Price of Bitcoin Plummets Below 'Psychological' $7,000 Level After China Promises Crackdown (forbes.com) 131
Friday Forbes wrote that price of Bitcoin had dropped 10% over the previous 24 hours, dipping below the "psychological" $7,000 level. That's after starting the week at over $8,000, and less than a month after it rose to $10,000.
Apparently cryptocurrencies had gotten some very bad news from China.
Bitcoin rivals ethereum and bitcoin cash have led the market lower [Friday] morning, each losing over 12% of their value in the last 24 hours. Ripple's XRP, litecoin, EOS, bitcoin SV, and binance coin have all also been heavily sold off, wiping billions of dollars from the value of the combined bitcoin and crypto market. [Friday] morning the People's Bank of China has warned it will be cracking down hard on bitcoin and cryptocurrency trading in the country. "Once [bitcoin or cryptocurrency trading] is discovered, it will be disposed of immediately, and it will be prevented from happening early," read a People's Bank of China statement, translated through Google.
The Shanghai-based central bank also warned against conflating the country's interest in blockchain with bitcoin and crypto...
The bitcoin and cryptocurrency industry has been rocked by reports of Chinese police raids on the offices of major bitcoin and crypto exchanges Binance and Bithumb in the country over the last week -- though both have denied the raids took place.
But now that same Forbes columnist asks: Is this when to buy bitcoin? Among other reasons... As well as the May bitcoin halving, which will see the number of bitcoin rewarded to miners cut by half from 12.5 bitcoin to 6.25 bitcoin, bitcoin investors are hopeful next year will bring an increase in the number of bitcoin retail investors and people using bitcoin and cryptocurrencies for payments. Bakkt, a New York Stock Exchange-owner backed bitcoin and cryptocurrency venture, announced last month it plans to launch a consumer app for cryptocurrency purchases in 2020. U.S. coffee chain Starbucks will be its first launch partner, with the company one of the original backers of the crypto project, along with software giant Microsoft and Boston Consulting Group. Meanwhile, Bakkt's bitcoin futures daily volume hit a new all-time high this week, according to data from Intercontinental Exchange, with some $20.3 million across 2,700 futures contracts on Friday.
Many in the traditional financial industry remain unconvinced by bitcoin and crypto, however. This month, former European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet slammed bitcoin and Facebook's crypto project, warning bitcoin is "not real" and not the future of money.
The Shanghai-based central bank also warned against conflating the country's interest in blockchain with bitcoin and crypto...
The bitcoin and cryptocurrency industry has been rocked by reports of Chinese police raids on the offices of major bitcoin and crypto exchanges Binance and Bithumb in the country over the last week -- though both have denied the raids took place.
But now that same Forbes columnist asks: Is this when to buy bitcoin? Among other reasons... As well as the May bitcoin halving, which will see the number of bitcoin rewarded to miners cut by half from 12.5 bitcoin to 6.25 bitcoin, bitcoin investors are hopeful next year will bring an increase in the number of bitcoin retail investors and people using bitcoin and cryptocurrencies for payments. Bakkt, a New York Stock Exchange-owner backed bitcoin and cryptocurrency venture, announced last month it plans to launch a consumer app for cryptocurrency purchases in 2020. U.S. coffee chain Starbucks will be its first launch partner, with the company one of the original backers of the crypto project, along with software giant Microsoft and Boston Consulting Group. Meanwhile, Bakkt's bitcoin futures daily volume hit a new all-time high this week, according to data from Intercontinental Exchange, with some $20.3 million across 2,700 futures contracts on Friday.
Many in the traditional financial industry remain unconvinced by bitcoin and crypto, however. This month, former European Central Bank president Jean-Claude Trichet slammed bitcoin and Facebook's crypto project, warning bitcoin is "not real" and not the future of money.
Holding on to my Coinye (Score:2)
as the day He returns is imminent.
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Wait a minute, you're not the Jesus X. Christ we worship and await the return of. You're the one on the no-fly list!
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Any currency that can drop 10% in one day and 30% in a month is useless.
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Like the British Pound did [marketwatch.com] is useless.
To say nothing of the Swiss franc dropping 40% in a day. [thebalance.com]
Alas both currencies are now relegated to the dustbin of history.
Oh no, sorry both are still quite popular it seems.
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Bitcoin is volatile (upside and downside) (Score:2)
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A good currency is a stable currency that buys a loaf of bread for the same number next week as it did last week
It is fair to criticize Bitcoin as having poor UX, being difficult to understand by many people, and being volatile. You are 100% correct that being a stable unit of account is critical to having a useful currency. This isn't the only important quality of a currency however= fungibility, divisibility, scarcity, Durability, acceptability, and Cognizability are all other important aspects that make a good currency. Bitcoin excels in some of these other qualities which is why it has a inelastic demand specific
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Bitcoin can't be spent in any meaningful way, so it is not valuable as a currency. Bitcoin only has value because someone out there will exchange other currencies for Bitcoin.
You are correct insomuch as stability for a less volatile unit of account is a very important quality, among others, that make for a useful currency and Bitcoin is far more volatile than most fiat currencies which make it more difficult to use in some aspects than many fiat currencies. One distinction though is because Bitcoin has better fungibility digitally, it has a inelastic demand specifically as a currency and has a circular economy of people who depend upon it as a currency regardless of this volat
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Bitcoin suffers from these wild swings routinely.
Yes.
But that's not what I responded to was it...
Any currency that can drop 10% in one day and 30% in a month is useless.
See where you went wrong?
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Of course granny said "never bite the hand that feeds you" but the Brexiteers never listened to Granny, and listened instead to propaganda promoted by banks (or possibly Aaron B
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$20 million is nothing volume (Score:5, Insightful)
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only large servers will be able to store and host the blockchain,
The size of the Bitcoin blockchain with storage space is not the concern as pruning has been available for many years bringing down the blockchain to under 5GB disk space with a full node(not SPV). These full nodes have all the same security and privacy properties as a full archival node (currently ~250GB) and these pruned nodes validate the complete protocol rules and peer blocks just like archival nodes.
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Re: $20 million is nothing volume (Score:1)
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IMO the crippling problem for Bitcoin is that, contrary to the ideological driven propaganda, it is effectively very easy to print more. The more the use cases for Bitcoin are proven valuable, the more competitors will appear. The new competitors often have technical advantages over the older cryptocurrencies. The real value for Bitcoin is implied by the network of active trading (IMNSHO). But new cryptocurrencies can nibble away at that network based on technical superiority, and thereby undercut the o
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The more the use cases for Bitcoin are proven valuable, the more competitors will appear.
Those are altcoins, not Bitcoin. You don't suggest that US dollars are hyper inflating when Venezuela prints more fiat do you?
The new competitors often have technical advantages over the older cryptocurrencies.
Often they do not. 99% or altcoins are just memes or marketing fluff and have no advantageous and since Bitcoin is an evolving open source project it can adopt any real advantageous.
I would note that a gov't or multinational financial institution could easily create its own crypto, that has the properties that most consumers actually care about.
Countries like Canada, Ecuador, and Venezuela have already tried this, but its a pointless marketing exercise that has failed in the past and will continue to fail because fiat is already mostly digital a
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Those are altcoins, not Bitcoin. You don't suggest that US dollars are hyper inflating when Venezuela prints more fiat do you? Of course all the magic is in the name, The key difference here is what's backing the US Dollar and what you can use it for (paying US taxes), the Venezuela printing more makes no difference to those. Contrast to bitcoin vs some other cryptocurrency. Bitcoin probably wins on the magic name and it's establishment, the point here though is that those are things that can get eroded. If it's true or not currently I've no idea, is is possible, absolutely. The thing which most likely kills it against competition which is what I see your response absolutely dripping in, complacency.
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https://medium.com/@jimmysong/... [medium.com]
Bitcoin is the only Scarce Digital Asset (Score:3)
Bitcoin is the only Scarce Digital Asset available to the humankind!
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The crippling problem for Bitcoin is that once you've got Bitcoin, you don't have anything.
You've got a string of numbers that some people will accept, and some others will convert into normal currency for you, but you still just have a string of numbers. If where you store your numbers goes bad, or if somebody hacks it, or BobsBigCoinBasePlanet sends all your Bitcoin to their own wallet and disappears to Uruguay, you are left with nothing. There is no legal framework to which you can appeal. There is no in
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Gold was the best store of value (SoV) because Gold has the higher stock-to-flow ratio.
Bitcoin is designed to have a higher stock-to-flow ratio than Gold
Modeling Bitcoin's Value with Scarcity:
https://medium.com/@100trillio... [medium.com]
https://medium.com/@jimmysong/... [medium.com]
Wasn't $4,000 the Psych Level Just Last Year (Score:1)
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All "round" numbers are psychological barriers; ooh it broke $5000, it will go to $6000 (or $4000) soon!
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Oh no, I predict it will never go below the psychological barrier my analysis predicts, of zero
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I'd give you the funny mod if I ever had a point to give.
However, I can argue that it's already gone below zero. You'd have to pay me in REAL money before I'd accept your cryptocurrency.
Fundamental problem with every cryptocurrency is all the others. There is NO limit on numbers or on amusing mathematical games that can be played with numbers to pick out "valuable" ones. Whatever value a cryptocurrency is supposed to have, you have to divide that value by infinity. Cryptocurrency is a scam.
Actually, I shoul
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However, I can argue that it's already gone below zero. You'd have to pay me in REAL money before I'd accept your cryptocurrency.
The price of a currency or asset is determined by a marketplace not solely you. Thus even if you don't accept US dollars, it still has value because others do.
There is NO limit on numbers or on amusing mathematical games that can be played with numbers to pick out "valuable" ones.
Bitcoin is valuable because people find it useful for regulatory arbitrage and its scarce. Not quite the same as random numbers as you suggest.
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All I can do is thank you for providing additional evidence of the naivete of advocates of cryptocurrency. Do you have any earthly idea how math works? You're gambling your money on it, right?
(However, it is also possible that you might be a scammer who's playing the "bank's" position. In that case you're just spewing confusion for the benefit of the suckers. Negative benefit.)
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Okay, thanks for clarifying that you're a BitCoin scammer. We can now regard this "discussion" as terminated.
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Exactly why do you think that the formula of BitCoin is any better than the infinite number of other formulas available for new cryptocurrencies? Perhaps more to the point, if you can point at any point of superiority, do you fantasize that mathematics is finished and no one will devise a superior mathematical concept tomorrow?
If you can't provide any mathematical justifications, then I get to dismiss you as a naive fool or another scamming con artist. If you are not simply a naive dreamer, then I can expla
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Bitcoin is the only real thing in the digital space; Everything else is noise!
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The "noise" is only going to increase.
You seem to be making some kind of "first mover" argument. Doesn't work unless you seriously believe that math is finished, but I have to report that mathematicians are continuing to discover new results all the time. Even on your first-mover basis you would need to play some kind of definitional games with fiat currencies to pretend there's actual value there.
My prediction in your case is that you invested in BitCoins and I can only feel sorry for you.
Not even a defense of BitCoin (Score:2)
No, it was not helpful and not even relevant to my analysis of BitCoin's intrinsically null value.
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Repeating your comment is no more persuasive the second time. Probably just one of many repetitions. However it is strong evidence that you're a scammer trying to increase the buzz.
If you are a scammer, then I strongly encourage you to put all your assets into BitCoins. You deserve it. If you are not a scammer, but just an ignorant follower of the fad, then I can only feel sorry for you.
Desperate defenses of BitCoin contine to FAIL (Score:2)
I certainly know there are lots of fools who know nothing about mathematics but are willing to gamble while ignoring the odds.
Today's amusing reference is a book entitled The Simpson's and their Mathematical Secrets . I've never watched an episode, but I'm learning quite a bit about the history of the show. I'm still early in the book, but I predict that Homer Simpson is a heavy investor in cryptocurrency scams. Or maybe not. No relevant index entries.
By the way, your "mathematical" interpretation of my pr
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Can't tell if you're another scammer, but I am pretty sure you don't know many mathematicians. From my years supporting a research lab I know a lot of real mathematicians, even professional mathematicians and some with low Erdos numbers, and I cannot recall ever hearing one of them say a word in favor of cryptocurrency. However, I have lost touch with a couple of them who were fundamentally speculators (quants), and I think it quite likely they love BitCoins as another opportunity to make themselves richer.
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Tired of your vacuous and time-wasting tripe. Please file this discussion as terminated.
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Not relevant to my analysis of the intrinsic value of BitCoin, notwithstanding fashion trends and your opinions and diversions. BitCoin is worth zero and that's where the value will wind up. It's math.
Interesting example from The Simpsons and Their Mathematical Secrets involving the numbers 8,192, 8,128, and 8,208. The book explains why these are such interesting numbers. It's a 14-page chapter about the deep significance of those numbers. But they have no monetary value, even where the deep and fundament
Public masturbation of 1673220 (Score:2)
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Re:Wasn't $4,000 the Psych Level Just Last Year (Score:5, Insightful)
All "round" numbers are psychological barriers; ooh it broke $5000
It actually did, a few months ago. I have no idea where this "$7000" figure comes from.
No doubt the half-dozen people who own most of the coins will soon manipulate it back up to $10,000 again though. ...and if you're thinking "so this is the right moment to buy??" then you're the product.
You can buy today, sure, and give your $6000 to the Bitcoin mafia. Will you be able to sell easily when it peaks at $10,000? No, because that same mafia only trades with itself, they don't buy from outsiders. You're relying on being able to sell to idiots who think it's going to $20,000 and competing with the mafia who also want to sell to those idiots and can easily undercut you on price.
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Good points.
> I have no idea where this "$7000" figure comes from.
Just some moron with a keyboard. These days, if it's "on Forbes" it's probably best to ignore it.
To be fair, if you look at /r/bitcoin, talking about the BTC fork, it's almost entirely fiat-price obsession. The /r/btc discussion, now about the Cash fork, ironically (it started as the uncensored bitcoin sub), is mostly about utility. For "BTC maximalists" to be obsessed with big round numbers isn't actually surprising, even if it's silly
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You're suggesting the only buyers on the exchanges are mafia?
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You're suggesting the only buyers on the exchanges are mafia?
There's two types:
a) Mafia sock puppets trading between themselves to make it look like the price is going up.
b) Suckers who believe (a).
What's the point? (Score:2)
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You appear to have 2 questions/concerns. The first dealing with privacy. Bitcoin is pseudonymous which ultimately means the end user can choose to be transparent or very private depending how they prefer to use it. Most dark market transactions occur in Bitcoin even to this day and are growing year after year. Bitcoin is also rapidly becoming far more private every year with advanced chaumian coinjoin, dandelion, Schnorr Signatures, Taproot, sidechains, and payment channels to name a few advancements.
Your
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[quote]One key aspect that many people don't seem to understand is that the act of mining itself has nothing to do with validation of transactions , blocks, or the protocol rules.[/quote]
You give people too much credit there. Most people's version of how crypto works is far more BS than saying that the miners validate transactions and blocks.
Most people have a kindergarten level of understanding where they say miners are looking for magic numbers, and those numbers are call bitcoins, and you can sell the ma
Psychological value: $X Real value: $0.00 (Score:5, Insightful)
Bitcoin is and has always been devoid of value.
You can buy it with the expectation that tomorrow someone will want to buy it for more.
You can sell it with the expectation that tomorrow someone won't want to buy it for what it's selling today.
Neither is "worth", "value" as it has neither. It's an option on a future on a non-product.
Invest wisely.
E
P.S. Bitcoin speculative purchase and sales isn't investing. It's gambing... and unlike poker, blackjack, etc., the odds are up in the air.
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You have been able to buy goods and services with bitcoin for years. Okay, a lot of those goods and services are illegal and paying your bar tab with it is totally impractical, but it none the less has real-world value.
I pay for (legal) services with bitcoin I mined myself, so it's pretty well anonymous. As long as the services don't need any identifying information about you it's okay.
Meanwhile, there is ONE stable cryptocurency (Score:3)
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Much truth, very stable!
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I mined some DOGE in the first couple of months it came out. I wish they'd done block-halving. The problem with DOGE is that there's no reward halving, so no cap on the number of coins.
What about Dogecoin? (Score:1)
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A comeback from what, actually? One Dogecoin is worth one Dogecoin, same as it always has been.
Transaction confirmation time (Score:5, Insightful)
people using bitcoin and cryptocurrencies for payments
Using bitcoin to make purchases is only viable if the transaction doesn't need to happen quickly. The amount of time required to confirm a bitcoin transaction is an unknown. It is variable, depending on a number of factors, the biggest of which is the number of other transactions that also need to be confirmed at that moment. From what I've read, the *average* is 10 minutes, but during times of heavy demand, it can take 16 hours for bitcoin transactions to be confirmed.
That pretty much narrows it down to purchases that can take days to process the payment, which I would think greatly limits how useful bitcoin is for most kinds of purchases.
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Don't forget the 'Gresham's law' (bad money drives out good). You will always use your USD first! This is an incentive issue.
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Well interpret it how you wish. Use Bitcoin if you want, otherwise don't. It works for me. All I'm saying is you don't need to wait for minutes/hours to see the money come through, and eventually it changes status from "Unconfirmed" to "Confirmed", but in practice they seem to be the same thing. The BTC leaves your wallet straight away, so double spending is not possible, although feel free to prove me wrong.
Re:Transaction confirmation time (Score:5, Informative)
I send British Pounds to people using my bank's mobile app, and it appears as a fully confirmed transaction on their bank's mobile app within 3 seconds.
Transaction fees are £0.
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Not sure if "afraid" is the right word.
(China) (waves hand angrily)
(price of bitcoin jumps)
(China): "Na hen youyisi..."
Negatives Rates vs Sound Money (Score:3, Insightful)
F.A. Hayek in 1984: "I don't believe we shall ever have a good money again before we take the thing out of the hands of government, that is, we can't take it violently out of the hands of government, all we can do is by some sly roundabout way introduce something that they can't stop."
Bitcoin is our answer!
You can 'fork' Bitcoin the software, to get something incompatible at the protocol level. But, you can't 'fork' the philosophy. The philosophy is mainly driven by the 'don't trust but verify' mindset. Without the philosophy, the incompatible 'fork' is just equivalent to a classical database under a central authority.
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If you think negative interest rates "were not possible" under the gold standard, then you don't understand anything about the monetary system.
Negative rates were totally possible under the gold standard because the value of gold itself fluxuates, like anything else.
All a negative rate means is that you have to pay for the privilege of stashing your money somewhere because the person who is doing the stashing is no longer making enough residual value off of it to be worth their while to stash it. It was, an
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Now we are in a pure FIAT system, the only constraint is the 'rate' chosen by the central bank. In the EU, the rate is now zero and below, now the monetary base can go to infinity.
https://www.goldmoney.com/rese... [goldmoney.com]
Re: Negatives Rates vs Sound Money (Score:2)
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https://www.fff.org/2019/11/18... [fff.org]
https://medium.com/@festina_le... [medium.com]
Re: Negatives Rates vs Sound Money (Score:2)
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Re: Negatives Rates vs Sound Money (Score:2)
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Re: Negatives Rates vs Sound Money (Score:2)
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The stock-to-flow model is the right one for scarcity.
Re: Negatives Rates vs Sound Money (Score:2)
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This model fails for Litecoin: https://twitter.com/100trillio... [twitter.com]
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China running game (Score:2)
interesting stock (Score:3)
Bitcoin is gambling but so is any stock. Elon Musk lost over half a billion on tesla stock when the windows broke but it's going to recover. Bitcoin is likely to recover and gain some value too.
The killer for stocks and shares is fees, even if the market moves in your favour the fees will wipe out your gains if you don't have enough invested. Maybe bitcoin is a reasonable game to play if you only put money in you can afford to lose.
into the air (Score:2)
There are 4 miners in China that control 50%. It's a manipulation scheme, if you buy into it, you;re an idiot.
https://www.investopedia.com/n... [investopedia.com]