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The Almighty Buck

Finland's 2-Year Test of Universal Basic Income Concludes that it Doesn't Seem To Disincentivise Working and Benefits Recipients' Mental and Financial Wellbeing (newscientist.com) 560

The world's most robust study of universal basic income has concluded that it boosts recipients' mental and financial well-being, as well as modestly improving employment. From a report: Finland ran a two-year universal basic income study in 2017 and 2018, during which the government gave 2000 unemployed people aged between 25 and 58 monthly payments with no strings attached. The payments of 560 euro ($600) per month weren't means tested and were unconditional, so they weren't reduced if an individual got a job or later had a pay rise. The study was nationwide and selected recipients weren't able to opt out, because the test was written into legislation. Minna Ylikanno at the Social Insurance Institution of Finland announced the findings in Helsinki today via livestream.

The study compared the employment and well-being of basic income recipients against a control group of 173,000 people who were on unemployment benefits. Between November 2017 and October 2018, people on basic income worked an average of 78 days, which was six days more than those on unemployment benefits. There was a greater increase in employment for people in families with children, as well as those whose first language wasn't Finnish or Swedish -- but the researchers aren't yet sure why. When surveyed, people who received universal basic income instead of regular unemployment benefits reported better financial well-being, mental health and cognitive functioning, as well as higher levels of confidence in the future.

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Finland's 2-Year Test of Universal Basic Income Concludes that it Doesn't Seem To Disincentivise Working and Benefits Recipients

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  • Shocking results (Score:3, Insightful)

    by TimothyHollins ( 4720957 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @10:22AM (#60036152)

    Giving people money improves their financial well-being? I'm glad top scientists are exhausting their brainpower on this case.

    • by Rosco P. Coltrane ( 209368 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @10:52AM (#60036340)

      Yeah it's obvious ain't it?

      Yet the US still fails to realize that simple truth, and stays firm in its "every man for himself" policy.

      Asking the better-offs to spare some change for the less fortunate's well-being. Imagine that...

      • I wasn't born better off. I worked hard for it.

        If someone wants what I have they should work hard for it, too. It wasn't bad luck for them and good luck for me. I didn't play roulette in a casino, I literally spent decades working 7 days a week with a grand total of 3 weeks of vacation.

        Go to school, get good grades, don't drink or take drugs, don't have a kid before 35, don't commit. Rimes, work your ass off. You'll do great. It is definitely harder than just having the government steal from me to give
        • by seebs ( 15766 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @02:18PM (#60037418) Homepage

          It was, in fact, *mostly* bad luck for them and good luck for you.

          Learn about the fundamental attribution error, and learn some statistics. You got lucky in ways you didn't see. There are people who worked harder than you and ended up destitute. There are people who have never worked hard at all and are much richer than you. Chance events are a huge factor in outcomes, but people persistently attribute their own successes to work, and other people's to luck, and other people's failures to bad choices, and their own failures to luck.

          Studied externally, without the bias of wanting to feel smug, we find that luck is a huge factor and often completely outweighs the others, although working hard certainly *helps*.

        • https://www.technologyreview.c... [technologyreview.com] I did all of you suggested and now I am where I am because of medical issues that could not have been prevented. It all boils down to luck.
  • by RazorSharp ( 1418697 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @10:29AM (#60036188)

    I think the big question is, if you implemented it here in the States, whether it would provide a disincentive to working 50+ hours a week, as many American employers expect out of their employees.

    Finland: [businessculture.org]

    Finnish weekly working hours are the same as the European Union average. Yet, there is more overtime and less part time work (although this has been increasing recently) Working hours vary among highly educated employees. Around 10% work a short week (less than 34 hours), and about 50% work a normal working week (35-40 hours). However, about one third of this category works 41 to 49 hours per week; and one sixth works over 50 hours per week.

    America: [fool.com]

    . . .40% of U.S. employees regularly work more than 50 hours per week, and 20% work more than 60 hours per week. . .

    Those are just the first sources I found, but I don't think the claim is that extraordinary to require extra digging. The point is, that the Fins, being less overworked to begin with, probably don't find extra cash as a disincentive to working. I think a lot of Americans would demand to work less hours, or take on a part-time job instead, if this was implemented. Not that that would be a bad thing.

    • by Errol backfiring ( 1280012 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @11:06AM (#60036424) Journal

      I think the big question is, if you implemented it here in the States, whether it would provide a disincentive to working 50+ hours a week, as many American employers expect out of their employees.

      I hope so. Does that 50+ hour work-week make Americans more productive? Or is it just the result of the always-on stress of the possibility to be fired in a whim? And the fear of the absence of a decent social rescue if that happens?

      Americans might use less time to fight for their jobs and as a result might be more creative and therefore productive.

      • I hope so. Does that 50+ hour work-week make Americans more productive? [...] Americans might use less time to fight for their jobs and as a result might be more creative and therefore productive.

        It makes Americans more productive per year (the highest annual GDP per capita [wikipedia.org] after you exclude oil exporters, banking nations, and countries which give massive corporate tax breaks so multi-national companies route money through them).

        But less productive per hour worked [oecd-ilibrary.org] (The US is below the OECD average.)

        W

  • by The Cynical Critic ( 1294574 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @10:46AM (#60036298)
    As a Finn and someone who's had a closer look at the preliminary results before they were published in English I have to point out that the results are framed in a fairly dishonest way meant to present the scheme in the most positive light possible. It's now framed as a trial at expanding government welfare programs when in reality it's real purpose was always a much more practical one.

    One of the primary reasons why we're considering the scheme over here is the idea that it would clear up so-called "incentive traps" ("kannustinloukku") where it doesn't make sense for unemployed people to take on low-paying or part time work as the increase in income wouldn't outweigh the additional effort. This is a well recognized issue that most parties freely acknowledge as an issue in our unemployment and benefits system. When the trial started one of the most widely touted purposes of it was to see if clearing up these "incentive traps" would increase the workforce participation and hence have the program pay for itself.

    However as the results showed that there wasn't any tangible improvement in workforce participation, and this was already clearly visible in preliminary results published a year ago, the focus has shifted onto other things. Despite the fact that testing if clearing up so-called "incentive traps" would improve workforce participation was one of the primary, if not the primary purposes of the test from the outset.

    A lot of people tout UBI as a necessity due to automation and globalization destroying work, but the purpose of Finland's UBI plans has always been to simplify the benefits system and to clear up so-called "incentive traps" keeping the unemployed from accepting jobs offered to them, hence increasing labor force participation and having the system ultimately paying for itself. Even if the media and the people running the study have tried painting it up as something else, it's primary purpose was always to improve labor force participation and simplify benefits and not be an expansion of government welfare programs.
    • by Luckyo ( 1726890 )

      To be clear, the ultimate goal was shrinking of government welfare programs. It's why it was greenlit by the conservative government. The idea was that if this worked, it would both reduce the incentive traps within current system, and allow massive shrinking of government bureaucracy related to figuring out who should be getting what welfare.

    • by DavenH ( 1065780 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @11:30AM (#60036582)
      Thank you for the relevant info and sensible breakdown. So what's the result actually indicate, that these incentive traps aren't really a hindrance to workforce participation, or that they are, but to the degree UBI fixes them, it disincentivises other segments from working in equal proportion?
  • Chances are, your job is pretty stupid. Mine is. I get paid great money to take text from a web form, put it into a database, and then sometime later, put it on a web page. 90% of working software engineers just put stuff in and out of a database...and my job is a high value one

    Most essential skills can be done by a huge portion of the population, non-manufacturing blue collar jobs, or even most healthcare jobs. It's a small percentage of people who can be a good nurse, but we get a lot from all over
  • Not A Basic Income (Score:4, Insightful)

    by Koby77 ( 992785 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @11:09AM (#60036448)
    $600 per month is not a basic income. Here in the United States it would qualify for extreme poverty. Of course people are not dis-incentivized from working. This study cannot prove what individuals might do if given enough money to subsist.
  • by Toad-san ( 64810 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @11:39AM (#60036634)

    Comparing my little town or county (in Nawth Ca'lina) to the stalwart citizens of Finland would be like comparing horses to hyenas. I seriously doubt the results would be the same.

  • It works because... (Score:3, Informative)

    by Gabest ( 852807 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @11:48AM (#60036678)

    The money goes from millions of people to a few thousand.

  • Flawed assumptions (Score:3, Insightful)

    by petes_PoV ( 912422 ) on Friday May 08, 2020 @12:21PM (#60036850)

    The payments of 560 euro ($600) per month weren't means tested and were unconditional,

    In fact since they were only given to unemployed people they were not unconditional. The same reasoning also blows apart the idea that these were "universal" basic income.

    All this amounts to is that unemployed people were given a different amount of unemployment benefit. It would come as no surprise to anyone that those getting more money while unemployed would have better mental health and financial wellbeing. You could probably correlate that to any two groups: unemployed or doing the same job - those who got more money were happier.

    But does this experiment show a cost-benefit analysis and does it scale to be truly universal?

Pascal is not a high-level language. -- Steven Feiner

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