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Businesses The Almighty Buck

Can a Country Be Too Rich? Norway Is Finding Out (bloomberg.com) 103

Norway's $2 trillion sovereign wealth fund, equivalent to $340,000 per citizen, may be undermining the country's economic health, according to a contentious new book. Martin Bech Holte's "The Country That Became Too Rich" argues that oil revenue has made Norway bloated and unproductive, with data supporting several concerns.

Norway has recorded the slowest productivity growth among wealthy nations over the past two decades while Norwegians take 27.5 sick days annually, the highest rate in the OECD. Student test scores have declined since 2015 and now rank below the OECD average despite Norway spending $20,000 per student compared to the $14,000 OECD average. Fund withdrawals now cover 20% of the annual budget, up from less than 10% two decades ago.

Can a Country Be Too Rich? Norway Is Finding Out

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  • "We came from Caladan - a paradise world for our form of life. There existed no need on Caladan to build a physical paradise or a paradise of the mind - we could see the actuality all around us. And the price we paid was the price men have always paid for achieving a paradise in this life - we went soft, we lost our edge."
    • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:05AM (#65550060) Homepage Journal

      It's just a capitalist crying into his overpriced beer that Norway is doing capitalism wrong. His assumption is that because it's a sovereign wealth fund, a form of socialism, it must be bad. Starting from that assumption, he seeks justification for making it.

      Norway is a nice play to live, citizens are looked after. I doubt they care if they could be more efficient by making life worse for themselves.

      • by OrangeTide ( 124937 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:14AM (#65550068) Homepage Journal

        How can we exploit labor if they feel too secure.

        • Norway is a nice play to live, citizens are looked after. I doubt they care if they could be more efficient by making life worse for themselves.

          How can we exploit labor if they feel too secure.

          Bernie Sanders has something to say about us.

        • by drnb ( 2434720 )

          How can we exploit labor if they feel too secure.

          You find something else to exploit, like vast petroleum reserves. Oil and gas exports are at the heart of Norway's social justice.

      • by larryjoe ( 135075 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:44AM (#65550130)

        It's just a capitalist crying into his overpriced beer that Norway is doing capitalism wrong. His assumption is that because it's a sovereign wealth fund, a form of socialism, it must be bad. Starting from that assumption, he seeks justification for making it.

        Norway is a nice play to live, citizens are looked after. I doubt they care if they could be more efficient by making life worse for themselves.

        This is an interesting perspective. Maybe the "problem" with Norway is more a problem with how the rest of us pick and choose which metrics represent our values. Productivity, work hours, student test scores. Why are these the goals? Why not happiness or contentment, however that might be measured? Or physical or mental health? Crime? It seems to me that productivity, work hours, and test scores are merely means to the real ends of happiness and well-being.

        • The North American metric is "Free time??? Clearly we haven't given you enough to do..."

        • It's just a capitalist crying into his overpriced beer that Norway is doing capitalism wrong. His assumption is that because it's a sovereign wealth fund, a form of socialism, it must be bad. Starting from that assumption, he seeks justification for making it.

          Norway is a nice play to live, citizens are looked after. I doubt they care if they could be more efficient by making life worse for themselves.

          This is an interesting perspective. Maybe the "problem" with Norway is more a problem with how the rest of us pick and choose which metrics represent our values.

          Norway is somewhat unique, we can't just replicate their way of doing things elsewhere. At the heart their social justice and happiness is great wealth from oil and gas exports. Most nations lack such a blessing, a convenient way to pay for the lifestyle and values, at least for the foreseeable future. A global transition away from petroleum could upset their system.

          • It doesn't matter where the wealth comes from; in other countries it comes from the entrepreneurship and hard labor from its workers.
            The trick is then to distribute the products of that wealth among all the people, instead of concentrating more than half of it on the hands of a very small privileged class that then gets to decide how it's spent.

            • by drnb ( 2434720 )

              It doesn't matter where the wealth comes from ...

              It matters when you are living on top of a "gold mine." That gives you more options, options not available to most others.

              The trick is then to distribute the products of that wealth among all the people ...

              And that trick is far easier to perform when you have that "gold mine." That's all I am saying here. That virtuous beliefs alone are rarely enough.

              • In this context, it doesn't matter where the wealth comes from. Wealth is wealth. Also, you completely missed what he meant. Why would the wealth be any different if you were a beverly hillbilly or sam walton?
              • It doesn't matter where the wealth comes from ...

                It matters when you are living on top of a "gold mine." That gives you more options, options not available to most others.

                The trick is then to distribute the products of that wealth among all the people ...

                And that trick is far easier to perform when you have that "gold mine." That's all I am saying here. That virtuous beliefs alone are rarely enough.

                Both are needed. The wealth to distribute and the actual distribution, whether through the government or through the default economy. While virtuous beliefs alone are insufficient, wealth alone is also insufficient. There are many instances of wealth clustered in the hands of a few with no virtuous beliefs. In contrast, virtuous beliefs are harder to detect in the absence of wealth.

        • This is an interesting perspective. Maybe the "problem" with Norway is more a problem with how the rest of us pick and choose which metrics represent our values. Productivity, work hours, student test scores. Why are these the goals? Why not happiness or contentment, however that might be measured? Or physical or mental health? Crime? It seems to me that productivity, work hours, and test scores are merely means to the real ends of happiness and well-being.

          Be careful, you may be up to discover the European way of thinking where "productivity" and "net worth" and "concentrating all the political power in a few lobbies that control the government"* are not synonyms with economic health but rather "safety net" and "well-being" do.

          *We tried the last one in the times of the Roman Empire and decided that it's not a good model to live with.

      • But they are apparently sick as hell, needing to take off almost 8% of the year as a result.

      • It's just a capitalist crying into his overpriced beer that Norway is doing capitalism wrong. His assumption is that because it's a sovereign wealth fund, a form of socialism, it must be bad. Starting from that assumption, he seeks justification for making it.

        Norway is a nice play to live, citizens are looked after. I doubt they care if they could be more efficient by making life worse for themselves.

        It's just a capitalist crying into his overpriced beer that Norway is doing capitalism wrong.

        Short version: Countries can't just "be like Norway" unless they have vast petroleum reserves to export.

        Long version:

        It's not that simple. Norway is a major Petroleum Exporter, 20% of GDP; 5th in oil, and 3rd in natural gas globally. However, the key to Norway's success is that it is not a Kleptocracy. They actually use their massive wealth from oil and gas, in part, for public benefit.

        Yes, that is certainly one way of doing capitalism correctly. However let's not forget that it is only possible du

      • Bingo. I've often had the conversation with people where one person can't understand why someone does X job. When they could make more money. I once took a job that had a $5,000 pay cut. My Indian colleague couldn't understand why I would do that .
      • by r1348 ( 2567295 )

        I tend to agree given the source material, but having worked in Norway for several months, there's still an underlying warning: even socialist societies need capable leadership. Even more so since so much is delegated to the state. if you start producing a mass of, well, spoiled brats, you won't be able to successfully replace your leadership, or potentially fall into a technocratic oligopoly.

        • by AmiMoJo ( 196126 )

          Another aspect of socialism is distributed power through democracy. Rather than concentrating it at the top or in a few people, e.g. a president, it is distributed as widely as possible from local councils up.

          The Nordics do that fairly well, having representative democracy and many levels to it, with no individual having too much power and everything needing to be a compromise or negotiation between interested parties.

      • I think the worrying part is if this trend continues as if their productivity gets too low that could cause significant problems for them. Especially when oil goes away and all they have is the interest from their investments they might find it hard to support their current level of benefits if their economy is unproductive.

        As you get at in your post, making money isn't the end all be all of a country but it helps A LOT. Ask any third worlder.

      • It's worse than that. When anyone talks "productivity growth" they are literally talking output per capita. There's a few ways this can look bad while completely ignoring how great it can be for the people. Imagine me and you (no don't start singing Happy Together).

        We both work 40 hours weeks. You suddenly decide to work 5 hours on Saturday. BAM I experienced low productivity growth compared to you.
        We both work full time jobs. The government decides to up minimum holidays from 4 weeks to 5 weeks for me but

        • by skam240 ( 789197 )

          Productivity metrics, GDP, all this other capitalist bullshit is the stuff of people who believe that only money can buy happiness.

          On the contrary, as a leftist I value all of those things quite a bit. They pay for everything I think government should be doing.

          I mean, what's a country with poor productivity and a bad gdp? It's a third world country and living in one of those isn't all that great.

    • How thankful is the environment and our fellow non-human mortals, if we go soft and stop producing so much violence?

    • There's basically two angles to this story.

      First, the younger generation in Norway has collectively decided to not go to work, and live on govt money playing video games and eating frozen pizza, of which Norway is the top consumer in the world. This means all labour will have to be imported, and considering the reproduction rate of comfortable nolifers versus immigrants, Norwegians are going to die out and the imported workers are going to inherit the country.

      Second, Norway already some time ago took the ne

      • by skam240 ( 789197 )

        First, the younger generation in Norway has collectively decided to not go to work, and live on govt money playing video games and eating frozen pizza, of which Norway is the top consumer in the world. This means all labour will have to be imported, and considering the reproduction rate of comfortable nolifers versus immigrants, Norwegians are going to die out and the imported workers are going to inherit the country.

        Why does a dip in productivity equal no one doing any work at all? Why is your entire post "all or nothing" when that's now how this works at all?

        • I was talking about bigger things than that dip, and so did TFA mostly. But I can bite.

          First, productivity only measures the amount of automation per worker in an economy. In that sense it doesn't have anything to do with people choosing to work at all or not. An economy with one worker, 10 robots and 2 computers has exactly the same productivity as an economy with 1M workers, 10M robots, and 2M coputers, the work and process being the same.

          But an economy with a falling productivity either means 1) it's giv

  • Growth is not production. If you grew in the past, you still have production. In fact, if you have overproduction, striving for growth is harmful. Striving for growth is not a good thing generally, as it naturally grows and shrinks with the amount of working people in a country.
    • Sorry to follow up on my own post, but the original header had an "is not equal" sign, so "Growth != production".
    • This. The idea that a lack of constant compounding growth is a bad thing comes from capitalists who want to be able to turn their money into more money without doing any work. To do that they need growth. If you work for a living rather than owning for a living, you have no need for infinite growth in a finite world.

    • Growth is not production. If you grew in the past, you still have production. In fact, if you have overproduction, striving for growth is harmful. Striving for growth is not a good thing generally, as it naturally grows and shrinks with the amount of working people in a country.

      This is a mathematical inversion that measures via “disparity” instead of growing overall prosperity and productivity. It ignores that doubling everyone’s prosperity doubles disparity, and halving everyone’s prosperity halves disparity. It ignores the fact that increased prosperity requires increased production. It’s the wrong yardstick.

      The reality is that growth in overall productivity can lift ALL boats, as it has throughout western civilization despite this growth increasing

  • they can give some to me. I'll relieve them of the burden.

  • by TWX ( 665546 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @10:51AM (#65550030)

    Nobody's productive there anymore, they're too wealthy.

    • Re: (Score:2, Insightful)

      by rsilvergun ( 571051 )
      Yeah this is classic line go up. We need limitless productivity increases in order to keep the ruling class of billionaires satiate it because if we ever stop feeding their maw they will devour Us in an instant.

      Nobody really likes to think about the cosmic horror that is the billionaire class and they are insatiable appetite for limitless wealth or how we are all mandated to keep feeding it.
      • by TWX ( 665546 )

        it sounds to me like Norway has determined that the mineral and oil wealth within its borders and territorial waters belongs to Norway first and foremost, and that while those who perform resource extraction get to profit handsomely off of that extraction, it's Norway that gets to profit first.

        If my assumption is correct, then this sounds like a reasonable model, particularly given how for so long, resource extraction was structured to privatize the costs while leaving only the liabilities and demerits as a

        • This idea that the natural resources of a nation belong to all the residents of that nation is one reason I have found myself so drawn to Georgism [wikipedia.org]

          As you said the companies tasked with the extraction and trade (economic rent) of the resources can and should profit nicely but that does not entail them to all of the profits and all of the wealth. The resources are shared and so should the revenues.

    • by whitroth ( 9367 )

      I agree. This means that all billionaires, and almost all millionaires, have zero productivity.

      Right?

      • Well, no, but on a per-dollar basis - a billion is a very, very big denominator. Or in other words their per-hour income is hard to justify on the basis of anything like 'merit.'

        It's really hard to say how much a winner has 'produced' compared to the alternative future in which they didn't exist. Bezos worked long and hard, without profits for many years, to bring Amazon about. He succeeded and a lot of us choose to buy a lot of stuff from Amazon all the time. What if he had not. None of the other onl

  • Be interesting to see this play out in a more western and liberalized culture.

    I live in a US state that is poor but gets most of what it does from oil money. I applaud the transition to renewables but it don't see how the state government will get by.

    • by mspohr ( 589790 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:33AM (#65550108)

      1. Stop fossil fuel production.
      2. Tax the rich.
      They have lots of money.
      They aren't paying their fair share.

      • Lets stipulate that if you are a US citizen you are almost always above the median net worth. That said - you are rich. What do you consider your fair share to be - you have plenty after all so how much more of it should you give to me?

        • by mspohr ( 589790 )

          I'm not talking about normal rich people.
          I'm talking about billionaires. They should be taxed at 90% on income and 10% on assets annually until they aren't billionaires anymore.
          This would yield plenty of money to fund universal health care and education as well as social support programs.
          (There are now 801 billionaires based in the United States with a combined wealth totaling $6.22 trillion, according to an Institute for Policy Studies analysis of the Forbes Real Time Billionaire List.)
          Taxing them would on

    • Switzerland has had this problem for 80 years now.
      From what I've read a couple of decades ago, Switzerland was a primary beneficiary from WW2. Quite apart from selling Oerlikon anti-aircraft guns to both sides, large sums had been deposited into bank accounts in that country by Jews who did not survive the war - and also by some Nazis later on. At least the Nazis were more likely to have immediate family members still living, unless they went for murder-suicides like Goebbels. It was allegedly policy for

    • What part of ND are you in?
  • You know what middle eastern oil countries/companies aren't doing? Mining for lithium. You know what they should be doing? Mining for lithium. And selling solar panels. They have to know oil is finite, right? Absolutely idiotic and complacent. Norway should have TSMC ARM and x86 chip-making factory already, everything I just mentioned, and AI datacenters. What do they have? Lazy idiots who sit around and count their money while producing nothing and contributing to "financial products" which are middleman b
    • Yesterday a co worker was showing me pictures of his visit to Dubai. An amazing city that has absolutely no way to exist other than taking oil money and building financial empires. Beautiful buildings, clean, expansive and mostly empty highways (too hot) and like Phoenix sprawls out over dry, infertile land. Great entertainment, apparently.

      So what happens when that money source dries up? It won't be pretty.

      • The UAE's trillions are invested in everything across the globe. If the majority of money-making ventures in the world implode and they haven't shifted to non-imploding investments, then they'll have a big problem. They have all the resources of Blackrock making sure their fund continues growing.

    • A little nuclear power wouldn't hurt, either...

  • by dskoll ( 99328 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:10AM (#65550062) Homepage

    So Norwegians score low on productivity and take a lot of vacation days. Who the fuck cares? If Norwegians are happy (and the data [worldpopul...review.com] indicates that they are) and have a satisfying lifestyle, good luck to them. Don't fetishize growth and productivity.

    • I don't know what the long term effects of being generally happy and financially secure are. Could be trouble. People might get complacent and stop striving to achieve things.

    • Because you need people to do things, like help sick people, fix roads, keep the power on, and ship food around.

      If productivity is increasing or maintaining, and worker hours are decreasing, it doesn't matter. If productivity is decreasing, and worker hours are also decreasing, that's a problem.

      An extreme example would be the economy of the Soviet Union. They didn't care about productivity at all, initially. After a few years of not being able to provide basic goods and services, they turned to forced labor

  • by buck-yar ( 164658 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:13AM (#65550066)

    Student test scores have declined since 2015

    Sounds like they are due for a raise then. $20k per student, why not $50k? They have the money.

    • $20k per student, why not $50k? They have the money.

      That's a great philosophy for not having the money in the future. Your comment also reminds me of an interesting statistic of the rich working class. The better paid people are the deeper in debt the often go. Your philosophy is "I have money therefore I must spend it" is not a good investment in maintaining passive income.

      Why not $50k / student? First define exactly what metrics you measure and then show that more than doubling the money will achieve that and why it is a good use of funds. *THAT* is how yo

  • Line go up (Score:3, Interesting)

    by rsilvergun ( 571051 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:16AM (#65550072)
    We need to be reducing productivity not increasing it.

    We are very much a society where if you don't work you don't eat.

    Over the past 50 years we have eliminated 70% of middle class jobs using automation. Mostly high paying factory jobs but there's plenty others out there.

    And we are about to do the AI apocalypse. It's basically a third industrial revolution that's about to hit.

    One of the problems is people want to think black and white. Either ai and automation is going to replace all the jobs or it's going to replace none of the jobs.

    The middle ground is scary though.

    People do not automate extremely low-paying jobs. So yes you can still find a guy in India making satellite dishes by hand because he's paid just enough to buy today's food so he can do tomorrow's work.

    The problem is we are going to automate the higher paying jobs first. Because of course we are.

    Those high-paying jobs are what drive the economy. Go look up how much of the spending in America is from Rich boomers with good paying jobs the leftover from before wages started to collapse. Try taking those older workers on the old pay scale out of the average wages and see how little Americans actually make.

    We have entire industries that will collapse because the high paying workers that maintain and support them with purchases aren't going to exist anymore.

    You can't go be a plumber when there aren't any engineers to hire you to fix their pipes because they're busy working on engineering.

    We could of course do the whole fully automated luxury gay space communism except we aren't fully automated yet.

    We still need some people to work the real problem is we've got some people who are completely useless. We just don't need them to work anymore in anything that they are capable of doing. Not willing,, capable.

    So if anything we need less productivity so that we can have more jobs and more make work to keep things going.

    The problem is nobody wants to pay for that make work and everyone wants to hoard and grab all the money and power for themselves.

    But only a few thousand people can get away with that. So like crabs in a bucket we are all going to be eating alive by those few thousand people.

    Too long didn't read, you're going to lose your house in about 6 years to somebody that wants to be the first trillionaire. And human psychology will prevent you from doing anything about it
    • "The problem is nobody wants to pay for that make work"

      When I was young we called those 'manufacturing jobs'. And they did pay for them...

      Get it?

      • No I don't.

        I don't understand how come you don't understand that those jobs don't exist anymore because they are done by machines.

        I get that you're being flippant, but you don't seem to be doing a very good job of it so I can't actually tell what point you're trying to make.

        You do have a old man yelling at cloud vibe though so there is that.
        • I'm not being flippant. Your argument has been made at least twice in my lifetime. First, when automation started taking those rote assembly jobs. Then when information systems started taking the paper filling and shuffling jobs. Accountants don't pore over bound ledgers any more, nor do they even fill in cells on spreadsheets, they work with the dashboards and apps to provide their insights and advice. Maybe. And those make work jobs at John Deere, for instance, so what is not possible for robots or automa

  • by deadweight ( 681827 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:17AM (#65550074)
    This is a well-known issue. Most petro-states lag in productivity and development, "free money" from the well short-circuits it. Norway has done better than most at avoiding it, but apparently not completely. Spain had the same thing with endless gold and silver from their colonies back in the day, the only thing Spain ended up being good at was spending money.
    • Certainly! Here's the expanded Slashdot-style reply, with more detail about Norway's sovereign wealth fund (the "Oil Fund") and the full timeline repeated:

      Norway's actually been planning for a post-oil world for decades. They're in a pretty unique position: still producing oil, but investing heavily in a greener future and trying not to end up like other resource-cursed economies. Here's the rough breakdown:

      1970sâ"90s: Norway strikes oil in the North Sea, but instead of spending like crazy, they set up

    • by jonadab ( 583620 )
      Yes, I came to the comment section to say essentially this. Economists commonly call this condition "Dutch Disease", for historical reasons involving the mid twentieth century. The short explanation is, if one specific sector (commonly, resource extraction) becomes disproportionately profitable, it drives demand for your currency overseas, shifting the exchange rates in a way that makes your other products less competitive, making it difficult to maintain or develop a balanced or diverse economy. (This i
  • Right, so in Norway nobody is going hungry, dying from being too poor to afford medical treatment, being kept down by an inability to access education, having to go in to work when they're sick, or freezing to death on the streets because they're out of options?

    "They've got a huge problem!"

    So say people whose own countries have all those problems and spend more on worse outcomes.

    The Norwegians' biggest risk is "good times make weak men" but at least one author I listen to on YouTube indicates that Viking Cu

    • If anyone is interested in an actual historian tackling (lengthily) the meme of "good times make weak men" and how it really is just a quote from a novelist and little historical bearing on events, he calls it the "Fremen Mirage".

      Collections: The Fremen Mirage, Part I: War at the Dawn of Civilization [acoup.blog]

      In Part I and II of this series, we put this idea to the test, trying to see if it actually served as an accurate description of historical processes. And by and large, we found thatno, it did not. Far from bein

  • by MpVpRb ( 1423381 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @11:45AM (#65550138)

    ...the myth that endless growth is not only possible, but necessary
    The headline claims that "slowest productivity growth" is a problem
    Endless growth is impossible
    We need steady-state sustainability

    • by Junta ( 36770 )

      If you say the numerical representation of wealth can endlessly grow, sure, that's just a number. There's no such thing as objective, true numerical value, so if you have a system that is predicated on "line always goes up", you can make that system function even under static constraints by somehow changing how the numbers map to reality.

      To his credit, he points to non-money indicators, like ability to succeed on tests.

      It is fair to say that we can't consume exponentially more resources or create exponenti

    • ...the myth that endless growth is not only possible, but necessary

      And yet if I ask you, you would admit to wanting more. More healthcare and mental health for the poor, more money for vaccines for people in Africa, more research for cancer and heart disease. I'm sure you want a bigger house, more vacation time... We all want more, some of just admit it.

      All western governments are pyramid schemes. We have promised our elderly retirements that they didn't have to save for, we have promised healthcare for aging populations. We can't do that unless then next generati

  • Who headline is plan wrong. Every single problem stated is not because of the sovereign fund but rather because of idiotic immigration laws passed by businesses to lower wages. This is just billionaire gaslighting article to spend that shit on bullshit to destroy the social net.
  • How dare a country with a lot of wealth enjoy that wealth.

  • by fuzzyfuzzyfungus ( 1223518 ) on Monday July 28, 2025 @12:25PM (#65550236) Journal
    You know that someone has a couple of screws loose when they are treating "sufficiently wealthy that working hard is optional" as some kind of disaster.

    Isn't that the whole point of being wealthy? Sure, if your hobby is making line go up you do you; but for most people money is a means to an end, not an end in itself, so if you've already got the money why would you keep grinding away when you could be pursuing your ends instead?
    • by Junta ( 36770 )

      Depends.

      Is it the case that everyone can stop working hard, or that some people get to do that while others get to work even harder to support that working hard?

      If Norway gets to slack off and have a fantastic lifestyle, but only because they can import just tons of crap from more exploitative countries, that wouldn't be good.

      If everyone around the world gets to slack off and still sustain a great lifestyle, then fantastic. This is in fact the goal, we should be thinking not of "can I get enough work" and m

  • As a Norwegian living in Norway I don't get to see any of this "wealth". The roads outside everywhere I have lived have been nothing above developing countries' standards, meanwhile the government keeps embezzling billions of NOK and spending over 70% of our country's welfare budget on foreigners. Meanwhile they tax me over 50% for working in the provate sector, and I have to fight for the bare minimum of fairness. What am I paying taxes for? (Yes, I will be downvoted for this because I don't benefit from t

  • How have we been tricked into believing that GDP growth is the only way to measure success?

  • What makes Norway any more special than all the other wealthy countries that have so much excess oil/gas they amass wealth faster than they spend it?

  • So why is it here? Even if I do care about how Norway allocates resources, I'm not caring about it in a tech context.

    msmash, you suck as an editor.

  • "....Norwegians take 27.5 sick days annually, the highest rate in the OECD. "

    Finland, the next one on the list has 0.9 day less, so no GASP!

    It's COLD outside.

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