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Bitcoin The Almighty Buck

Elon Musk: Bitcoin Structure is Brilliant, But Has Its Cons; Paper Money is Going Away (ark-invest.com) 250

Elon Musk, who among other things, is a pioneer in the payments industry, has weighed in on one of the most divisive topics in finance today: Bitcoin. In a podcast with Cathie Wood of ARK Invest, Musk, the co-founder and chief executive of electric car maker Tesla, was asked to "go off topic" and offer up some thoughts on the most famous cryptocurrency. From a report: "I think the bitcoin structure is quite brilliant. But I'm not sure that it would be a good use of Tesla's resources to get involved in crypto," he told Wood. Musk, who founded PayPal, added that the days of paper money are numbered and digital currencies could offer a more efficient solution to shifting value. "Paper money is going away and crypto is a far better way to transfer value than pieces of paper, that's for sure, but it has its pros and cons," he said.
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Elon Musk: Bitcoin Structure is Brilliant, But Has Its Cons; Paper Money is Going Away

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  • by Larry Lightbulb ( 781175 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:10PM (#58152920)
    If he means money made of paper, then he's probably right, but wrong otherwise. There's plenty of people who don't, won't, or can't have a credit card and more who wouldn't have a personal computing device to do their daily transactions with.
    • by fahrbot-bot ( 874524 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:27PM (#58153032)

      If he means money made of paper, then he's probably right, but wrong otherwise.

      Case in point, the Bank of England now uses polymer banknotes [bankofengland.co.uk] for their current [wikipedia.org] £5 and £10 denominations and will use that for higher ones in 2020. Many other [wikipedia.org] countries have done the same for their currencies. Polymer notes are (reportedly) cleaner and stronger (allowing them to last longer) and safer (can incorporate more security features).

      • by Solandri ( 704621 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @04:59PM (#58154396)
        For those who haven't seen (felt) polymer banknotes (i.e. Americans), they're like Tyvek sheeting used to wrap houses and also for certain large USPS envelopes (visit the post office). Very strong, durable, and tear resistant.

        U.S. currency has to go through certain, brutal tests before it's approved. One of these tests is to roll it into a tight cylinder inside a metal tube, then a piston travels down the tube to smash the paper cylinder down length-wise. This test is repeated multiple times. Any new bill or security feature has to survive this process before the U.S. will adopt it. This is why U.S. bills don't have large holograms like bills from some other countries - this rolling/crushing test destroys them. This is probably also why we haven't adopted polymer notes yet. The polymer notes are resistant to folding, and this test is pretty much the ultimate force-fold test. It probably weakens if not tears some of the plastic fibers substantially, whereas the more pliable plant fibers in paper bills can survive it.
      • by thegarbz ( 1787294 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @05:51PM (#58154660)

        England? Now? Australia introduced those as a complete set for general circulation 27 years ago https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/... [wikipedia.org]

        Holy shit I'm getting old. I remember that.

    • Even if a person cannot get a Credit Card (which they probably could find one, because they will give them out to anyone), They often can get a Debit card from their local bank, which works just as well.

      • I know several people who, for various reasons, can't even get a bank account. Had one teller even try to tell me I couldn't cash a check on their behalf (Seriously? They can sign the check over to me, and I can deposit it, right? And I can withdraw cash from my account, right? Okay, then do your damned job.)

        • It would seem to me, that we need to solve the problem where these conditions where people cannot get a bank account needs to be solved. The problem isn't the plastic card, but the fact the banks will not offer them.

          • It would seem to me, that we need to solve the problem where these conditions where people cannot get a bank account needs to be solved. The problem isn't the plastic card, but the fact the banks will not offer them.

            This problem is solved. They are called prepaid debit. Basically, unlike a credit card or a bank account, overdrafts/overlimits are impossible.
            Some companies have even started using them for payroll cards. Overdrafts/overlimits for a credit/debit card is a stupid money grabbing idea anyways.
            Overdrafts only really made sense in the paper check day when it took a while to verify funds.
            If you can't overdraft the card then everyone can always get one even people with bad credit.

          • Indeed. I believe part of Bernie's 2016 platform was to have post offices begin also operating as something like very simple, traditional, consumer banks (or maybe credit unions?). Though it seems to me that it might make more sense to simply make it a requirement for all consumer banks to make at least basic no-fee checking accounts available to everyone, just as part of the cost of doing business.

    • by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:45PM (#58153158)
      shoved down their gullets. I know a few guys with fucked up finances and crap jobs. They don't get checks, they get money on a debit card every week or two.

      It's sucks of course. There's fees and it's a major pain to use. But here's the rub: nobody really cares about these people. I mean, the current administration just rolled back a ton of consumer protection and anti-payday loan rules and nobody batted an eye. I only know about it because the crazy left wing sites I like complained about it (the kind that run articles on "The high cost of being poor".

      TL;DR; If you're well enough off that you matter you're already getting away from cash because going to understaffed banks and waiting in line is a drag. If you're poor enough to depend on cash you're gonna get dragged into the cashless economy and taken advantage of by it, but nobody care.
      • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @02:45PM (#58153590)

        "Crazy left wing sites". The irony of it is that those sites would be moderate, fence sitters in any other country.

        It isn't hard to wind up in that category. A former co-worker closed a bank account. A year later, some place hit the account with an ACH debit, and then the bank placed the co-worker on the Chex Systems blacklist. Even though the account was closed, that $25 for some yearly thing became $250 with all the fees the bank assessed. No word was sent to the co-worker by mail. He found out about it when his savings account was closed by the current bank.

        The current US system has no protection for anyone but businesses. It is like the early 1900s, all over again, with hucksters and snake oil sellers everywhere, no laws to protect consumers, and step out of line, and the Pinkertons will end you. Only difference is that we have a recession-proof economy that only goes up and a stock market which is crashproof, so most people really don't care about this stuff.

        • but it doesn't really surprise me. Still, if you make good money it would be easy enough to fix. If you're paycheck to paycheck though nobody cares, and that's 60-80% of the population (depending on how you run the numbers).

          Also, Mod parent up. I know we're not supposed to complain about the Mods, but everything you said seemed on topic and without exaggeration.
        • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

          "The irony of it is that those sites would be moderate, fence sitters in any other country."

          Only in Europe. As a European friend of mine said, he moved here because in the EU there is a far left, a crazy far left, and an even further left and nothing else and he was tired of looking at the lazy deadbeats he worked to pay for day in and day out.

        • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

          "A year later, some place hit the account with an ACH debit, and then the bank placed the co-worker on the Chex Systems blacklist. Even though the account was closed, that $25 for some yearly thing became $250 with all the fees the bank assessed. No word was sent to the co-worker by mail. He found out about it when his savings account was closed by the current bank.

          The current US system has no protection for anyone but businesses. It is like the early 1900s, all over again, with hucksters and snake oil sell

      • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

        by Anonymous Coward

        Getting COMPLETELY away from cash is what boggles my mind. Sure, all my professional and mostly personal things are handled electronically, but I often travel to weird places, at weird times, where things like electricity or signal can not only not be relied upon, but sometimes don't exist to begin with. Not having say, $200 in cash is just mind boggling to me.

        I guess if I never left my green zone I wouldn't care, but why live that way.

      • I think this is illegal ... see below:
        https://www.today.com/money/fe... [today.com]

        Or maybe was illegal before Trump watered down protections against such things.

        • my buddy got a few grand from a class action but then the company continued to do the stuff that caused the class action. The only reason he got that is a lawyer smelled money. It was better than the nothing he was gonna get anyway though.

          There's an old Dilbert cartoon where the mean little Dog (Dogbert?) sets up a phony government office to take advantage of people (the "Bureau of Dogs") and Dilbert says he's complain about it to whoever manages that sort of thing.

          The last panel had Dogbert telling
          • Which is why the unions need to become more active again -- worker protections weren't created by nicey-nice people negotiating with employers in a boardroom. They were created because factories and mines mysteriously started having expensive accidents if the unions weren't treated fairly by their employers.
          • When did the bankruptcy laws get changed to only 100,000 or more to be discharged?

      • Wait... you guys have fees on debit cards? But Credit Cards kind of give you free money the more you use them? That's messed up.

    • While I don't think it is a given, moving to a cashless society in the US is a possible future. But the only way I see it happening is if the government stops subsidizing cash and pushes the costs on those who decide to use cash. The cost of printing money, storing money, disposing of money, investigating counterfeit money, investigating tax evasion from off the books transactions, etc. costs tens of billions of dollars a year. If the US Treasury started offloading those costs to banks who request cash, who

      • One of the good things (I mean this with no sarcasm) about widespread illegal immigration is that it creates a huge "unbanked" population in some parts of the US, which mostly uses cash. This makes it difficult for brick-and-mortar businesses not to accept cash, thus delaying the cashless transition. And no, I have no problem with the law being broken if it serves the interests of privacy.
    • by taustin ( 171655 )

      There's plenty of people who can't get a bank account of any sort. It's currently about 1 in 6 in the US. Musk's attitude of "fuck poor people, they should just die to get out or my way" is pretty typical of the obscenely wealthy left.

    • It's worse: printed money is mostly gone already. I don't keep my money in cash, it's a number in a bank register. The federal reserve doesn't print more pieces of paper or anything, they change the rate at which some numbers in a register change. This just demonstrates how dumb the typical bitcoin discussion is compared to the actual dynamics of currency and its management in modern financial systems. These are typically the same ignorant people who think a deflationary currency like bitcoin is a good

    • Hear, hear.
    • or can't have a credit card

      What's a credit card? As an almost completely cash free person I don't understand. Is that like those bank cards that banks in western countries and 3rd world shitholes give out free to everyone with an account regardless of age, charge no fees, and allow you to pay for anything anywhere?

  • by blahplusplus ( 757119 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:12PM (#58152946)

    ... on power. If there's ever a power outage of any significance your "economy" is fucked. Doesn't seem very sound to have such a point of failure. It would make it trivially easy to fuck up anyones economy in case war broke out. Seems like a recipe for disaster.

    • by Comrade Ogilvy ( 1719488 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:28PM (#58153034)

      We are already past ten toes over that line. When there is a power outage most businesses shut down, because they cannot process credit cards. Many cannot even process cash.

      Obviously much of this is still solvable with cash around. Supposedly.

      Of course, this larger ominous question is why the banks were bailed out with the 2008 meltdown. Because if all the big banks were suddenly forced to file for bankruptcy, would the credit cards still work? Could you get gas and get to work? Can that gas station actually get gasoline delivered? Can your grocery store get restocked?

      Once a business, say, a gasoline distributor, goes into bankruptcy, they cannot suddenly create a novel procedure to extend credit to the corner station without approval from a judge.

      • We are already past ten toes over that line. When there is a power outage most businesses shut down, because they cannot process credit cards. Many cannot even process cash.

        When there is a power outage there are plenty of business that keep going just fine. The reason many shut down isn't just because of payment processing, though that certainly is one significant consideration for some like large retailers. Smaller ones can usually get by for a while. My company shuts down in a power outage because we are a manufacturing company and our equipment requires power to be useful. Payment processing isn't really a big issue for us and we don't depend on it to function day to da

        • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

          "A company like a lawn service might not really even notice a power outage of just a few hours."

          Yes but the typical brownout or thunderstorm isn't the issue, the issue is natural disaster. Think weeks without power and you can't drink the water because it is contaminated with sewage even before the cities pumps stop and the tap goes off.

      • by Immerman ( 2627577 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:58PM (#58153242)

        That's a good reason for keeping the banks alive, not a good reason for bailing them out though. Buy them out, to the tune of their existing debt, break them up, and send them on their way, with large low-interest government loans to repay. After imprisoning all the executives that decided their personal profit was more important than national security. And all the regulators who were either incompetent or corrupt enough to not spot the problem sooner.

        • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

          Other banks will be more than happy to fill the void of the ones that crash. We shouldn't keep avoiding turmoil like the plague, we should be letting it happen and learning how to cope. You end up with a more flexible system that can take it in stride that way. What we have is a fragile house of cards with too many central points of failure.

      • Some businesses can't process cards or "process cash", whatever that means but there are definitely backup plans available.

        In the case of cards, any business that wants payments should have one of these old school devices for emergencies [banksupplies.com]. Given the cost of this device, it seems foolish to take the chance of missing sales because you don't have one. AFAIK, you process the payments electronically somehow after the power comes back up. Back in the day I don't know how they did it--perhaps they mailed a carb

      • It was mostly Wall Street and Consumer banks that collapsed. The credit card banks did just fine.

        Banks are smart enough to keep profitable business (Credit Cards) separate from risky ones (Mortgage backed securities).

        I wish I could say the same about average Joe consumer. That numbnut let the wall between Main Street & Wall Street banks get busted down and he keeps letting more and more banking regulations get repealed because they're "job killing regulations".
      • Obviously much of this is still solvable with cash around. Supposedly.

        Much of this is solvable in many ways. Having a business continuity plan should be a requirement regardless of what you use.

        Last time there was a national outage of debit processing I paid for petrol the same way as many other people, by bank transfer when my bill arrived in the mail a few days later after handing over some ID.

    • by lgw ( 121541 )

      If there's ever a power outage of any significance your "economy" is fucked. Doesn't seem very sound to have such a point of failure.

      If the power goes out, what are you going to buy with cash? The cash registers at the grocery stores won't work, and it's not like anyone knows how to make change these days. Can't buy gas, as the pumps won't work. Banks can't operate without power these days, so you're limited to cash on hand.

      • And some places won't sell anything even if they could, because it's all tied into their inventory systems.

      • Comment removed based on user account deletion
  • by 140Mandak262Jamuna ( 970587 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:15PM (#58152964) Journal
    Normally that is how I would respond. But in this case there are some mitigating circumstances. Elon was involved with Paypal, some sort of payment tracking system. And it is mentioned to be off-topic. So I am going to be a little forgiving here.
  • by sjbe ( 173966 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:18PM (#58152980)

    I think the bitcoin structure is quite brilliant.

    The blockchain technology might be brilliant. Bitcoin very definitely is not. We shouldn't confuse the two. The jury is still out on blockchain but I think the more interesting uses of it won't be for currency. Bitcoin is an interesting but ultimately flawed experiment which might also be a pyramid scheme either intentionally or unintentionally.

    Paper money is going away and crypto is a far better way to transfer value than pieces of paper, that's for sure, but it has its pros and cons

    This is just idiotic. Paper money isn't going away any time soon and neither is fiat currency. Maybe in the far future but even then I doubt it. There is simply too much utility in paper money for a lot of transactions. Asking everyone to either carry an expensive computer with them or carry some means to interact securely with one in order to facilitate even the most basic transaction is unrealistic. Not everyone can get a credit card or afford a smartphone and even if they could it still wouldn't be practical some of the time.

    If he actually thinks the dollar is trading bits of paper he has no idea what money actually is. (I doubt he's that naive) The vast majority of currency is nothing more than digits in a ledger somewhere. Paper currency is a tiny fraction of the total amount of money in circulation. Somewhere less than 10% of the total.

    • Paper money is going away and crypto is a far better way to transfer value than pieces of paper, that's for sure, but it has its pros and cons

      This is just idiotic. Paper money isn't going away any time soon and neither is fiat currency. Maybe in the far future but even then I doubt it. There is simply too much utility in paper money for a lot of transactions. Asking everyone to either carry an expensive computer with them or carry some means to interact securely with one in order to facilitate even the most basic transaction is unrealistic.

      I agree with you and have no mod points so I have to comment instead of modding you up. I like Musk but he does say stuff off the top of his head at times that is dubious, like he believed that the odds were really good that this life of ours is just a simulation in a giant computer somewhere. Anybody interested in the subject can look up online and find some really good refutations of that idea.

    • Blockchain is a federated ledger. That is pretty cool once you account for all the usual shortcomings of federated systems. The problem with blockchain right now is that its suffering from the same buzzword effect you see with every new tech. Too many people want that juicy VC money so they are all trying to come up with new ways to implement the new buzz word. That means it inevitably becomes the butt of every joke because blockchain is advertised as the solution to every problem. It isn't, we all know th
      • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

        Blockchain also isn't the only thing brilliant in the Bitcoin implementation. It isn't really an individual technology but the masterful way in which they were combined and the economic concepts applied that makes it so impressive. Frankly it scaled beyond what anyone could dream of with a beta protocol.

        Hopefully when all the hype dies down and the crazy market swings that come with uninterested speculators Bitcoin continues.

    • This is just idiotic. Paper money isn't going away any time soon and neither is fiat currency. Maybe in the far future but even then I doubt it. There is simply too much utility in paper money for a lot of transactions.

      I haven't carried paper money in years and do perfectly well. In the past it wasn't viable because there used to be a £5 minimum spend on card transactions, but now there's no minimum so you can pay for everything on your card. Contactless payment has made this even more convenient, and you simply flash your card to make the payment, which is far easier than fiddling around with coins and notes.

      Asking everyone to either carry an expensive computer with them or carry some means to interact securely with one in order to facilitate even the most basic transaction is unrealistic.

      You don't need an expensive computer, all you need is a debit/credit card. I fail to see how carrying aro

      • I was more cashless for a long time, then I got poor, so I started using more cash. Makes budgeting easier, and feels comforting to have actual money in my pocket.
    • There is strong incentive for the government to cut down on paper money. Cheaper, can track people, no worry about counterfeits. So you can expect the government to make it more difficult to use paper money.

      Visa and Mastercard would love the idea of collecting 2% toll on every transaction. There are lots of enemies for paper money.

      They might succeed.

      • The trend in US cities has been to introduce legislation REQUIRING brick-n-mortar stores to accept paper money -- at least on the local level, government is responsive to popular anger about tech and inequality.
    • Paper money isn't going away anytime soon. People tend to be distrustful of the government in the US. If paper money in the US stopped being printed and the mints stopped working, people would start using loonies, pesos, and centavos.

      One other thing: Governments make money every time they print a unit of currency, be it a coin or a paper bill. Good old fashioned seigniorage. The US government isn't going to cut itself off from this revenue source.

    • by paskie ( 539112 )

      China *already* proved you wrong. Even the beggars in the streets wear alipay QR codes. For daily use, cash already effectively went away in China *right now*, not in the future. No reason this is not going to happen in the rest of the world, Africa might be next. No opinion when it will happen in the US in particular, but who cares.

    • by Shaitan ( 22585 )

      "The blockchain technology might be brilliant. Bitcoin very definitely is not. "

      Bitcoin very much is brilliant and not just the blockchain technology, blockchain alone isn't all that fantastic. Bitcoin also leverages many existing technologies in a new and unique way. Yes, ultimately bitcoin has turned out to have a choke point at a certain scale and that needs resolved but the scheme is brilliant.

      "Bitcoin is an interesting but ultimately flawed experiment which might also be a pyramid scheme either intenti

  • Cryptocurrencies are dependent upon our tech infrastructure being stable enough to validate them. If government-backed currencies die then that tech infrastructure wouldn't be far behind (if at all.)
  • by bobstreo ( 1320787 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:22PM (#58153002)

    when you pry it out of my cold dead mattress. /s

    Especially when I can get a discount for using cash instead of the seller having to pay a transaction fee if a credit card or some other method of payment is used.

  • by xxxJonBoyxxx ( 565205 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @01:29PM (#58153040)
    Wide swings in value is not a "con" - it's a non-starter for the general public. Ask the Weimar or anyone unfortunate enough to live in Venezuela.
    • Wide swings in value is not a "con" - it's a non-starter for the general public. Ask the Weimar or anyone unfortunate enough to live in Venezuela.

      ...or anyone that used gold for that matter. People want a currency that has stable value, and that means the currency supply must expand with demand for said currency. Bitcoin's creators assumed rising demand for Bitcoin would spur more mining activity. However, they made it too costly to mine, and the supply dried up. New currencies can learn from this and make mining less expensive to stabilize prices.

      Solving this money supply issue would be a very useful and novel invention. This is currently a t

  • Yes, let's please put all our faith in cryptography we know will become 100% obsolete with the proper implementation of quantum computers.

    Paper may be the foundation of civilization, but it can get wet and burn so it must not be nearly as safe or secure.

  • crypto (...) has its pros and cons

    Translation: a number of those pros excel at using crypto to pull cons on the rest of us.

  • ...and dump. Watch those coins burn.

  • Good job Rei sneaking in a story about ARK Invest. I can't wait until Tesla hits $4000 a share. We are all going to be rich (and save the planet too!)
    • by Rei ( 128717 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @04:25PM (#58154212) Homepage

      You know, I just had a heartwarming thought. I could drop dead tomorrow, and yet for years to come, people on Slashdot would be crediting any story that gets posted about Musk/Tesla to me. It's nice to know that people think about me when I'm not around :)

  • You need paper money to buy it legally. Thought he would have known that.
  • I personally pay credit/debit card fees for my business. They're about 3% of gross, when all is said and done. That's a lot of fucking money, that's not, in my opinion, worth 3%. Personally, I always use cash, when possible, because I refuse to give those Visa/MC leeches one more penny.
  • by Thelasko ( 1196535 ) on Wednesday February 20, 2019 @03:43PM (#58153986) Journal
    Since this is a podcast, it should be noted that the cryptocurrency question is asked around the 25:40 mark.
  • It seems to me like paper money will go away the day a government declares it so. In the U.S. right now, it would be entirely possible to issue some sort of government "cash card" to everyone, and dissolve the U.S. mints and all of their operational costs to offset the expense of issuing them.

    All of this talk of paper money never going away because "the poor won't have bank accounts or credit cards" misses the point. All of the cash people walk around with had to be produced at considerable taxpayer expens

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