US & UK Issue Y2k Travel Warnings 86
In a coordinated release, both the UK and US have issued their worldfwide Y2k preparedness reports. No real suprises here - Russia, Indonesia, Malaysia, India, and the heartland of China. The strongest warnings were given in reference to the Ukraine, which the US State Department has recommended not traveling to around the end of 1999. More interesting was the UK's warning about the US, citing potential failures in "limited disruption to the water supply; to internal travel using
small airports; and to small health facilities" as an ongoing concern.
Re:Name of countries (Score:1)
Look Here (Score:1)
This is where Hemos may have read the list of countries.
Re:Don't forget about your own backyards (Score:1)
SMART RELIGIOUS EXTREMISTS
Thank you for your participation. ^_^
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Only superficially... (Score:2)
In developed countries there is very high reliance on computers to fly the plane. The flight plan is generated by a computer, the air-traffic control is managed by computer. The pilot doesn't really make a lot of decisions.
In addition, newer aircraft are "fly-by-wire" - there is no direct connection between the pilot controls and the control surfaces. If the plane's electronics go you fall out of the sky.
Contrast this with the small airport I landed at in rural India. The smallish jet actually did a VISUAL landing. The airport didn't have an instrument landing system even though it was actually quite busy.
Urk. Bad URL (Score:2)
Sorry about that...
Re:This is out of context.. (Score:1)
Water supply problems in the US (Score:2)
It is sickening that the government can get away with saying that this is "Y2K Preparedness" (which the city does) while every business has to provide real proof to their financial backers (you know, the banks) in order to keep their credit.
Consular Information Summaries (Score:1)
Re:Name of countries (Score:1)
"Malaysia is reliant on computerized systems. Awareness in Malaysia of the Y2K problem is high in all sectors of the economy and among senior leaders of the national government. The Government has established a Y2K steering committee to oversee public and private sector progress.
Malaysia appears to be prepared to deal with the Y2K problem. It appears that there is a low risk of potential Y2K disruptions in the banking and finance, health, telecommunications, transportation, utilities and electric power sectors."
I was recently in M'sia, and they seem to be ready, especially with airlines like Singapore and MAS. I would not be the least concerned about travel there.
Re:Testing (Score:1)
Yes. The HP-UX version of sccs failed on me on january 1, 1999 at 00:13 because for some insane reason it uses (used?) a date 1 year into the future when checking in a modification. The Solaris sccs was fine, though, and the HP-UX problem was fixed within hours by installing a patch that had been out for nearly half a year. But still...
PS: Moderate this as funny if you like, but it really happened as described. The good thing about this was that it made a few people listen to my requests not to wait till now to update things.
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Flying in China (Score:2)
Y2K, Computers, and Society (Score:2)
In all this chaos, I think the worst thing about this scenario is that humans allowed themselvs to be dominated and controled by machines that we couldn't recover from the Y2K miscalculations. Nothing so dramatic as Hollywood created, but perhaps more sinister because we turned out lives over to computers slowly, silently and freely.
As long as we still control the machines, Y2K will be nothing more than a blip in the steady noise of BSOD's, crashes, bugs, transfer errors, lost backups, curruptions, failures, etc that happen in our computerized lives every day.
Re:Don't forget about your own backyards (Score:1)
India is not mentioned in the "watch-out" list ! (Score:1)
And the Y2K section on India [state.gov] @ http://travel.state.gov/india.html seems to be pretty tame...
Maybe Hemos just wanted add a few coutries of his own...
Re:Ok, this is silly... (Score:1)
Todays India Fact: For people in the UK, turn an analogue watch upside down to get the time in India.
9/9/99 (Was: Re:Testing) (Score:1)
"There is no surer way to ruin a good discussion than to contaminate it with the facts."
UK government propaganda for Y2K (Score:2)
Then the other day, I got a leaflet posted through the door, aimed at private individuals, claiming that everything's under control, and that it's all been blown up out of proportion, and that Y2K will not actually affect very much anyway.
So which is it, then? Is everything OK, or is the world going to end? Enquiring minds want to know!
The Biggest Worry (Score:2)
I mean think about it. The media got burned once with the "9/9/99 will be the death of us" stories. But man were they all waiting for something "BIG" to fail. I watched the evening news on the 8th and they were just itching for it, predicting all sorts of problems. Something tells me that they are going to do even better on the 31st.
Ex-Nt-User
Re:Pilot Training (Score:1)
Y2K and airlines in malaysia (Score:1)
For those of you that dont know it, Malaysia has the newest airport in the world, KLIA. 'm not from there, nor am i malaysian, but it may be the most sophisticated airport in terms of its systems. Although it had a few initial glitches on its opening last year, it now operates extremely efficiently, (far better than any airport in the us).
When they built KLIA they really did pull out all the stops. the KLIA Official website [jaring.my] shows it in its splendor
AS for its airline, Malaysian Airlines, it has always shown itself of the highest safety records, as well as offering amenities that no US airlines offer at any price.
Way paranoid (Score:1)
Re:Water supply problems in the US (Score:1)
politically biased ... (Score:1)
rather biased. Apparently in terms of Y2K,
Italy is as just unprepared as Ukraine, but
since italy is US' ally (for god sake), the
guidlines say something like 'Italy could have
done more work', whereas Ukraine is simply rated
as 'unsafe'.
Re:This is out of context.. (Score:1)
Re:The Biggest Worry (Score:2)
Actually it is a very big deal... Victoria, Australia went through a similar scenario when there was an explosion at the major gas provider for the state late last year.
The gas was off totally for 3 weeks across a large part of the state, affecting millions.
In the days immediately following the blast, the only effect on the average person was to go to friends and relatives for electric hot water/heating/cooking etc. An inconvenience that could be lived with.
However as it dragged on, the crisis worsened.
Thousands upon thousands of workers were stood down as manufacturing plants and textile factories were forced to stop production lines. Manufactures in other states were forced to stop production lines as they relied on components from Melbourne.
There was panic buying of food and essentials as farmers tipped milk down the drains (they needed gas for pastuerisation), and large bread factories ground to a halt.
There was a shortage of electrical appliances as 100's of restraunts across the state tried to keep their doors open. Many failed and had to close for weeks.
All of these people lost a lot of money, with many of those working in manufacturing industries already hard up for a buck. It created an immediate welfare problem.
What I am getting at is that, whilst we should still heed the night, the Y2K problems on New Years eve are less of a concern than the amount of time it takes to rectify them and the ramifications of that delay.
This all came about due to the failure of one utility in one state in one country. You don't necessarily need a wide-spread Y2K failure to stuff things things up.
If you want a summary of the chain of events that took place then check out The Story so far... the gas crisis [theage.com.au] or the full coverage [theage.com.au]. It's a good indication of what might happen in the first few weeks of 2000.
M@T
Re:Testing (Score:1)
it that a REAL problem? was for me
Testing (Score:2)
Did anyone fail at the April 9th date?
What about at 9/9/99 (barring the tandy(?))?
There is more to fear from people than there is from the computers...
British press release (link) (Score:2)
http://www.citu.gov.uk/2000/p ress_rel/fco/003-99.html [citu.gov.uk]
Re:Testing (Score:2)
...phil
Re:Testing (Score:1)
Why is April 9 important?
As for testing - well we've run tests.
There were problems. Some big (as in nothing worked), some small (as in well that's bad but we can live with it if need be).
We fixed them.
We tested.
...
Current point - we've tested and things seem good now.
#include
This is in no way shape or form a legally binding statement that should be taken to hold any water whatsover for predicting my companies future.
Tandy? (Score:1)
I'm currious especially as my old TRS-80 didn't have a clock to suffer date problems on....
Re:Testing (Score:1)
OK...for now (Score:1)
My Council isn't ready (Score:1)
Not sure which I'd prefer -- not being billed for my council tax (and rubbish colletion etc not happening, cos they can't pay the workers), or being billed twice...
--
Re:Testing (Score:1)
...phil
Don't forget about your own backyards (Score:2)
Don't misunderstand me. I'm not preaching Armageddon at New Year's. My biggest fear is the religious extremists deciding to go out with a bang. As stated, even the UK's report pointed some fingers at the US...
This is out of context.. (Score:2)
Overall, I think that their research is flawed and based on poorly used factors, but the press should at least report it as it was presented..
The italy thing was a reporter taking a question by another reporter and mangling it.
9/9/99 problems (Score:1)
CIA World Factbook is fun (Score:2)
I figure this is kind off stretching the definition of "ethnic minority" a bit far even for the CIA
Re:Don't forget about your own backyards (Score:1)
Of course, that would be the dumb extremists, since most biblical scholars have found that the calculations for the date of Christ's birth are off by about 4 years, so the real millenium (for the Christian calendar, anyway) happened in 1996.
...phil
This can be a good thing... (Score:1)
Because of hysteria and stupidity, people who don't know any better are avoiding planes like the plague around 01/01/2000. The result of this is that airlines aren't selling a whole lot of tickets. To make up for it, they drop prices in order to sell more tickets.
If last-minute tickets to Mexico drop below $100, you can bet your boots that I'll be going, (clueless) government warning be damned! Bernoulli's principle still applies, even after the apocalypse. Besides, even if air traffic control systems go down, pilots are trained in how to set the plane down safely.
So if Y2K *is* a problem (and it isn't, really), I'm still pretty safe, and I have a neat story to tell my family. If Y2K isn't an issue, I'm in Mexico. It's a win-win situation.
Anybody wanna join me in Mexico?
September 9th? Pshah... (Score:2)
As for the September 9th issue, this looks like it was largely an issue of incompetent journalists noticing that there are a whole lot of "9"'s together in 9/9/99.
They failed to grasp that in order for this to actually represent days and months, which can number higher than 9, the representation actually needs to be like 09/09/99.
There is a rumor that the Chinese stock exchange, running some six-year-old IBM AS/400 systems, ran into problems Sept 9 and is now down; I saw this in a news report reported on at work, which I would have hoped to be accurate. I have not found any independent verification, so this has to be considered mere rumor and not reality...
Larry Wall sez.... (Score:3)
Re:Testing (Score:1)
At the place he works now, the entire office staff (about 2 dozen people) spent about a month transfering records by hand and then learning the new Y2K safe computer system. The (unnamed) State (made (in)famous by a certain huge $oftware company) seems to have its head on straight and has been testing and fixing its systems for several years. Of course this is quite costly.
Re:FUD from .uk, .us (Score:1)
Do not understand me wrong. I am not saying that these countries are computer retarted. But their municipal systems and other stuff mentioned in the report is. And it actually _is_ retarded to the point of not using computers. So no Y2K there.
Overall the only reasonable note on Y2K in the entire report is the "small airports" stuff. As few of the readers may know Gabriel (the airline booking systems) used to run on X25. And most of the X25 stuff is not Y2k compliant. And in some of the remote areas around the world it still uses X25.
I would rather worry about countries with idiotic schemes for selecting the local analogue of SSN. For example bulgaria uses SSNs with 2 digit numbers. And they are used everywhere - financial sofwtare, municipal software, etc. And there will be quite a lot of Y2K fun there (though it will actually start quite after new year).
Re:Ok, this is silly... (Score:1)
Actually, yes there are real problems (Score:2)
Admittedly, the nuts are likely to be more of a problem than the computers where *I* live, but I'm not sure that holds true everywhere. In any case, I'm spending New Year's Eve with my SCA friends. That way, just in *case* something goes wrong, I know I'm around people with the brains and resources to deal with the situation appropriately.
To sum up: Yes, silly people panicking and doing stupid things is a more pressing problem than the computer problem itself, but there are legit computer problems. And the legit problems and the panic feed off of each other in ways that are very not-good.
My Y2k prediction (Score:1)
Re:Way paranoid (Score:1)
look out for US citizen's abroad. So they issue warnings about things that they think may be a problem. This includes Y2K but it includes a lot of other stuff. There are a lot of americans who live abroad (I used to be one) and there are a lot of Americans who travel around the world. The State Dept has to do their best to try and keep them all as safe as posible. In that function one has to be a little paranoid to warn people about all the things that MIGHT go wrong.
Y2K is a media event (Score:2)
IMO, that kind of statement is irresponsible journalism and and basically sensationalism (suprise). The statement implies that the unrediness described is the current state of all computerized institutions and that nothing has been done about it.
Like the first poster said, the biggest threat of Y2K is the potential for panic by the paranoid. I guess media statements like that are a big part of the problem.
On a final note, the obviously flawed book The Millenium Bug predicted the financial meltdown of Japan in April 1999 because that is when they close their fiscal year. I don't even recall Japan being a blip on the news in April. Add it the pile along with 9/9/99 and the other April prediction, I guess.
That's my $0.02, probably redundant by now.
no air travel for me.. (Score:1)
Re:Extremists with an excuse... (Score:1)
YES!
I think of 1999 as the "penultimate year of the millenium" rather than "last year of the millenium." Not only is it correct, but it also sounds cooler.
Re:My Council isn't ready (Score:1)
Re:September 9th? Pshah... (Score:2)
Read it in HMG's words (Score:2)
It seems to me that they're being very sensible. Some might call it FUD, but one person's FUD is another's reasonable, pragmatic reaction to an unclear future. Unless your crystal ball is functioning 100% error-free, there's no way you can tell me that Y2K will not be a problem in some way to someone somewhere.
The chances are that most large organisations will escape scot-free, but it only takes a small cog to fail for the whole system to come down. "But for a nail, the shoe was lost
FUD is not always a bad thing, but you have to receive it with an open mind.
Re:This can be a good thing... (Score:1)
Sure, but if the fly-by-wire control systems decide to flip out, it doesn't matter if the wings are generating lift or not.
I'm not too worried either, but I can't come to Mexico - the company has commanded all computer people be less than 4 hours away in order to respond in the event of a problem.
...phil
Re:FUD from .uk, .us (Score:1)
Ok, this is silly... (Score:4)
I was in rural India in March. Scheduled rotating blackouts were normal (due to power shortages). We heated water with a little wood stove. The motor-rickshaws are not computerized. The planes are the old-fashioned kind flown by people, not computers. Exactly how is the Y2K bug going to hurt you there?
The reality is that people in remote areas are used to living without a high-tech infrastructure. If the rest of the world self-destructs they'll be the ones left to pick up the pieces.
Broken Link (Score:1)
Have a look at the Foreign & Commonwealth Office's breakdown by country at http://www.fco.gov.uk/travel/dynpag e.asp?Page=144 [fco.gov.uk]
Re:My Council isn't ready (Score:1)
Pilot Training (Score:1)
Better name than Y2K (Score:1)
Personally, I'm going to Germany in October, and I'm not concerned about problems, because if there's one thing the Germans can do it's make the trains run on time (more or less)
Re:no air travel for me.. (Score:1)
Chimay! Blackjack! Hookers!
Well... forget the Chimay and blackjack.
-m
Re:Pilot Training (Score:1)
Re:FUD from .uk, .us (Score:3)
Waiting to be moderated down...
Yep, real problems exist. (Score:1)
My father is in charge of for a large (read multi-billion dollar profit/year) chemical company. Fortunately, companies like this also have the resources to do GOOD y2k testing, but they found a lot of little snafu's. Things like control devices which died after y2k. This is likely to affect smaller companies harder as they don't have the time to test every widget in a complicated system. The effect of one of these failures actually wouldn't have been particularly nasty, except for the fact that an affected plant would shut down before y2k, attempt to start after y2k, and it would fail to start for mysterious reasons. This would mean lost revenue... etc etc.
Personally, I'm going to be out of town for New Year's, and just in case there's a problem with something, I'll have a case of wine, and maybe some crackers. I'll be fine
Re:September 9th? Pshah... (Score:1)
Not Found
The requested URL /linuxy2k.html was not found on this server.
...phil
Re:FUD from .uk, .us (Score:1)
The most important thing about Y2K is that everyone is using it as a scarecrow. The problem is not in the bugs in some badly written OSes, languages, etc, but in the massive panic. And of course in the fact that some people use it to raise political or financial dividends.
Re:CIA World Factbook is fun (Score:1)
Extremists with an excuse... (Score:2)
(Ask yourself why Arthur C. Clarke named the movie "2001: A Space Odyssey" if you're not sure of this...)
People will hold "new millennium" parties, "new millennium riots," release "new millennium" models of both automobiles and soft drinks, because they were looking for an excuse to do so.
This is true whether they're religious extremists, political extremists, marketing droids, or people that just want to party.
The juxtaposition of a Whole Lot of Zeroes happens to provide a cover for there being an excuse.
Take it further than that and you'll get dumb results.
Whether you're concerned about Y2K from a technical perspective, [hex.net] or have religious concerns about Y2K. [hex.net]
Re:CIA World Factbook is fun (Score:1)
Everybody's indiginous somewhere.
Mark.