enough money to live on is a problem, but the rich getting richer is not in and of itself a problem. And I'm not sure what we could do to fix this problem even if I accepted it as a problem; IMHO the government has not been doing a good job of helping the poorest (inflating the money supply hurts the poorest the most and benefits have not kept pace).

    IMHO the real problem is "how best can we help those who need help?" Not "how can we drag the rich people down?"

    P.S. If the economy is good and everyone is becoming better off, I would count that is a win even if the richest people grow richer faster. Because that's how it always works.

    If you have a guy who is starving, and then he gets some more money, he immediately spends the money on some food. This doesn't grow his wealth at all. If you have a rich guy who is already well-off, and then he gets some more money, he can just buy stocks with it. Later when the stocks go up he made a bunch of money.

    If we had no inflation, or even deflation, combined with a strong economy so that everyone was getting better off... I would count that as a win, but inequality would go up.

    • Maybe you don't have a problem with inequality because you are comfortably middle class.
      It's ok to say 'it's bad to envy people who have got more than you' but inequality has consequences which in practice means you want to avoid 'too much inequality'. If too much power gets concentrated in too few hands this minority starts to shape the world to their needs, and then the majority with no power becomes expendable and they simply get parked somewhere out of sight.
      Piketty showed that power tends to shift tow

  • by mveloso ( 325617 ) on Wednesday December 08, 2021 @12:09AM (#62057767)

    The summary makes it sound like they're judging trickle-down on the basis of reducing inequality. The original idea behind trickle-down was "a rising tide lifts all boats."

    The question should be "are people's lives better," not "are the rich people richer than the poor people."

  • by King_TJ ( 85913 ) on Wednesday December 08, 2021 @12:18AM (#62057789) Journal

    It's been pretty well documented since the late 1980's that "trickle down economics" wasn't really something that worked. In fact, if you look at the history of the whole thing in America? It was never more than a pretty general theory or economic experiment that Reagan's financial advisors decided to "sell" him on as though it was fact, so they could try it out.

    It's not even that the concept itself is completely wrong? It's just too simplistic. (If you have a big, successful company and you're given a bunch of incentives or breaks? Now you've got to decide what to do with those extra windfall profits. The "trickle down economics" proponents assumed you'd obviously re-invest it in business growth. You'd hire many more people and give existing people raises, etc. In reality, most big businesses have a synergy going. They're "properly sized" to be very successful, as-is. If they try to grow further just because they got some tax breaks or special deals, they risk upsetting that balance and imploding the company. Over-extending a company, trying to get involved in too many different areas can be a problem. And so can adding more employees than you can reasonably manage. So what they usually did was a combination of owners pocketing the extra profits for themselves, and possibly spending on buyouts or mergers - which hurts competition.)

    I've often said we needed more of a "trickle-up" economy, where those same breaks and incentives existed -- but for SMALL and start-up businesses. Help encourage people starting their own companies and help the small ones grow to stable, mid-sized businesses. That's how you really keep competition going for goods and services, and how you create more jobs.

    Beyond that, though? Yeah.... income disparity is huge now, for many different reasons. Across the globe, you've got many nations running under forms of government who believe THEY'RE entitled to the lion's share of any profits, while the rest of their nation lives in poverty. In America, you've got a similar thing going on except one step removed from government leadership doing it all directly. We have collusion between big business and government so one group helps the other stay super-wealthy, and vice-versa.

    But IMO, what you need to focus on primarily is the ABILITY for the masses to do ok for themselves if they put in the effort. America always promised it was a "land of opportunity". It never promised it was a land of "guaranteed equality". It's fine to have some people FAR wealthier than others. What's not fine is a corrupt government that keeps making it unfairly difficult for the little guy to try to compete with his own business that challenges one of the big guys. And what's also not fine is just putting the burden on the "middle class" full-time worker to help make the poor "more equal". (When you try to tax businesses, this is all you wind up doing because businesses just pass on taxes as costs of doing business. That means paying their workers less and/or raising prices on the things those middle class people buy. The owners of said businesses won't be materially affected. Tax their company 80% more and they'll just change salaries and product prices to cover the 80%.)

  • It doesn't matter (Score:4, Interesting)

    by zeeky boogy doog ( 8381659 ) on Wednesday December 08, 2021 @12:52AM (#62057853)
    This study reveals that 'trickle down economics' is a titanic scam. So do a thousand other studies, and basic common sense.

    You can point out that the trickle down scam has worked to impoverish the vast bulk of the American people while making the rich even richer until the cows come home, and it won't change anything.

    When they're away from the cameras, the neofeudalists will give you their best Montgomery Burns "UH-DUUUH" and tell you to your face that that's the point.

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