Bitcoin Drops Below $6,000, An 8-Month Low (reuters.com) 106
An anonymous reader quotes Reuters:
Bitcoin's value slid to its lowest level since November on Friday, as waning investor interest and recent negative headlines from global regulators weakened demand for the cryptocurrency and most of its rivals. Virtual currencies, including the best-known and biggest, bitcoin, have been stuck in a downward trend for most of 2018 after last year's frenzied interest fizzled. Recent hacks and the "cyber intrusion" of cryptocurrency exchanges in key Asian markets has also encouraged investors to exit.
Bitcoin fell to as low as $5,774 on the Bitstamp exchange, the lowest since November 12... So far in 2018, bitcoin has tumbled almost 60 percent after soaring more than 1,300 percent last year. It is now down 70 percent from its December peak... The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has fallen to around $230 billion from a peak of around $800 billion in January.
Will Hobbs, Head of Investment Strategy at Barclays Smart Investor, now tells Reuters that "None of the crypto currencies currently fulfill any of the criteria that we would look for in an investible asset, and we would continue to advise extreme caution. The rout in crypto currencies is still not finished."
Bitcoin fell to as low as $5,774 on the Bitstamp exchange, the lowest since November 12... So far in 2018, bitcoin has tumbled almost 60 percent after soaring more than 1,300 percent last year. It is now down 70 percent from its December peak... The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has fallen to around $230 billion from a peak of around $800 billion in January.
Will Hobbs, Head of Investment Strategy at Barclays Smart Investor, now tells Reuters that "None of the crypto currencies currently fulfill any of the criteria that we would look for in an investible asset, and we would continue to advise extreme caution. The rout in crypto currencies is still not finished."
Going further down soon (Score:2)
My guess is that within the next 5 days (maybe as many as 15, but probably closer to 5) it will go back down to between $5000 and $5500, basing it off of the unscientific theory of what my gut says.
So this means that all you peeps that want to get in and HODL at a lower price will have your chance.
Let the games begin!
Re: Going further down soon (Score:4, Funny)
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Sell now and switch to Ethereum, that's a sure thing.
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That's the sound of a joke sailing way over your head.
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Not too late. This is normal behavior. As they say: "Wait for it! Wait for it!" ;-)
Just give it some time, i'll drop again.
And I guess I must ask, why will you be dropping again? And dropping how (or what)?
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basing it off of the unscientific theory of what my gut says
That's conforting!
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Wasn't it supposed to be over a million by now? I haven't been paying much attention.
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Re: Going further down soon (Score:2)
$20K to $5K matches previous BTC corrections (Score:2)
My guess is that within the next 5 days (maybe as many as 15, but probably closer to 5) it will go back down to between $5000 and $5500, basing it off of the unscientific theory of what my gut says.
Well a few months ago an Ars Technica article pointed out that Bitcoin has had 3 declines of about 75% and then plateaued at that point for 2 or 3 years. So $20K'ish to $5K'ish is about right using the existing pattern. In general, not necessarily on your stated timeframe.
Of course the previous patterns were established with speculators coming from the techie community, this time around we have had a massive influx of new speculators from wall street.
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Dude, correction territory is a 10-15% decline. $20k to $5k isn't a correction, it's a goddamn bloodbath.
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Oh, especially when it's gone up %1300. Because that means most of the money invested in Bitcoin was done when it was above $10,000. Those people got slaughtered. And since many of the people who got in early added to their portfolios as it went up, they got hurt, too.
Right now, the only think keeping it afloat is that the Wall Street guys are doing the reverse of the "pump and dump", trying to get out of bitcoin. Once they do, you won't be able to buy a Beanie Baby with a bit
75% down after 5,000% up is not a bloodbath (Score:2)
Dude, correction territory is a 10-15% decline. $20k to $5k isn't a correction, it's a goddamn bloodbath.
Not for bitcoin. Wild extremes are the norm. Also you must consider the exponential rise from $400 to $20,000, a correction to $5,000 is not a bloodbath to some. As was the 2014 exponential rise from $20 to $1,000, which was followed by a correction to $250, again not a bloodbath to some.
Its hardly fair to call a 75% decline a bloodbath when that peak it is referenced against represents a recent 5,000% increase.
It is inappropriate to apply the normal rules and perspectives of investing in traditional
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It's a good time to buy BTC! (Score:2)
Or not. NOBODY KNOWS
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This is the difference between investing and gambling.
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At least with gambling in Vegas, you can get a free drink whilst letting it ride...
TANSTAAFL, or a free drink. ;-)
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This ain't even gambling. I can do a lot better at the blackjack tables than people who buy bitcoin in 2018.
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LMGTFY: https://www.google.com/search?... [google.com]
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The Chinese gang who own most Bitcoins can afford to buy back a few at inflated prices to make you think it's "recovering", yes.
Re: old news (Score:2)
Except volume is up too. Typically one manipulates a market by taking advantage of opportunities to move the market on the cheap.
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Watch for the volume to go way up, but not spike the price overly much, then the volume will trend down, and then shortly after the volume stabilizes at a low volume (relatively low) the price will begin to plummet. Anyway, that's what "My Gut"(TM) says.
Alt Headlines: (Score:2, Insightful)
"BitCoin defies logic by remaining just under $6000 over priced."
"Fratboys across the country pissed as their 'sure thing' trust fund investment continues to fall"
"Drug dealers pleased to inform customers of lower bitcoin prices to increase sales"
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"Drug dealers pleased to inform customers of lower bitcoin prices to increase sales"
Sadly, I don't think that's the case.
The importance of crypto-currency to the black market is that it exists at all, the value is almost irrelevant. As long as they can convert to-from the fiat currency, and then anonymize the exchange with the crypto-currency (depends on the specific currency), they're fine.
The only sketchy activity this might cut down on it's the hackers, the lower the reward for mining the fewer people looking to hijack your devices.
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Sure thing, Anonymous Coward.
Just wish... (Score:3)
I was the pizza guy who received the first BTC (assuming I didnâ(TM)t lose them).
There is still too much corruption and non-hardened exchanges for me to take BTC seriously.
However, the tech is cool and some people made a lot of money.
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and non-hardened exchanges
Why do you need your exchanges to be hardened? Keep your wallet to yourself.
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Because exchanges typically require you to submit a lot of rather personal information to use... there aren't many that will simply cut you a cheque. They all insist on some sort of banking information and many are required to submit tax information as well.
Naturally, if the exchange can't be trusted with the information, that's a lot of juicy personal identify theft information ready for stealing.
Buying bitcoin is remarkably simple
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Right I was thinking in terms of the BTC itself.
Speaking of banking information, can you help me with something: Why do people in the USA insist on keeping this stuff secret? Do your banks typically allow others to withdraw from your account with your bank details? In most places I've lived that just isn't the case and I have no problem giving people bank account numbers, in fact I actively do because usually when I do the balance increases.
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Surely the transaction was completed digitally before the pizza was delivered.
Re:It's actually up 8% (Score:5, Insightful)
It's actually up 8% since yesterday. That's an awesome return for 1 day. This is more proof of why investment analysts do worse the the market as a whole.... They are either lying or don't know what they are talking about. I'll assume the later.
And the last time I played Black Jack, I got a 100% payout. Now that's an even more awesome return for 1 day.
If you don't understand statistics and stochastics, don't come crying once you've lost.
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It's actually up 8% since yesterday. That's an awesome return for 1 day.
Because it is a gamble, not an investment. Gambling sometimes pays off. But it mostly does not.
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It's almost as if the gambling is set up by organized operations just to rip you off or something.
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Re:This is good news for Bitcoin (Score:4, Insightful)
Actually it possibly is. If Bitcoin is slowly inflating, rather than violently oscillating between extremes, it might start to be possible to take it seriously as a "currency".
Your hypothesis might be correct, but for the fact that bitcoin by no reasonable definition is "slowly" inflating.
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If Bitcoin is slowly inflating
It's not. It's massively price correcting after a huge bubble.
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If Bitcoin is slowly inflating, rather than violently oscillating between extremes, it might start to be possible to take it seriously as a "currency".
Per arth1 above, it's up 8% since yesterday. So, still violently oscillating.
Bag Hodlers (Score:5, Insightful)
Time to call them what they are.
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Bitcoin has a hard limit of 2022-2024 after which the protocol can't be hacked to be safe vs quantum computers. The issue is that post-quantum signature schemes require a switch to them BEFORE the first quantum computer capable of Shor's algorithm comes out around that time. That switch has to be initiated by every wallet holder with any coins - and the smallest sizes for public key and signature combinations for that first transaction come in around 35KB combined. There are currently just under 25 milli
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Greater fool theory (Score:2)
I don't think Bitcoin's value will drop too much more. Maybe to $5k. Money laundering and drug traffic will keep it around there. I could be wrong though. Canada just legalized pot. If the US follow suit (it would require Trump losing in 2020 since his people
And today it's above $6,300... (Score:3)
The story isn't about wobbles (Score:2)
The story (click-bait or not) is about the overarching trend - which is, "Sell, sell, SELL!" $20,000 down to $6300 is quite a turn in a matter of six months.
Like another person suggested already: Current Bitcoin owners are holding the hyper-inflated bag of Dutch tulips.
Re:And today it's above $6,300... (Score:4, Interesting)
...and up 5.36% (at 2pm EDT) for the week.
Only because there was another mini-crash exactly 7 days ago.
If you look at 8 or 6 days, it's down.
If you look at 30 days, it's down... a LOT.
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I would have to be stupid not to go back 1 year in time and buy bitcoin. But I wasn't stupid 6 months ago to refuse to buy into bitcoin, and I'm reasonably certain that I'm not stupid in continuing to refuse to do so.
Hindsight investing is not investing. Speculation is not investing. So m
Someone tell when... (Score:1)
...bitcoin actually becomes a seamless, ubiquitous and useful currency and is not just an instrument of speculation and gambling for desperate suckers. In the meantime, I will just keep accumulating greenbacks.
Over reasonable investment periods it is up a lot (Score:2)
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We need it to go down further. (Score:1)
Tron (Score:1)
Time to buy tron. Much better model.
Today, I absolutely WOULD NOT.. (Score:1)
But GOD I wish I'd had $100 worth of Bitcoin when it was still kinda young.
I'd be a millionaire several times over.
But, honestly, it always has seemed less reliable than the Lottery.
Seriously guys.