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United States Science

Climate Worries Galvanize a New Pro-Nuclear Movement in the US (washingtonpost.com) 272

As states race to keep plants open, California becomes a test case of how much the tide has shifted. From a report: Charles Komanoff was for decades an expert witness for groups working against nuclear plants, delivering blistering critiques so effective that he earned a spot at the podium when tens of thousands of protesters descended on Washington in 1979 over the Three Mile Island meltdown. Komanoff would go on to become an unrelenting adversary of Diablo Canyon, the hulking 37-year-old nuclear facility perched on a pristine stretch of California's Central Coast that had been the focal point of anti-nuclear activism in America. But his last letter to California Gov. Gavin Newsom, in February, was one Komanoff never expected to write. He implored Newsom to scrap state plans to close the coastal plant. "We're going to have to give up some of our long-held beliefs if we are going to deal with climate," Komanoff said in an interview. "I am still a solar and wind optimist. But I am a climate pessimist. The climate is losing."

Komanoff's conversion is emblematic of the rapidly shifting politics of nuclear energy. The long controversial power source is gaining backers amid worries that shutting U.S. plants, which emit almost no emissions, makes little sense as governments race to end their dependence on fossil fuels and the war in Ukraine heightens worries about energy security and costs. The momentum is driven in large part by longtime nuclear skeptics who remain unsettled by the technology but are now pushing to keep existing reactors running as they face increasingly alarming news about the climate.

The latest report from the U.N. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, published in April, warned that the world is so dangerously behind on climate action that within a decade it could blow past the targets crucial to containing warming to a manageable level. Emissions analysts are increasingly critical of retirements of existing nuclear reactors as they take large amounts of low-emissions power off the grid, undermining the gains made as sources such as wind and solar come online. The movement to keep plants open comes despite persistent worries about toxic waste and just a decade after the nuclear disaster at Japan's Fukushima plant. It has been boosted by growing public acceptance of nuclear power and has nurtured an unlikely coalition of industry players, erstwhile anti-nukers, and legions of young grass-roots environmental activists more worried about climate change than nuclear accidents.

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Climate Worries Galvanize a New Pro-Nuclear Movement in the US

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  • What's that? We need a baseload power source which can take over from coal/gas? Wind / Solar aren't ready, and probably will never be?

    That sounds familiar. Wonder who's been saying that for the past several decades. Smart guy, whoever that was. We should listen to him more often.

    ( it was me. I'm that guy ).

    • by gweihir ( 88907 )

      And on the real world, nuclear is _bad_ for base load (the only thing it can do). As France is currently finding out.

      • nuclear is _bad_ for base load (the only thing it can do)
        How can it be bad for the only thing it can do?

        As France is currently finding out.
        France has security and maintenance problems, otherwise all is fine.

        And: France plants can cycle up and down 2x per day from low poer to max power, so in a certain sense: they are pretty good at load following too.

        On the other hand: France has an artificial high base load level of over 60%, even in summer. Because thy have high demand for power for the reprocessing plant

        • by gweihir ( 88907 )

          nuclear is _bad_ for base load (the only thing it can do)
          How can it be bad for the only thing it can do?

          It is. Low reliability, can fail without warning within seconds, prolonged downtimes, etc. All things you very much do not want in baseload. Are you somehow unable to do logic? Nuclear cannot do anything but baseload. It can do baseload badly. The other things it cannot do at all. Also, cycling 2x per day? That is laughably bad for baseload.

    • But you can find plenty of them online that show solar and wind can be used for base load power now. It's entirely possible they're wrong giving that it's a fairly recent thing but the technology is so advanced it can be used for that. But it's no longer a simple answer to say wind and solar can't provide base load power.

      Meanwhile we have the real world case of Fukushima. Show me one CEO that was punished for their malfeasance. You won't find one. What you will find is that the public turned against the
      • Unfortunately the science has been compromised in favor of the politics; no study showing anything good or bad is to be trusted.

        We're left using common sense to understand these issues.

        1) If solar/wind could serve as baseload power, it would already be doing so. Particularly in CA where it'd be quite the feather in any politician's cap to claim credit for that.
        2) Solar/wind are intermittent power sources; the sun's gotta shine and the wind has to blow to get power. Baseload power, on the other hand, needs

          • I would question how viable this approach is.

            1) What happens if the wind isn't blowing (enough) in any interconnected region?
            2) Complexity; interconnecting all those sources with larger sources would suggest an increase in complexity. How does this compare with other sources?

            • by Ichijo ( 607641 )

              1) What happens if the wind isn't blowing (enough) in any interconnected region?

              Demand response [wikipedia.org] is one strategy, similar to the way airlines prevent too many people from boarding the same overbooked flight.

              2) Complexity; interconnecting all those sources with larger sources would suggest an increase in complexity.

              Yes, redundancy adds complexity, but it's a good tradeoff.

            • 1) What happens if the wind isn't blowing (enough) in any interconnected region?
              Then other plants take over.

              Most the world has a real grid. We do not live in Texas.

              2) Complexity; interconnecting all those sources with larger sources would suggest an increase in complexity. How does this compare with other sources?
              Europe is Interconnected from Islands in the West to Mongolia in the East. No idea what your stupid question is about - oh the third world grid of Texas again?

        • Solar and wind do serve as base load at least from a contractual standpoint. It's true that solar/wind installations have to have gas peakers installed as backups for the (uncommon) occasions where you don't get solar/wind. But a solar/wind installation with a peaker gas plant is cheaper to build and uses less fuel than a combined cycle gas facility.
        • 1) If solar/wind could serve as baseload power, it would already be doing so.
          Germany is doing so. Half the base load is wind.

          2) Solar/wind are intermittent power sources;
          Correct.

          Baseload power, on the other hand, needs to be consistent and reliable;
          That is wrong.

          You do not know what base load means. I suggest to read it up.

          3) For Solar/wind to have a chance at operating in a baseload capacity you need storage ( batteries
          that is wrong as well, see above. You do not know what base load means.

          4) The more th

    • by amorsen ( 7485 ) <benny+slashdot@amorsen.dk> on Tuesday May 24, 2022 @02:54PM (#62562352)

      Whenever someone says "baseload" in a discussion about electricity, it is a sure sign that they don't know what they are talking about.

      • Unfortunately true.
        And it is so embarrassing, as "base load" is probably the most simplest thing to know about how electric grids (traditionally) work.

      • Whenever someone says "baseload" in a discussion about electricity, it is a sure sign that they don't know what they are talking about.

        Why, do you not believe that there is some level of electrical demand that is effectively never dropped below?

      • Whenever someone says "baseload" in a discussion about electricity, it is a sure sign that they don't know what they are talking about.

        I give up. What is the connection?

  • by Budenny ( 888916 ) on Tuesday May 24, 2022 @02:13PM (#62562228)

    You sometimes have the impression reading this sort of thing that those involved are living on a planet where there is only one country, and that is America.

    Or maybe some of these think it is California that is the one country.

    Why don't any of them seem to understand that whether the US installs more or less nuclear, or converts its entire electricity generation and all of its automobiles to electricity... and so on... it will make absolutely no difference to the world's climate?

    The US currently does about 5 billion tons a year in emissions. Whatever efforts are made, this is not going to fall to anything under 3. The most all the contortions that are being proposed will do is reduce emissions by about 2 billion tons, and even that is a long shot.

    What is everyone else doing? The world currently emits about 37 billion tons, and rising. Just look up the EIA reports. It is just about certain that whatever the US does (and for sure whatever California does) the world is headed for a number well over 40 billion tons a year by 2030, and probably over 45 billion by 2040.

    The US has no force of example. The West has none for that matter. China, India etc are growing as fast as they can, and they are accepting that this means emissions rising.

    Buy all the EVs you want, install all the wind and solar you can find room for, by the mid 2030s China will be doing around 15 billion tons a year, up from its present level of about 10 billion.

    So yes, nuclear is probably a sensible thing to think about for the US, not to reduce emissions but just to have a reliable grid with enough capacity. There is no way to do this with wind and solar because of intermittency.

    But the idea that this is going to make the slightest difference to the climate? That is as mad as it is innumerate. Just do the simple arithmetic and you see it immediately.

    Incidentally, while at it, just compare current US electricity generation and steel production with China's numbers. That will open some eyes that now seem to be tight shut.

    • by backslashdot ( 95548 ) on Tuesday May 24, 2022 @03:25PM (#62562486)

      The things you imply are false. but even accepting the premise ..your proposal is to do nothing? For one thing, we could do our part and then encourage (or force) others to do the same. We have many dials to operate on. China's emissions are mostly due to them manufacturing stuff for us. We can refuse to import or buy crap that wasn't made sustainably. And btw, both China and India, unlike 49% of our population, don't need any convincing on climate change. They know it's real and are talking steps to fix it. Steps that must be taken in a manner such that it doesn't ruin the economy to the point where people are starving and rioting.

    • by Seclusion ( 411646 ) on Tuesday May 24, 2022 @03:30PM (#62562496)

      The US currently does about 5 billion tons a year in emissions. Whatever efforts are made, this is not going to fall to anything under 3. The most all the contortions that are being proposed will do is reduce emissions by about 2 billion tons, and even that is a long shot.
      Buy all the EVs you want, install all the wind and solar you can find room for

      Time and time again we've seen that thanks to early adopters, tech becomes cheaper, through innovation and economics of scale. By the USA using the strength of it's economy to drive down the prices of clean tech, it will become more globally economical.
      The worst thing we can do is point fingers at China, throw our hands up in the air and say what's the point.

    • US electric: 4 trillion kWh
      China electric: 8.1 trillion kWh

      Steel (monthly numbers)
      US Steel: 7.8 million tons
      China Steel: 97 million tons

      That was a quick check, I could be wrong as everyone (esp in electrical) seems to be using different units.

    • Firstly, humanity (mostly the USA and Western Europe) is what has (over last century or so) and is now significantly and increasingly affecting the climate in a major way. That has been MOSTLY accidental (except the massively damaging last 30 years or so of it, which has been willful with good available knowledge of the consequences). But your premise that humanity's collective action cannot significantly affect the climate is proven false.

      Second, when a big initiative (halting then beginning to reverse our
  • No "emissions" (Score:2, Insightful)

    by endus ( 698588 )

    No "emissions", but a big pile of essentially permanent and deadly waste. A form of waste which the country STILL has NO plan to deal with, including the large amount of it which already exists and is being stored on site at nuclear plants.

    Meanwhile, we still have the exact same culture of cost cutting and cover ups that turned three mile island into such a shit show AND we have Fukuishma out there demonstrating that nuclear accidents can still happen in the 2000's.

    Risk is likelihood AND impact, not just l

    • Re:No "emissions" (Score:5, Insightful)

      by GotNoRice ( 7207988 ) on Tuesday May 24, 2022 @02:30PM (#62562288)
      If you actually care about reducing nuclear waste, then allow old plants to be decommissioned and replaced with newer reactors. Newer reactor designs put out CONSIDERABLY less radioactive waste than older designs, but the older reactors are forced to continue operation long past their planned retirement dates because of fearmongering and misinformation that has prevented construction of their newer replacements. Solar and Wind isn't where your power is coming from when you charge your electric car overnight on a windless night. It's time to take the one GOOD option we have (nuclear) and actually make informed decisions about it.
    • by poptix ( 78287 )
      "big pile"
      According to the DOE: "all of it could fit on a single football field at a depth of less than 10 yards."
      Furthermore, "Commercial used fuel rods are safely and securely stored at 76 reactor or storage sites in 34 states."

      "no plan to deal with it"
      Actually we have multiple plans, but they're still fighting the NIMBY's, and non proliferation treaties. Educate yourself before publicly commenting. https://www.energy.gov/ne/arti... [energy.gov]
    • by MobyDisk ( 75490 )

      A form of waste which the country STILL has NO plan to deal with, including the large amount of it which already exists and is being stored on site at nuclear plants.

      What is nice about nuclear is that it produces so little waste compared to most industrial processes. There's about 2 Olympic size-pools of high-level nuclear waste in the US. And the low-level waste isn't a whole lot more dangerous that what we mined out of the ground in the first place. There are plenty of ways to deal with it that are scientifically sound, just not politically sound.

  • by GotNoRice ( 7207988 ) on Tuesday May 24, 2022 @02:19PM (#62562262)
    There have been many of us who have been saying this for years and years. Nuclear plants are an amazing technology that releases ZERO pollution into the atmosphere. But people just can't be bothered to actually understand a technology and somehow can't get over the word "Nuclear", automatically lumping them into the same category as nuclear bombs, etc, aka "someone told me this was bad!!!". The only downside is obviously radioactive waste, but radioactive waste safely stored in a containment facility harms neither people nor the environment. Furthermore, modern reactor designs generate CONSIDERABLY less radioactive waste than older designs. Ironically these older reactor designs are forced to continue operation long past when they would have likely been retired because of the fearmongering that has prevented construction of their newer replacements.
  • lives. How much easier if you just develop renewables and storage facilities which are cheaper and will never displace so many lives... The Japan Center for Economic Research, a private think tank, said the cleanup costs could mount to some $470 billion to $660 billion.
    • by amorsen ( 7485 )

      $660 billion sounds like a lot of money, but spread over the total amount of electricity produced by nuclear power it does not significantly increase the cost.

      I really hate the continuous harping on about nuclear accidents and about the waste problem. Those are annoying, but if nuclear power was cheap, we'd fix them. Look at all the damage done by cars, and no one suggests abolishing those.

      The ACTUAL problems with nuclear power are plant cost, fuel cost, and construction time. Plant cost make nuclear unviab

    • Nope, they said: trillions. And with that they meant long trillions, not the short trillion the USA are using in counting.

  • by presidenteloco ( 659168 ) on Tuesday May 24, 2022 @03:06PM (#62562400)
    Science is telling us we have to cut emissions about 50% over the next 8 years or so.

    Only wind and solar combined with power-grid expansion and energy storage can get us there fast enough.

    Median time from inception of plan to completion for nuclear these days is about 15 years, including site selection and approval processes, which only succeed about half the time. Actual construction median is about 10 years, mean around 7 years.

    To make a dent in its emissions, a large country like the US would have to build a thousand or more nuclear reactors (1 GW each). What is the chance that any significant fraction of that is going to get completed in 8 years or so? Zero.
    • by bookwormT3 ( 8067412 ) on Tuesday May 24, 2022 @03:52PM (#62562564)

      Science is telling us we have to cut emissions about 50% over the next 8 years or so.
      Only wind and solar combined with power-grid expansion and energy storage can get us there fast enough.

      I didn't realize "Science" had a single number and was so unified. I was under the impression that there were a lot of different climate models and considerable difference of opinion on what amount of reduction would stop at 2 degrees C and further disagreement on whether 2 degrees was exactly the amount that would be a tipping point. Also disagreement on whether reduction in emissions was the only way to get there, instead of for example geoengineering (and on a related topic, not reversing global dimming, see https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]).

      To make a dent in its emissions, a large country like the US would have to build a thousand or more nuclear reactors (1 GW each). What is the chance that any significant fraction of that is going to get completed in 8 years or so? Zero.

      So you think current or foreseeable construction in the USA will be able to build a significant portion of 1000 GW of renewable production and storage (after all, have to supply base load that includes EV charging at night) in the same 8 years? Wow, that's kinda optimistic. Really optimistic, actually.

      I suppose you're also one of those who compute renewable to be the cheapest power. If so, maybe you can explain why California has been adding fossil fuel capacity, immediately after turning off nuclear? (I'm talking about SONGS, not Diablo canyon, which is still running. Would have been a lot better as the reverse) And maybe you can explain, if renewable is better and cheaper, what's the problem, we'll naturally cut emissions, or at least the vehicle and power production emissions, by 100% and problem will fix itself. (I don't believe any of those numbers, I believe in all-of-the-above approach to reducing emissions)

    • *Peak* US electricity consumption was 720 GW last year. (https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=49216) Average electricity demand was 400-500 GW depending on month.

      A thousand 1 GW reactors wouldn't just make a dent in that. They'd eliminate all emissions from electricity generation, with power to spare.

      Another fallacy is that we need to choose between nuclear and solar/wind/storage. We can (and must) do *both*. We're going to need a lot more electricity than we have now to switch transportatio

      • I think he confused gigawatt with gigawatt-hour or some other stupid greentard[1] shit.

        1: Actual green is great, ignorant green-tardism with irrational fears of things safer than say coal is laughable. These same people cite debunked crap claiming uranium mining makes nuclear power burn as much carbon as a coal plant. They have a problem with magnitudes.

    • So you fail at math and are ignorant of U.S. reactor that coming online in November. Maybe I should give you a hint, a gigawatt-hour is not the same as a gigawatt. Back to the chalkboard, dunce.

    • Fastest decarbonization efforts in world history involved nuclear. Thank you France and Sweden. Germany failed to decarbonize with only wind and solar. FAILED!!! Storage has zero chance of growing at the rate we need it. Dumbfuck. The longer you dumbfucks fight us, the worse the problem will become. JFC we have been advocating for nuclear for decades. We would have stopped climate change and reduced poverty if you evil dumbfucks had not stopped us. Do humanity a favor and kill yourself.
    • You've illustrated the real problem. It's not science or technology. It's the damn bureaucracy. Those people get paid and get raises whether the projects move forward or not. Many of them will have retired with a pension before a project ever gets approved. None of them will ever lose their job.

  • Illinois gets 56% of it electricity from nuclear power. The only state which produces a higher percentage is the nation state of France at 70%. Illinois produces an additional 10% without fossil fuels, for 66%. Only Washington state produces more fossil free fuel at 67%. With 64% of that being hydro. It also must be noted that Illinois produce much more energy that it consumes. Most of that excess energy is produced by coal which is sold to neighboring states. If the government didn't let coal producers do
  • And nuclear power is the only viable solution.
  • How will you cool your nuclear plant once climate change will have dried the nearby river?
  • Everyone needs to watch this [youtube.com]. That will re-write your understanding energy and the environment. Everything you think you know about the future of that is probably totally wrong. It will not be wind turbines or solar or uranium water-cooled reactors or fusion.

    Teaser: A small ball of thorium costs $100 and contains enough usable energy to provide all the power you will ever need for your entire life. Not just in your own home, but everywhere, for transportation and in public spaces also.

    Molten salt thori

Things are not as simple as they seems at first. - Edward Thorp

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