Intel Seeking Moore's Law Original Publication 257
ackthpt writes "Gordon Moore's famous prediction, labeled Moore's Law, was originally published in the April 19, 1965 issued of Electronics. Sometime since, he lent out his copy and it has never been returned. Intel would like an original copy of the now defunct magazine and is offering $10,000 for a copy, presumably in good condition. The story is carried on Reuters, and if you happen to have a copy (of your own, not stolen from a museum or library) you may contact Intel via eBay's WantItNow."
Be fast (Score:5, Funny)
in accordance to Moore's law (Score:2, Funny)
so now it's $10,000. next year it'll be $20,000, then $40,000 and so on.
actually... (Score:4, Informative)
Well... (Score:5, Funny)
You can have my copy... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:You can have my copy... (Score:5, Funny)
Re:You can have my copy... (Score:3, Funny)
oops (Score:2, Funny)
He used a typewriter in 1965 (Score:2)
I'm sure he has it somewhere. I read on a right-wing blog that all the fonts appearing in the article were proportional TrueType fonts which were first used in Microsoft Office very recently.
Re:oops (Score:3, Funny)
Fuck that, i'll just use a copy machine.
Re:oops (Score:2)
Re:whoever, not whomever (Score:2)
Very nicely conjectured, actually, and while the entirety of the prepositional phrase may constitute a subject equivalence, the prepositional phrase trumps during its context, and within it the rules of prepositional objects apply.
$0.02,
ptd
Count me in, but... (Score:5, Funny)
Unfourtunately (Score:5, Funny)
Re:Unfourtunately (Score:4, Funny)
And Intel, being the snide company, will simply ask: "And what law would you be referring to? Provide us with evidence, please."
Only no evidence will exist, besides that which is safely locked away in the Intel safe.
Evil, I say... plain 'ol evil.
Re:Unfourtunately (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Unfourtunately (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Unfourtunately (Score:2)
Re:Unfourtunately (Score:3, Funny)
In fact a few generations after Moore is dead, a group of people will say the Moore never existed.
"Simply a group of folks with too much time on their hands concoted the whole thing. You see, the geeks needed a leader to rally around. So they invented Moore (and that Linus guy too... archeolgical digs found he was really a fictional cartoon character created
Re:Unfourtunately (Score:2)
Meanwhile, his cousin, Godwin, left to join the Nazis.
Re:Unfourtunately (Score:3, Funny)
They combined forces and created a new set of laws:
1. Shit happens
2. Shit doubles every 18 months
3. Can't stop shit
Who borrowed it? (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:Who borrowed it? (Score:2)
One might think (Score:2)
But then, I'm bitter, Intel rejected me for a job long ago.
Re:One might think (Score:2, Funny)
I got Gordon's copy (Score:4, Funny)
it's just words - they want to be free! (Score:5, Funny)
I believe the local vernacular is "shared."
Local vernacular (Score:2, Troll)
If someone had "shared" Intel's magazine, Intel would still have it, and the other person would be in possession of a perfect copy of the one that Intel had. This is not what happened here.
Bargain ? (Score:4, Interesting)
If it's a unique copy, this could be worth much more. And the price will rise as the time progresses.
--
All your magazines are belong to us.
Warning - Buyer Feedback score of zero (Score:5, Funny)
eBay feedback (Score:5, Funny)
Re:eBay feedback (Score:2, Funny)
Hmmm. I get a score of 0.00023829376 on my Wintel machine.
Oh no... (Score:3, Funny)
Oh yeah? (Score:2)
Re:Oh no... (Score:5, Funny)
Remember Will's Law (Score:2, Funny)
Sadly, the price of a new car goes up by n factorial every year
All figures are in Euros, of course, since the price of a Dollar decreases to n/(n+x) where n is the number of years GWB is in office and x is the trade deficit in trillions of Euros.
Re:Remember Will's Law (Score:2)
You must be thinking of _Michael_ Moore...
It's not a law! (Score:5, Interesting)
I wish people would stop calling Moore's Law a law. Laws don't have the word "about" in them ("transistor counts double about every 18 months"). It should be called "Moore's Observation" or "Moore's Conjecture."
In physics, do we say that force is about equal to mass times acceleration?
Re:It's not a law! (Score:2, Informative)
But in economics or biology, Laws are that ambiguous.
Sometimes, for people like you, we call them Rules, as in the Rule of Three (for biological proteins), but they're also called Laws (as in the Law of Small Numbers).
It depends on what your definition of the word Law is.
Re:It's not a law! (Score:2, Funny)
Re:It's not a law! (Score:2)
Moore's Law is a perfectly valid law. You don't get absolutes in any kind of empirical study. What you get is a scatter-plot, which you can draw some line or curve through. In this case, Moore's Law is that the theoretical line has a
Re:It's not a law! (Score:2)
Perhaps you should [physicstoday.org].
Re:It's not a law! (Score:2)
Re:It's not a law! (Score:3, Informative)
Heisenberg said so. He said that about velocity -- velocity is even easier to calculate than accelaration.
Re:It's not a law! (Score:2, Informative)
Sorry Gordon (Score:2, Funny)
Funny +5 (Score:2)
Sometime since, he lent out his copy and it has never been returned. Intel would like an original copy of the now defunct magazine and is offering $10,000 for a copy...
And they say that crime does not pay... ;-)
AMD vs Intel (Score:4, Funny)
Isn't it ultimately irrelevant? (Score:2)
I recall seeing amazing programs running in 16k of RAM on a 2Mhz Z80. What happened to the brilliant software designers of that era? They're sure not working on today's platforms.
I tend to believe that the drive for more memory and faster CPUs is primarily the result of the decline of quality software development. Moore's law is only of interest as long as the current crop of developers use hardw
Re:Isn't it ultimately irrelevant? (Score:2)
Why is software slower today? Well, it does a lot more. For example, think about how many pixels things move around today. My first computer, a TRS-80, had a monochrome screen resolution of 128x48 (today my phone has a 320x320 screen that shows 64k colors).
In the old days, if you wrote a game, you did it in hand-opimized assembler for a simple processor. (today, compilers will, in general, out-optimize a human being, because processors are
Re:Isn't it ultimately irrelevant? (Score:2, Funny)
They're busy reading slashdot?
---
I type this every time.
Re:Isn't it ultimately irrelevant? (Score:3, Insightful)
Software is designed to do a lot more these days. Team sizes have gone up significantly. Unfortunately, when you have 10 or 100 (or 1000) people working on a piece of software, it can't be made as "tight" as one person trying to squeeze it all onto a machine with 16k of ram. The interface artist wants to include transition ani
They're still there... (Score:3, Insightful)
A
"Moore's Law" a Misnomer (Score:5, Informative)
Fact #1: More's Law is not a scientific law, but and only an observation describing semiconductors pace of progress.
Fact #2: Intel cofounder Dr.Gordon E. Moore did not define Moore's law as it is understood today. He didn't even call it a "law" in the original article. Somebody else much later coined the now famous term.
Fact #3: Moore's law was never about processor clock frequency or other performance issues. Rather, it regards the economic manufacturing of component integration on integrated circuits.
Fact #4: Moore's law actually stated component integration doubles every 12 months - not 18 - and he actually ammended this prediction to 24 months. 18 months is a number seemingly drawn from a hat.
Fact #5: Moore's law is extremely inaccurate. Tom Halfhill estimates todays chips would have more than 27 trillion transistors, when in reality Intel's Prescott Pentium sports 169 million transistors.
Re:"Moore's Law" a Misnomer (Score:2)
It is also, conveniently, halfway between 12 and 24. A compromise, if you will.
Re:"Moore's Law" a Misnomer (Score:2)
Found one! (Score:2)
I bet Max Ary [slashdot.org] has one!
d'OH. Sorry, didn't read the additional clauses yet...
Let's think this through... (Score:5, Funny)
Let's say that I did have a copy of this magazine. I would expect to be paid for it based on Moore's Law. Its only fitting. So with that in mind, let's see how much it woiuld be:
Magazine came out 40 years ago. Moore's Law says it doubles every 18 months. That's 26.6 doublings. Let's take 26 to make it easy. So thats 2^26 of the price.
I could not find what the cover price was but let's be fair and say $0.10 (10 cents). So thats 2^26 * 10 / 100 = $6,710,886.40. Thats a good deal more than the $10,000.00 they are offering.
I think its a rip-off.
BTW: here is a link to the original article [intel.com] in PDF format.
Since Pentium, it is actually 17.99972813 months (Score:3, Funny)
Disclaimer (Score:3, Interesting)
Intel employees & their families ineligible.
Why? Why won't they buy from Intel employees?
Or is that all Intel employees have to pledge their first borns & magazine collections when they join the company?
And to think... (Score:3, Funny)
Wonder Why... (Score:4, Funny)
Moore stated that computing power would double every 18 months... his estimations were a tad slow -- introducing the new P6!!! released just 5 months after the P5 and over twice as fast *at over 4 times the cost*
Buy it now at Dell.com!
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2, Interesting)
It's interesting that the cartoon, about half way down, shows Handy Home Computers, about the size of the Mac Mini... I wonder how much the cartoonist would pay for same issue of magazine where his/her illustration prediction has finally come true.
Re:Moore's Law (Score:5, Insightful)
Huh? These three points don't mesh at all. A driving marketing factor -> people don't need that much power -> but it doesn't matter because it's coming to an end.
If you can't imagine the use for more processing power, then you're not very imaginative.
Processing power is a remarkable thing - you're talking about 1Ghz as being a pedestrian, adequate level of computing, yet you in a prior life (or rather prior year), back in 2001, were undoubtedly saying "Oh who'd need these crazy 1Ghz processors? A 300Mhz is all anyone would ever need...". Even the luddites somehow pull their requirements forward to be just behind the curve, and I've been hearing the same "who needs more than X" mantra quite seriously since the 386 days. Some people never learn from history though.
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Insightful)
That has changed. 512MB of RAM and 1Ghz are a very common baseline now. Office runs just fine on it. E-mail clients run just fine. Web browsing has never really been a system-hungry activity. Gamers are a special niche; most computer users have no need now for more than 512MB of RAM and 1Ghz.
Honestly, c
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2, Insightful)
As humans we are creative enough to find more ways to use resources than we have resources to use... Thats why the next processor/mem/speed combination is never enough for very
Re:Moore's Law (Score:5, Insightful)
They're not the cutting edge. Hell, I'm not, but I see a need for speed because of: mp3's, video-on-demand, podcasting, voice-recognition, rippin' dvd's, capturing TV (myth, xptv, or whatever), centralized media and multiple remote players, kids doing homemade animation, gaming, backups, making backups of dvds so the 2-year-old doesn't destroy the original, advanced video processing, sound editing, home photography archives...
Nah, I don't need a gigabit net, firewire, raid or fast computers. This here 1-mhz Altair, wordstar, and 8" floppies will do me just fine. Together with a daisy-wheel, I can do all the writing I want. Really.
Still to come: videophones, real-time avatars, bespoke animation/video, more on-demand video/audio (including education and games), always-on videoconference ability, trivial offsite backups/redundancy, depth-of-field or other non-video data added to video feeds, any-to-any video feeds (think n-megapixel streaming cameraphone), realtime data analysis on problems that currently are out of reach, even broader upheavals between mainstream-media and blogs/indy musicians, etc.
Every time you give me more power, I'll find problems worth solving and places to use it. I used to slip a digit in some finite element work and take puzzles from 40-hrs of cpu time to unsolvable. Given a few more years, my old work will be running at 30 frames a second.
Right now, a pic of the Power5 chip is pinned to my wall: 8 cpu cores, 4 mmus, 144mb cache, one chip/die. Ads say this baby scales up to 16-ways for 128 cpus possible, at 2ghz. I say it's just a good start...
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2)
Human response times are a key limitation here. All except the most highly trained drivers are not likely to be able to driv
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Insightful)
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Funny)
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Interesting)
Huh? These three points don't mesh at all. A driving marketing factor -> people don't need that much power -> but it doesn't matter because it's coming to an end.
Moore's law has held for roughly 40 years. By the time computers were commonplace among normal people, people had come to expect that they would become cheaper and faster every year. When that became more difficult, the expectations (driving market factor) caused Intel and others to spend an increasing amount of money and effort to maintai
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2)
I remember spending a bundleful of cash on a high-end 450 MHz PC system back in 1998. Everyone at work asked "why on earth do you want a system that fast - only web-server owners need something that fast".
Three years
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Insightful)
Also, keep in mind that when the high end was 300MHZ, the low end was still in the 486 range. That was one hell of a defecit between the low and the high. Low end machines could barely run th
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Informative)
Moore's Law has nothing to do with clockspeed.
Maybe get that tatooed somewhere.
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Insightful)
Moore's law describes component integration on integrated circuits that are economical to manufacture. This results in, among other things, increased processor speed. Generally speaking, Moore's Law has been adopted as an observation on general computing power.
This is like the people who desperately argue that "hacker" originally meant something else, and that we should all use "cracker" instead. You and I know what we're all referring to, so the argument
Re:Moore's Law (Score:5, Insightful)
Will it continue to ramp up as it has in the past. Probably not.
Has the number of transistors doubled every 18 months? Yes and it will continue to do so for awhile yet. Moore's Law is valid and will be valid even if there is no clockspeed increase, until we stop doubling transistor counts. You make the mistake in directly tying increases in performance to increase in clockspeed, which is a an oversimplification of what goes on in a cpu.
As to what the average person calls something I could care less, Moore's Law has always pertained to transistor counts.
Performance isn't tied down to clockspeed.
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2)
Are you new to semiconductor physics?
Re:Moore's Law (Score:4, Insightful)
If they need some stupid "law" to follow it's allright to me.
There is just one thing that bugs me since years: That every new gerneration of chips consumes more power in order to fulfill Moore's prophecy. But I guess we can only blame the consumers in this case.
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Interesting)
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2)
I love how faster speeds enable new things, but the one thing that bugs me is how the old software gets upgraded and expands to fill all the new clocks and MBs but buys you minimal actual improvement in return.
I know, change is impossible... I complain anyway.
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2)
*It does, however, have to be done in fixed point mono, and it takes the vast majority of the CPU time from what I recall. But, I think that was only a 33 MHz system, the later 486's probably could have run vi and an MP3 player simultaneously!
Certainly, my 40 MHz SPARC boxes managed to decode an MP3, and they were nearly the same early 90's vintage.
That said, I do video and 3D rendering. I've just started tinkering with some physics sim. My hobbies love fast h
about that "ultra-hip gaming console" of yours.... (Score:2, Insightful)
new marketing campaign? (Score:2)
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2)
In addition, gaming is a large segment of the market. What do you think powers your ultra-hip console: magic gnomes? No it's called a cpu, amazing isn't it?
As for your lack of imagination, consider a rescue dog or any of the other uses of trained dogs. Now imagine trying to teach a mouse to do those things. I doubt you'd get very far by the simple fact that the dog's brain is so muc
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Interesting)
Some uses........everything you do now but better. If you think webpages are good now, the music you listen to is high quality, and the images that your computer can render are good I beg to differ. Compared to the rate at which it was orginally recorded, the mp3s ect you use are terrible quality. The web will get alot snazzier with better hardware, and we're still awhile away from photorealistic computer-generated images.
As for reaching technological li
Mod -1 Uninformed (Score:2)
Unless I'm mistaken, we don't need any more decoding power for FLAC or other lossless codecs. That's mainly a bandwidth issue -- investing more into compression algorithms might offer returns, but another radical change in music compression (and how much you can compress) isn't likely to happen.
Thing is, you can have email, webcam, web pages, and somewhat 3D renderings. The "revolutions
Re:Moore's Law (Score:3, Insightful)
To me, making things faster without improving any other aspect of them is like making a car that goes
Re:Moore's Law (Score:2, Interesting)
Re:What we can use 32Ghz for (Score:2)
Now imagine a whole bunch of pwned 32ghz PCs running that shit ...
On the plus side - real-time 3d interactive PR0N!
Re:moore's defunct law? (Score:2)
Re:moore's defunct law? (Score:2)
PDF (Score:2, Informative)
It's a Digital Reproduction, PDF. Fooey on that!
MOD PARENT DOWN (Score:5, Informative)
This auction is for a digital copy of the above magazine article, including the issue cover and credits page. This is a MINT CONDITION copy because it has been fully restored digitally and available in Adobe PDF format. All raster graphics have been restored and saved at 300 dpi for quality reproduction.
In other words, the person is selling a copyright violation. Methinks eBay would love to know about that.
p
ebay = electronic bay of ...... (Score:2)
Sure, and I guess you believe that they will do something if you point out shilling in auction bids too....
Re:MOD PARENT DOWN (Score:3, Informative)
(pdf link) [intel.com]
Re:why is it (Score:4, Funny)
Re:Sounds Fishy to me... (Score:2)
Just grep replies, looking for "FAILED". You don't want anything returned.
Re:Sounds Fishy to me... (Score:5, Interesting)
2) Rent a warehouse to keep them
3) ???
4) Profit!!!!
There was a man by the name of Mike Myers(sp) in San Jose who worked out a deal with comic book companies to buy their surplus stock from warehouses, have them shipped to him via train, which he then in turn bagged, stuck a 99cent for 3 label on them, and sold them to discount chains such as Walmart. This upset collectors greatly as mint condition previously uncirculated issues of rare comics started to flood the market, all available to those willing to sort through the bargain bins. Eventually he started putting stickers on them denoting them as being surplus rather than collectible, but still maintained a store front which I presume contained some gems found by the employees as they were bagging 3 for 99cent comics. He was making enough money off the 3 for 99cent deal he wasn't worried anything rare or valueable.
Needless to say your business model is actually a somewhat valid one, but chances are there already is a warehouse filled with crap that you could buy cheaply if you are willing to take the time, or if you prefer sell at walmart for 99cents a bag.
Re:Moore's Law = Kurzweil's Law (Score:3, Insightful)
Hello, Plagiarist (Score:5, Informative)
The funny thing is that I'd be midly angry if it were any other post you copied, but Singularity awareness must increase by any means...